Episode 2 – ‘Can I make a living from Football Index?’ series – Will the good start keep going…?

“The index can offer you many ways to make money it’s just a case of taking advantage.”

Welcome to the second update to my ‘Can I make a living from Football Index’ series.

I’m very pleased with the positive response to my first episode, on top of the intro, with lots of messages coming in, as well as many questions. This is all good and keep ’em coming!

Let’s get straight into episode two, the dreaded sequel! 😀

The last episode left you on the 30th of August, so I thought it would be good to leave it a month and see what progress was made up until the end of September. Seemed all very neat and tidy to me.

However, I have cut that short slightly by a few days after hitting a milestone on the 25th of September. I was planning on leaving the ongoing profit numbers until later on but I shall just get stuck into them right from the off!

Remember in the intro article where I started this series with £6,700? I used some of that to buy into fixture holds and kept the rest in my account for as and when I needed it. Well as approaching midnight on 25th September I have broken the 100% ROI return.

So to be clear, I have taken £6,700 as of 11th August and made another £6,700 as of 25th September. That’s a 100% profit return in just over 6 weeks. To be specific it’s actually £6,852.40 and 102% but you get the picture.

These are crazy returns and something I did not expect to get so soon.  As I was tracking my progress, I saw my profit continuing to rise its way to potentially getting to this 100% ROI marker by the end of the month.

It seemed more like a possibility as the days ticked by and then the 10% net spend Birthday Bonus landed on the 24th September and gave it a big boost over the line. Boom! Happy f**king Birthday! 😀

4th birthday

Before I lay out the numbers I would like to mention that I took some money out last week. £800 to be exact as August was one hell of an expensive month and I needed a boost. What’s making money if you can’t use it eh?

 

The numbers

So with that in mind, the actual numbers are as follows:

I have £12,752.40 in the index. If you include the £800 that would be £13,552.40.

This is a total of £6,852.40 made since I started this series on 11th August.

This is a 102% return made over the course of just over 6 weeks. 45 days to be exact.

This works out at a running profit of just over £1000 a week and £150 a day.

(The below is what my “Port” and account balance looks like as of 27th Sep.)

Port 27 Sep

Looking at the last episode I was going at a similar rate of around £1000 a week and I was fully expecting this to slow down but it’s just ploughed on. The birthday bonus has helped no doubt over the past 24 hours or so but it was still chugging along at a very healthy rate regardless.

I will say I don’t expect it to continue but I said that last time! Plus I still have the actual 10% to land in my account in a few weeks which will be a nice thing to receive. For the record on that, I had just over £6k in my account balance when it was announced and I will spend all of that come 30th Sep so I expect it to be receiving around £610. Lovely.

My all-time profit now stands at £18,352 which is just crazy when you consider a year ago I was testing the waters after just joining with £50, then a few hundred, before committing a couple grand more. I never expected these returns. Never.

 

What I did this month

“Not all flips make money and go to plan.”

Well, some of the first things I did this month were sales. I still had on my hands the Bundesliga front line trio of Mr Weghorst, Waldschmidt and Petersen and after a quiet weekend they had come to their expiry life in my port and I instant sold the lot.

I also decided to get rid of Sven Bender who I had invested a fair share in and had high hopes but even though his PB did outscore Tah, he just hadn’t quite hit the heights and I sensed a sell-off coming, so cut the rope myself.

I had made very good profits on all of these players but given I instant sold them, I took a little hit with the spreads and commission paid but I did the right thing, as they all had a little dip with other traders following suit and selling themselves.

As far as buys go, I make so many trades when it comes to writing it up it’s a difficult task. So, what I will do is follow on from something I did last time and make a list of some Hits, Flips and Misses to show some of the action that went down over the month of September.

Hits

Domenico Berardi – bought 600 for £99p – Sits now at £1.69

I have a new man crush. What a lad he is. He is involved in everything Sassuolo do going forward, he takes free-kicks and corners and if he isn’t scoring himself he is setting someone else up.

I bought him on 6th Sep for the single-game day against Brescia on the 4th Oct in mind. I knew he had performance in him so decided to get in on him nice and early within the 30 days for IPDs.

domenico-berardi

From that time he has bagged two goals away at Roma and grabbed two assists in the next match against Spal. I am currently 70% up on him and feeling pretty sweet.

I had already flipped him when he got his hat trick on the 1st September before buying him again, so he has returned a very healthy amount already…and he hasn’t even got to the game I bought him for yet!

Also wanna quick shout out for his mate Alfred Duncan who I also got 600 at just 39p. I have sold him now when he reached 59p but he is never too far away from setting up Berardi and are a great double act.

Javairo Dilrosun – 900 for 86p – Sits now at £1.25 

Hertha Berlin had/have some decent fixtures in the month of Sep/Oct and there was a bit of talk on one of their exciting players Dilrosun coming back into the team, so I kept my eye on him.

He went and obliged immediately by taking on 3 or 4 defenders against Paderborn before slotting one in the net, so I went in. He later picked up an assist so grabbed me 2p of IPDs and some very sweet CA was to follow.

Dilrosun

He has gone up and up since I bought him and is currently at a 40% rise and with some single games to come, I won’t be moving him on anytime soon. Cracking little player.

Martin Odegaard – 300 for £2.16 – Sits now at £3.25

Most traders know about or have at least heard of Odegaard and his move to Sociedad was an interesting one to keep an eye on. As soon as he scored and also put in some decent PB scores I went in.

Ode

He has gone up way more than I anticipated and wish I had invested more than 300 shares. He broke the £3 mark with birthday bonus money piling into him and with a fantastic performance with an outrageous assist vs Alaves I am now sat at over a £1 rise.

Robert Lewandowski – 300 for £1.58 – Sits now at £1.84

This wasn’t my usual type of player to buy. Lewa is the type of player on the Index that can score in a game but his price goes down afterwards. However, when Bayern went to Leipzig they had some cracking fixtures afterwards.

So, I made a pact with myself that whoever scored in the game I would buy for the IPD discount and keep for these games. Within a couple of minutes, old Lewa bagged one and I was in.

Lewa & Cout

I only went for 300 given my reservations with him but after a few more goals in games after bringing more IPDs and the birthday bonus giving him a very healthy price injection he is sat on £1.85 as I type. Decent trade if I can get out at a good price. We shall see.

Philippe Coutinho – 300 for £2.15 – Sits now at £2.66 (over 5 days)

I couldn’t ignore Coutinho’s PB winning score the last week of 298. He also took a pen when Lewandowski was on a hat-trick which tells me he could be the designated taker.

Cout

I grabbed 300 as I felt a score like that won’t go ignored and within an hour he was up 15 to 20p. He has had an extra injection with the bonus money piling in, like many have, and I will keep him to see how he gets on.

Casimir Ninga – 600 for 47p – Sits at 67p

I flipped this lad when he bagged a hat trick off the bench for around 1200 shares. I wish I had just kept him and took the IPDs on top as in the next game he put in a quality PB score and grabbed an assist.

I decided to go in on him and I am glad I did as he has gone up 20p in a matter of days. Hopefully, he will not only keep his price but continue his form, helping Angers sit joint top with PSG. Crazy

Flips

I make a lot of trades including flips so I will do my best to list some below. I’ll do it in most recent first as I can remember those easier when I trawl through my transaction history.

When the Beta site is up and running I will start downloading my transaction history. Its too complex to go through how much paid and sold for atm so I will list names below and how many flipped.

The following are just from the past week alone since Tuesday’s Champion League night:

Oyarzabal 600, Ocampos 300, Oliver Torres 300, D’Ambrosio 900, Yacine Adli 600, Golovin 600, Arthur 900, Ninga 1200, Benes 300, Thuram 600, Cresswell 300, Budimir 300, Nyom 600, Caputo 600, Saracchi 600, Sabitzer 300, Orban 600, Chris Wood 900, Alario 600, Cazorla 600, Stengs 600, Saka 600, Di Maria 300, Valbuena 600, Tagliafico 900, Edson Alvarez 900, Szoboszlai 300, Haaland 900 on 1st goal 600 on 2nd goal.

 

Oyar

As you can see I make a lot of trades in-play. Whenever a goal goes in, I always check who it is and his price with his spread. If it seems viable I will jump on. If not but I think another goal or assist would be, I may buy 1 share to have him there ready.

Not all flips make money and go to plan. Some I get on too late or don’t rise as much as anticipated. It isn’t as easy or straight forward as it may seem. Some people will not go anywhere near in-play action due to its nature.

I have had a lot of practice which has brought its fair share of burns but its all experience. Like anything, the more you do it the better you get. That will do, not listing anymore, be here all day! 😀

Misses

Erling Braut Haaland

You may have caught that I flipped him in-play when he went on a scoring spree on his Champions League debut, but my profits on him could have been so much more.

I bought him a few days earlier when he put in another performance for Salzburg but sold him not long after to free up some money, completely forgetting he was due to finally play a PB game.

During that time he rocketed up an eye-watering amount by the time that game kicked off. D’oh!

erling_braut_haaland

Donyell Malen

This one is a bit hit and miss, as I had bought 600 Malen at a similar time as Haaland on that weekend, as he scored 5 goals for PSV in one game. Unlike Haaland. I kept hold of Donyell for a few days and made good money as he went up about 30p or so.

Problem is after Haaland went crazy on Tuesday night, the market decided that Malen may do the same so he had another injection of money piled into him and went up a further 40p. Very annoying.

Michy Batshuayi

Now this one really p*ssed me off 😀 I sat and watched the likes of Dries Mertens and Romelu Lukaku rise for a course of a couple of weeks or so, as traders were looking forward to Belgium hammering San Marino.

That’s fine, except in the back of my head I had a feeling they weren’t gonna play and Martinez would give Batshuayi a run out instead. The day before the game I had notifications on IndexGain set up on Michy’s name and it was now a simple case of waiting for the team news.

Bats

When the team news came out, where was I? Sneaking off for a quick piss and left my phone to charge so completely missed it and the 13p rise that came. Blew my top on that one!

IPOs

If Batshuayi blew my top, waking up to all those IPO’s already out and pumped as they were released in the middle of the night was nothing short of devastating. Could have cried 😀

What makes it worse, is I was on IndexGain at half-past midnight cracking jokes as to whether they will release some soon. I quote, “If I worked there I would release one now for a laugh”

If I had taken my own wild sense of humour more seriously and stayed up just 40 mins longer I would have cashed in. I reckon I missed out on a couple of grand there at least. But I am over it now…honest.

ihattern

 

Main strategy on the index

“I couldn’t recommend this type of in-play/fixture buy strategy enough”

The above were some picked out Hits, Flips and Misses but if you ask me what my main strategy is at the minute it’s fixture buying. I can buy a player looking ahead of anywhere up to a month. I don’t really go too far beyond that.

Fixtures I look out for are any regular single game days in a short period of time or literally just decent fixtures back to back in the 30 days window for IPDs. It really isn’t rocket science, you just have to think about the timing of trades to make the most out of it.

Another aspect of this I have been actively doing lately is merging my in-play stuff with future fixture buying. My Lewandowski and Coutinho trades are an example of that. I knew Bayern’s games coming up so grabbed a discount.

I couldn’t recommend this type of in-play/fixture buy strategy enough. It doesn’t even need to be a long list of upcoming fixtures. It can literally just be the next game.

If there is a single game coming up for a team and their relatively cheap striker bags one or even two IPDs, get on him and just wait. Traders will always look for players in form and buy accordingly in the days leading up to the next match.

Real Betis Balompie v Girona FC - La Liga

I did this with Loren Moron a couple of weeks back and he went up sh*t loads by the time the next game had come along. Traders see his goals and assists and decide he is a good buy. The trick is getting in early before these trades commence.

Another example is Amine Harit. I saw that Schalke had a nice looking single game on a Friday night, so kept my eye on their match before this vs Paderborn. They smashed them 5-1 with Harit scoring twice.

He was the best player on this pitch so I invested heavily in him. I took the IPDs and kept for the next fixture as other traders were bound to catch on to his skills. Sure enough, he went up gradually during the week and sat 30p higher than what I paid for him.

Amine Harit

Now, the problem for me is that as I was working that Friday night I couldn’t keep track of him so I sold him the day before the match. He went on to be star man and I missed out on some serious profit but that’s for me to chew over. Point is, the theory works.

So if you want my advice, look at the fixture lists. Keep an eye on Twitter for accounts showing single game days or 5 game double days and make a note. Even just a mental note. It can be a very solid and consistent way of making money on the Index.

 

Signing off

I’m gonna wrap this episode up here as I don’t want them to be essays. I am looking forward to the next one and seeing if this rate of income can continue. If I had to make a bet on it I would say it will dip but you never know.

When I look at some of the opportunities that I missed over the past month it shows what can be achieved if you are on it and sharp on a regular basis. The index can offer you many ways to make money it’s just a case of taking advantage.

The IPOs happening in the middle of the night is an example. The Birthday Bonus is another. The international games offering PB and IPDs is another. Next month could see something else come up. FI can be the gift that keeps on giving if you are set to take it.

I mean, I’ve made 100% ROI in 6 weeks of starting this blog series. That is crazy.

Thanks for reading and see you on the next one. Don’t forget you can find me on Twitter @GingerPirlo_FI and I’m always on IndexGain. I am also now apart of an FI Newsletter with FIG and co so keep a lookout for that. It comes out every fortnight.

Peace out.

 

 

Advertisements

Episode 1 – Can I make a living from Football Index? – Has it started well…?

“…I am not expecting the same level of results on my next update.”

Welcome to the first update of my ‘Can I make a living from Football Index?’ series.

I just want to say straight off the bat, the positive reaction and messages I received on my Twitter feed and IndexGain for the intro article of the series were amazing. I did not expect it and thanks for all the very kind words, glad you enjoyed it!

If you haven’t read it yet it can be found here and pinned to my FI dedicated Twitter account @GingerPirlo_FI 

I also want to clarify (if that’s the correct and proper word to use) that the title of the series was the question I first asked when I looked into joining the Index. I am not suggesting that I quit all other forms of employment to suddenly become a full-time FI trader.

My working situation is and was slightly unique in that I had different contract type roles in and around football and was always looking out for more opportunities to add to this. The index intrigued me as a possible addition to my income and gave it a go.

I quit
So, with that being said I am not going to go out and say other people should jack in the day job and make your living trading footballers. That isn’t what this blog series is about.

Its purpose is to show what can be achieved with a modest budget in FI terms & whether or not it can be a nice little earner. Or better still, a quality earner!

Now, if someone out there takes this series or anything else they see and says to themselves, “f*ck it, I’m in” and goes full-time trader mode, then that’s their choice. I neither promote it nor disapprove it. Totally up to you.

Please don’t send your wife, husband or oversized child round to give me a slap if you missed a mortgage payment or cancelled the trip to Disneyland if you have a poor month or two.

However, If you end up having an amazing time of it, then I am open to commission or gifts, obviously.

So to be clear. In my opinion, you CAN make a living from Football Index.

We all define what that actually is different, but I would say for your average working-class person living in an affordable place in the country, it’s achievable. Let’s say they are single also with no responsibilities. Bloody kids. Expensive things.

If you already have access to shit loads of money to plough into this platform than chances are you could live off what you get back alone. We regularly see the tweets or screenshots of those making thousands from just dividends alone on a monthly basis, so these folk are loving FI life & very comfortable. Rich bags. : D

Rich Di Caprio

But that’s easy (kind of), what I will (hopefully) show you is what can be achieved with a modest amount of money in the index at any given time. It can be hard work but I am willing to do it. In fact, I love it and I am happy to sit for hours on a matchday to try and maximise returns.

I will also show you how I did it (minus the finer details). I will also tell you about the missed opportunities that would have made profits even higher. Trust me, it happens and I kick myself quite often.

Now, there are many, many other people on the index that will make more hard cash than me. Fact. However, I will show you my percentage returns across a period of time and you can multiply that to whatever budget you have. This is a key point to make.

I speak in this series on behalf of a moderate-sized budget at this moment in time of under £10k. Some would say under £10k is actually ‘small’, but you can make your own definitions. Several grand is still a decent sum of money in anyone’s book.

I started life on the index with £50, a minuscule amount. I added a few hundred, small amount. I never went over investing around £2.5k of my own money into the platform. This was more than enough for me and I will never deposit any more.

So going forward, if you take inspiration from this series (some have said as much to me already!) and you have more available cash, go for it. If you have less than me, it doesn’t matter. What percentage are you getting back and over what time period? That’s the question.

Ok, that’s my disclaimers out the way so let’s crack on. 😀

 

The start

“I felt the new scoring matrix would inject this type of performance with steroids”

A quick reminder of where I started this series.

After a bit of an upheaval in my life and trying to sort that out, resulting in a poor opening weekend which I should have just left well alone, I sold a few players I had in my port on the 11th August, keeping one or two and started fresh.

I said to myself to stop chasing things if I wasn’t in a strong position to take advantage of them properly and efficiently and vowed to “trade smarter”. So what did I do?

Well, I had around £6,700 in the index and I invested in 11-12 players that looked to have good fixtures at the start of the season and/or looked to be in decent enough form leading up to the brand new season.

The first player I bought was Sven Bender. I noticed in Leverkusen’s opening German cup game just before the league campaign kicked off,  he started in the centre of a back three and had stats that were off the scale.

He passed the ball around 150 times, grabbed an assist, managed a few interceptions, aerial duels and attempted a very healthy amount of long balls.

BenderBender2drawing

I felt the new scoring matrix would inject this type of performance with steroids and he seemed to totally outperform his teammate Jonathan Tah (£1.55), who is and rightfully so a bit of an Index darling with his PB scores last season. He is also three times as expensive.

In case you’re not aware, Tah endlessly passed the ball over and over again into people’s ports, racking up the PB scores with Leverkusen’s new manager’s obsession with possession and playing out from the back.

The big centre back also made yours truly some decent money after buying him low and selling high. Buy low, sell high? That might catch on…

But, with Bender, had I stumbled onto a possible PB monster for just 46p? Leverkusen started the season against a newly promoted side as well, so I went for it and invested £500 into him, which was about 1087 shares. (the below includes a few extra shares I bought at a later date)

Bender3

As I am writing this up he is sitting at 69p after a few others saw what I saw and has started the season well, outscoring Tah (PB wise) in both opening fixtures. Will that PB win come? Possibly. He has a chance with the perfect storm of dominance and a clean sheet.

Some of you who read the Intro article may be thinking ‘I thought you don’t chase PB or divs?’

Well, I don’t in general but if Mr Bender puts in big PB scores he will continue to get attention. If he wins, then it’s rocket time. It’s the Capital Appreciation I really want, not the divs. They’re a bonus if they come.

After Bender, I looked into the fixtures and bought players who I believe have good sentiment from last season and a chance of performing in games up until the next month. Or in other words, the next 30-day In-Play Dividend schedule (IPD purchases last for 30 days).

Come Monday night, I had around 11 players in my “port” with some money left in my account and was ready to go.

Who did I get on?

“……. (Big mistake!!!)”

A couple of players I had bought that weekend were Lucas Lima who I grabbed after he started in the front three for Nantes, even though he is a defender. Very cheap with a 1p spread. Lovely.

Plus my old mate Jose Fonte who had got an assist in this game versus Nantes who I bought and kept. He is so cheap and can hit a solid PB score on his day so I decided to keep him.

After looking into Sven Bender, I knew Leverkusen had a half-decent start so got one of my favourite players Kevin Volland who leads their line very well. I also grabbed Bender’s even cheaper defensive partner Dragovic.

Volland

The German league (my favourite league for FI) was just kicking off and Leipzig had a decent looking start against a newly promoted team also, so bought into right wing-back Klostermann. He is capable of getting forward and grabbing a goal or assist.

I would have bought Halstenberg who takes set-pieces and also good for an IPD at left wing-back but he had an injury in pre-season so stayed off of him. In hindsight, I could have gone a bit further with some Leipzig choices.

Sticking with the German theme, Freiburg had a very favourable set of fixtures over the first three games with Mainz at home, followed by two newly promoted teams. Lovely. So, I invested in striker Waldschmidt who had just had a stonking u21 tournament in the summer and his strike partner, the very cheap and good for an IPDs, Nils Petersen.

Next, my attention was drawn to Wolfsburg who opened the season with a similar schedule, as they too had both promoted teams in the first three. So, there was only one thing on my mind and that was to get into one of my favourite players from last season Wout Weghorst.

At this stage of my purchases, I came to realise the Euro qualifiers were in the 30 day IPD period and now count for performance so went back to Leipzig and got striker Poulsen, as he had some easy fixtures for Denmark included in his domestic schedule. Though he had already had a rise at this point.

waldschmidt

I took a step away from the Bundesliga and went a bit French with Bertrand Traore who put in a decent PB score in his first game for an upcoming single game day and did the same with Jeff Reine-Adelaide. With Lyon’s Tousart also getting some love from me after outscoring his more expensive midfield teammates.

Before stepping away from Bundesliga completely, I noticed Dortmund also had some decent fixtures but I had spent a decent amount of money so grabbed just the one share of the following player just to keep track and a reminder to maybe buy later…

Purchased – Axel Witsel – 1 – £0.70 ……… (Big mistake!!!)

To finish off, I grabbed some Jamie Vardy to test whether he would get the same type of weekly build-up to an upcoming fixture like he did last season.

In case you are not aware, Vardy went through this rollercoaster life on the index last season of massive sell-offs after, or even during games, then he would be bought up again gradually for the following week. So, I gave him a go.

Meet the squad.

So who we got? My “squad” as of Monday 12th August looked like the following which was based on upcoming fixtures, those that had shown PB muscle or had their own unique reasons. I came to these choices using my years worth of knowledge and experience on the Index:

Lucas Lima – 300 futures – 53p. Cheap defender looking like he is being used as a winger. Could be another Youcef Atal.

Jose Fonte – 300 futures – 23p. Old but capable of very good PB scores and the odd goal or assist. Poor spread but I am letting it slide as he has got me an IPD already.

Jamie Vardy – 400 futures – 80p. Taking a punt on him to test whether he will get a rise before playing Sunday in a big televised game.

Bertrand Traore – 300 futures – £1.12. Another single game day coming up and got a big rise off the back of his first PB score. Is a forward and taking corners which adds to his PB score.

Jeff Reine-Adelaide – 300 futures – £1.05. Single-game day coming up and he too got a massive pump during his first game with a goal and assist. Had dropped a bit in price since at this point.

Lucas Tousart – 600 futures – 71p. Easily outscored his more expensive and hyped central midfield teammates at Lyon. Cheap and had grabbed a goal so also has a goal threat, even though is a holding midfielder by trade.

Kevin Volland – 600 futures – 87p. Leverkusen have a good fixture to kick off the new season and my old mate Kevin is always good for a goal or assist.

Lukas Klostermann – 300 futures – 95p. Attacking wing-back who loves to get in the box to try and create a goal or score himself. If he gets one and adds a clean sheet, happy days.

Wout Weghorst – 300 futures – 99p. I was a bit slow on getting on him as he had a decent rise that day so just grabbed 300. Has decent looking fixtures to start off the campaign and one of my boys who made a decent amount of money last season.

Weghorst

Sven Bender – 1100 futures – 46p. Chucked in a special performance and could be a steal at his price, was too good to turn down. He has to stay injury-free through which is something he didn’t do last season. Fingers crossed.

Aleksander Dragovic – 900 futures – 32p. He wasn’t far behind Bender with his own stats and is even cheaper. Took a punt in case he starts and does the business also.

Nils Petersen – 600 futures – 51p. He is a very capable goalscorer on his day. I remember him a super sub during my Bundesliga analyst days. Cheap and up against favourable opposition for three games on the trot.

Gian-Luca Waldschmidt – 600 futures – 97p. Young and carrying some quality sentiment from the recent u21 tournament where he finished as top scorer. Has those favourable fixtures and seems to be on penalties. Boom.

Yousef Poulsen – 500 futures – £1.06. Has some good fixtures including Denmark matches against minnows of Europe. Had a 10p rise before I bought after hesitating initially but had to get some.

(I also wanted to get on some Belgian players like Mertens and Lukaku but had spent a large chunk, so just like Axel Witsel I bought one of each. Spoiler alert – these three players skyrocketed and I missed out on huge profits but that’s the index and shows why the more money you have to use, the more money you make)

So that’s a “squad” of 14 players come Monday night at a total cost of £4,850. Leaving around £1850 in my account for if and when I need it.

 

How did you get on?

Let me start off by saying that I was debating whether to actually start this series for a few weeks, so for this time period from 12th August until typing this up now on 30th August, I don’t have a lot of info on most of my trades in terms of screenshots etc.

I am also still up in the air as to how I will show the progress made going forward. For this opening update, I am going to cut straight to the chase and then tell you about some of the trades made after. I can’t show them all as I make LOTS OF TRADES! 😀

The time right now is 4.36pm on Friday 30th August. I am looking forward to the games tonight and as I check my port I can show you what I have in the Index right here, right now:

Aug Screenshot

As you can see, if you add what’s currently in my port with what’s in my account, I have the following amount in the Index: £6033.63 + £3649.44 = £9683.07.

It’s been 19 days since I started with £6700

So that is an increase of £2,983.07. In percentage terms that is a return of 44.52%.

Below is what is in my port as I type right now. Please do take away 11 players from that 23 as those are all players I am tracking with just one share to their name, so it’s really just 12.

Aug Screenshot Green

Results summary

In just under three weeks I have (practically) made £3k. That’s a grand a week. I have a return of 44.52% doing what I do and trading how I have. I am very pleased.

Now, I will say this. The Index has been slightly unique in this period with the excitement that a new season brings. Traders can’t wait to invest in this, that or whoever if he looks like gold, so I will categorically say I am not expecting the same level of results on my next update.

The biggest trend in this period has been around the new PB matrix and people looking for the next big thing, we have seen some huge in-play rockets based on early looking monster PB scores and I managed to catch a few and ride the wave.

Eventually, the market will slow down on these types of in-play rockets and go back to “usual” but when one door closes, a window may open somewhere else so it’s important to always be on the lookout for trends and try to take advantage of them. No matter what it is.

How did the original “squad of 14” get on?

Looking back at my transaction history, I trade a lot. That’s for sure. Out of my 14 “squad members” I bought on the 12th August, I currently still own five.

One of which, Weghorst, I have increased my holding when he bagged another goal last weekend from my initial 300 futures to 900. This obviously changes my average holding cost of him but for this time period he has returned me the following in CA:

WeghorstProfit

He has also brought in some IPDs with two goals in two games and he has decent looking fixures including single-game days, so I am not looking to shift him on just yet.

My Freiburg boys in Waldschmidt and Petersen have brought in the IPDs also, as they have grabbed a goal or an assist in each of their opening two games.

Waldschmidt naturally gets more CA attention but I am keeping them both for this weekend at home to Koln, plus Wald has just been called up to the German senior team for the first time.

Wald & Peter

The old man Jose Fonte has had a nice rise from 23p to 29p with a couple of half-decent PB scores and Lille have a good set of fixtures coming up. Will I keep him for the whole season? That would be a first. I also still have Sven Bender in my port to make up the famous five.

I sold the rest at different stages. Adelaide overnight from buying him got some transfer news to Lyon and I sold off the back of that. However, I sold WAY too early and would have been better off missing that news and finding a nice surprise late in the day. Never mind.

I sold Lima a few days back for a little profit after he started in his usual left-back spot and lost his unique selling point. Luckily for me, he has just transferred to a non-PB league so his hype really was short and sweet.

I sold Poulsen, then bought back and now sold again for very little return tbh. Was better off keeping him throughout. That was poor trading.

Sold Klostermann during opening Leipzig game, as he was totally outperformed by Halstenberg who did play in the end and grabbed a goal and assist! I bought him though in-play so got some IPDs and a little profit in there.

Had to dump Dragovic as he didn’t start the Leverkusen match. I broke even though as he had a rise after I bought him and all commission was covered. He was a punt in any case, just didn’t come off. No harm done.

Kevin Volland was a successful trade. I have sold him now but he grabbed some nice IPDs (like he does) and I sold my 600 futures around the £1.10 mark on average from an 87p trade. Nice. I will own you again Kevin, we both know this.

Bertrand Traore didn’t work out so well. He hardly moved in price all week and didn’t do anything during that single game day so dumped at a loss. Poor trade.

Lucas Tousart was a very good trade in the end, as by the time I sold him he went up to over a £1 after I initially got him for 79p.

The only problem was I sold half my stake well before this and never topped up. It’s painful watching a player grow like that with a small holding. But a profit is a profit.

vardy

Mr Vardy, king of parties, was ok. Nothing special. Sold him for about 84p. I did the Vardy thing again the week after and made a bit more on him. Although I sold before kick-off and he went and scored to reach 89p I think. Still, a profit is a profit.

So a mixed bag from these trades but overall a very healthy profit. I think I was up like 17% in no time at all just on these lot alone and then I had my in-play stuff and other trades flowing afterwards.

Speaking of which…

 

How else did I make my money?

“I had a really good day…”

In-play is a big part of what I do on Football Index.

I mentioned a few strategies in the intro article and I came to realise very early in my time on the Index, that players can have big rises with goals or impressive performances, so it made sense to get involved with this especially considering my lack of huge funds.

To make this part a bit clearer, I will show you some in-play trades from the first few match days at the very start of this series. I’ve picked out a few that spring to mind and also ones that I didn’t get on that would have been very profitable.

The below is a “weekend in the life of an in-play trader” if you like. The very short version : D

Saturday 17th Aug:

Hits

Wylan Cyprien – The Nice midfielder bagged another penalty and an assist which adds huge bonus points onto his already decent PB base. I got him at 99p and kept until I sold when he was £1.47. So almost a 50% rise over a week or so.

Ignatius Ganago – In the same game, young Nice forward Ganago scored the winning goal and won the penalty that Cyprien converted. I checked his price and was 60p so went on him. Held for the next game and sold for around the 78p mark. He went as high as 84p at one stage.

Hugo Diallo – As soon as Hugo Diallo stuck in his second of the game I bought a load. Sold quite quickly to the market once the masses cottoned on. Classic in-play flip.

Misses

Dani Ceballos – The above three trades I picked out were all done at night games as I was working during the day, so I missed out completely on the Ceballos rise. He went up like 60-70p or something stupid. I hope you got on.

Teemu Pukki – Another explosion with his hat-trick. A fine example of what can happen when you are on the ball in-play. His rise was massive so many people had lots of opportunities to get on and off with some profit. Whereas I was totally unaware as was working. Oh well.

pukki

Sunday 18th Aug

Sundays are usually a lot better for me (as long as I am not working at a game) as lots of games are available live somewhere and kick-off times are spread out accordingly across the day. This can help with focussing on specific games.

Hits

Mason Mount – He was playing in a Super Sunday game. He is a young exciting Englishman. He opened the scoring. I bought at £3.05. I sold at £3.32. Bread and butter.

Marcel Sabitzer – I knew of people talking about him earlier in the week so he had some incentive to keep my eye on him. He then goes and bags three assists and a goal for himself. I think I got on when he scored and reaped the rewards, as he continued to smash it afterwards with two more assists.

My only regret is not buying more when he got his second assist, as that was the point he went wild going up around 30p I believe. I kept him for a week or so before selling for a 50% profit.

Marcel Halstenberg – Another player with popularity. The defender opened the scoring so he was guaranteed a nice rise. I bought at 99p. He went on to reach £1.17 when he grabbed another assist. However, I didn’t sell as was too seduced by the 3p IPDs. He then dropped to £1.07 at full time. Hit and miss but I kept for a bit before selling.

(I had a really good day as other highlights were Sergio Reguillon, Martin Hinteregger and some others.)

Misses

Filip Kostic – He grabbed an assist within a minute. His PB score was doing very well. He shot up in price and I kind of just watched it happen. Slow from me but I can be stubborn at times and almost refuse to get on once missing the initial rise.

Monday 20th August

Hits

Anthony Martial – Tony Marshall as he is also known, has a lot of eyes on his potential role this season. If he is the leading striker, the Man Utd fans that are on the Index will be all over it. He bagged a goal in the Chelsea game and another one here would see another spike.

He did and I bought. £3.21 I got on and £3.48 I got off. Lovely jubbly.

I got on Ruben Neves at £1.66 & then at £1,69 when he smashed in the equaliser and sold at around the £1.76 mark so not bad. Nice little bonus.

Anthony-Martial

So there are some picked out trades from that weekend. I make A LOT of trades so to list them all would be silly. I have left out the weekend after this as the article would become too long, but it was also a decent one overall with some steady profit.

Remember, not all trades come off. Some hardly move and I sell at a small loss after commission. Sometimes I am just too late to the party. It happens. Every week. It’s part of the game.

I am gonna mention that I do like IPDs and for this weekend of the 17th and 18th of August, I had a total haul of £133 for Saturday and Sunday. These are a lovely commission-free bonus that tallies up over time.

Aug19th IPDSAug18th IPDS

My current total of £2,356(ish) of dividends is mainly IPDs. I can’t put an exact figure on it but 90% wouldn’t surprise me. This is my buzz that others get from PB and MB wins. Get your buzzes where you can. : D

 

So what do you think?

I haven’t gone into real fine details on this first episode as a lot of time has been put into clarifying a few things and keeping it on a general theme for an opening update. The episodes will be shorter I suspect going forward once it gets going.

It goes without saying I was very happy with the results even with missing out on some HUGE profits and with the odd trading mistake, but let this be a sign of what can really be achieved on this platform.

Reminder:

I now have £9,683 in the Index from starting with £6,700. (as of 30th August – 5pm)

I made £2,983 in 19 days. That is a return of 44.52% in this period.

I can tell you my overall profit now sits at £14,482 as of 30th August 2019. I have put £2.5k of my own money as a true deposit. I started the index on the 5th September 2018, so coming up to a year. I am glad I joined. : D

So, that’s the first episode done and dusted. Let me know what you think by commenting on the article, sending me a message or tweet to @GingerPirlo_FI and you can always find me on IndexGain. If you haven’t signed up yet, what are you waiting for? You can do so on this link.

Just one last thing to finish…

…do you think you can make a living from Football Index? 😀

Peace out. Good luck with your trading!

Survival Sunday prediction

I am gonna look into my crystal ball and make a bold claim.

Now that the likes of Newcastle, Bournemouth are safe and I think Crystal Palace will comfortably stay up. This is what I think will happen in terms of the relegation battle:

Brighton and/or Huddersfield won’t get another point for the rest of the season. Their respected fixtures are quite honestly, rock hard (old term, thought I would use it) so will be stranded on 35 points. (I repeat at least one of them. maybe both)

Southampton will manage to get themselves a couple of wins and a draw in the coming weeks, most likely against Leicester away, Bournemouth at home and Swansea away. This would also put them on 35 points heading into Man City at home on the final day.

Now, Swansea are on 33 at the moment with Man City away, Chelsea at home and Bournemouth away. At best I think they can get a point or two from these games but it’s also likely they won’t get anything.

Then they have that Southampton game and given my prediction above, they will only draw this game at best and will be somewhere around the 35 point mark themselves heading into their final day showdown with Stoke (who I think will be already gone)

So, going into the last game of the season, we could have a situation where all four of these teams are sat on 35 points and we could have a goal difference decider on who gets dumped into the Championship. With all that being said here is who I think it will be:

15th – Swansea
16th – Huddersfield
17th – Southampton
18th – Brighton
19th – Stoke
20th – West Brom

Saints survive an onslaught from Man City and keep the score down to stay up on goal difference.

Sorry Brighton, but just like when you blew the Championship title last season, it could be last day heartbreak for you again from a seemingly comfortable position.

@TheGingerPirlo_

Brighton

Weird transfer XI – Some shockers in here!

There have been some weird transfers over the years. Some that just didn’t make sense at the time and seem even worse when you look back. Here are some that stick in my mind: 

GK: Edwin Van Der Sar – Juve to Fulham.

The whole thing was just weird. Clearly too good for them. Eventually made his move to Man U and won it all. What’s unreal is he was at Fulham for FOUR years. What a total waste of time.

RB: Mat Debuchy – Newcastle to Arsenal.

May not seem that weird but as a Newcastle fan, we couldn’t believe Arsene Wenger paid us twice as much as we did for him, to take him off our hands. He’s done nothing at Arsenal and none of us are surprised. Weird.

(I also have to mention Julian Faubert from West Ham to Real Madrid on loan. Very strange one)

CB: Laurent Blanc – Inter to Man Utd. 

Seriously this one was weird for the entire time he was there. He was clearly too old and contributed to Fergie’s worst ever season in the Premier League. So ridiculous.

CB: David Luiz – PSG to Chelsea.

This one was weird right? No-one could understand it. He then helped them win the league. So weird. He’s now not in the team. Not so weird.

LB: Mikael Silvestre – Man Utd to Arsenal.

I found this one just very strange. I couldn’t get my head around it. Fergie never sells to a rival, so he must have been past it, but he wasn’t that bad, which made it all just weird.

CM: Thomas Gravesen – Everton to Real Madrid.

Has there ever been a weirder permanent transfer? He actually played as well. Twilight zone.

CM: Edgar Davids – rocks up at Barnet.

This wasn’t a transfer and he was player-manager (kind of) but come on. Edgar Davids playing for Barnet? Weirdo.

CM: Ivan Campo – Real Madrid to Bolton.

I could have put Fernando Hierro in this team or even Djorkaeff but Campo was still in his prime and had only recently stopped polishing his Champions League medal. He would spend six years at Bolton. Six.

FW: Nicolas Anelka – Fenerbahce to Bolton.

PSG, Arsenal, Real Madrid, Man City, Fenerbahce, Bolton, Chelsea, wait what? If Anelka were to go for a job interview, he would need to explain the gap in his CV for that 2-year spell at Bolton Wanderers. How? Why?

FW: George Weah – Milan to Chelsea.

This was just weird. It’s like it never happened but it did and I for one can’t forget it. George Weah was a mirage, a mysterious idol to be watched only on Football Italia, winning World player of the year. Not struggling to play up front with Chris Sutton. No. No. No.

FW: Ian Rush & John Barnes – Leeds & Liverpool to Newcastle.

First off, these are two players so technically makes my XI a 12 man team. However, they came at the same time and given their ability at their respective ages, they just about make up one players worth.

As a Toon fan, I watched Kevin Keegan sign Ferdinand & Ginola in 1995 and almost won us the league. I then saw Kenny Dalglish sell them both in 1997 & replace them with over the hill Ian Rush & John Barnes. What? I know they say ‘sign what you know’ but this destroyed our team and put the club back for years. Perhaps forever. Why Kenny? Why? Utter nonsense.

Follow me on Twitter @ToonBano

The shocking truth behind the failed Chelsea’s Kenedy deal. It’s totally unacceptable…

Charnley

As a Newcastle fan it is obvious our window was beyond a joke built up of lies and misery. However, I just want to make clear to everyone how either incompetent our administration is or how scumbaggery they are towards our official ‘UEFA Elite Coach’ Rafa Benitez. Or perhaps they are both.

We had in place a deal for Chelsea left back Kenedy sorted TWO WEEKS AGO but it could only be finalised once Chelsea brought in a first team wing back themselves. Fine.
Oxlade-Chamberlain was their first choice but that fell through on Deadline Day morning as he joined Liverpool. So, my amazing club concluded that the Kenedy deal was off.

Now, this is where some serious explaining needs to happen as at 2.30pm Chelsea agreed a fee for Zappacosta in light of missing out on the Ox. The whole football world knew this as the fact he had Costa in his name brought great attention. So, the Kenedy deal to NUFC is back on right? Apparently no.

Despite there being a good 8 hours or so for Newcastle to get in contact with Chelsea and sort out arrangements for Kenedy making his way to the North East in anticipation of Zappacosta signing, which in turn we could confirm Kenedy…Newcastle Utd announced at 7 pm that they had shut up shop with no more business for the day.

Apparently no. Despite there being a good 8 hours or so for Newcastle to get in contact with Chelsea and sort out arrangements for Kenedy making his way to the North East in anticipation of Zappacosta signing, which in turn we could confirm Kenedy…Newcastle Utd announced at 7 pm that they had shut up shop with no more business for the day.

Are you having a laugh?
Rafa Benitez has woke up this morning to a first team that is minus a left back. A left back that he had lined up a fortnight ago. Chelsea have their new wing back in place to make the deal happen, so why don’t we have it?
This isn’t due to time restraints as Zappacosta was in place many many hours before the window was due to shut. If Zappacosta deal somehow fell through, then Kenedy would too. That’s fine.
But to not have Kenedy at the training ground last night with medical done just waiting for the nod from Chelsea after Zappacosta was confirmed is totally unforgivable for its senseless incompetence.

Newcastle Utd is ran by con men who should be nowhere near the positions they hold. A 15-year-old boy addicted to Football Manager could conduct transfer activity better than them.

Or maybe it’s down to they just don’t want to bring any much needed new players in. That means spending money. Which we all know Premier League clubs don’t have….?

So in which case…what are you doing here? Get out of my club. What possible enjoyment do Ashley and his administration get out of it? Name me one thing? Shambles.

Once Rafa walks, everybody else should too.  Fans first, then Ashley will follow. It’s the only way to get rid of him. He isn’t interested in owning a club with an empty stadium. He will sell and we can finally move on.

The Ginger Pirlo.

The truth behind tactical Transfer Requests: They don’t always come from players!

“On most occasions transfer requests don’t come from the player, they are instigated either directly or indirectly by the player’s club”

We live in an age where players look to demand transfers and force their way out of their current football club to go to another, as player power rules all and contracts aren’t worth the paper they are written on. They do this by issuing a transfer request to the shock and dismay of their club. Right?

Wrong. On most occasions transfer requests don’t come from the player, they are instigated either directly or indirectly by the player’s club for a couple of reasons. The main one being when a player signs a contract with a club they (somehow) have a ‘loyalty bonus’ within that which is paid out to them if they were to leave the club before the contract expires. Mental, I know.

Now for a club to get out of paying such ‘loyalty bonus’ the player himself needs to show a distinct lack of ‘loyalty’ by doing something like issuing a transfer request to enforce a transfer away from the club. Once this is in place the club don’t have to pay him squat in any ‘loyalty bonus’ and save themselves millions of pounds.

The other reason a club will want their superstar, or not, player to hand in an official transfer request is accountability. We all here fans & pundits criticise their clubs when they sell a big player as they wanted them to stay.

Remember Liverpool making a huge mistake selling Xabi Alonso to Real Madrid? Fans and experts alike will still tell you today that it was. The fact is, the only mistake Liverpool made was to not get Xabi Alonso to make his desire to join Madrid public and officially request a transfer. If they had, then this myth that Alonso had any remote chance of staying at Anfield wouldn’t exist.

We sit here as I type with Philippe Coutinho and Virgil Van Dyke wanting to move to bigger football clubs but both of their respective clubs have issued unwavering statements categorically stating ‘he ain’t leaving, no matter what’. Since both statements were released to the media, sure enough, the player’s agent have released their own ‘statement’ of sorts with official transfer requests.

Now, if and when Coutinho and Van Dijk make their moves before 1st September, not only will Liverpool and Southampton have made an eye-watering amount of transfer money, they will have saved a few million by not having to pay the player his ‘loyalty bonus and also NOBODY can criticise the club for not trying to keep the player. It seems to be a win-win for everyone involved, although that isn’t necessarily true.

The party which will have a cloud hanging over them will be the player. Liverpool fans are already burning their Coutinho shirts as we speak and Southampton fans will never name their child Virgil if they were for some reason thinking about it. Plus, they also miss out on a few million of a loyalty bonus but the dent in reputation will hurt more than in their hefty pockets.

Have a look at the criticism Chelsea have received by selling Nemanja Matic to Man Utd and the constant questions Antonio Conte has to answer for his clubs ‘strange’ behaviour. The fact is, Matic wanted to work with Jose Mourinho and Chelsea had already replaced Matic with a younger player in Bakayoko weeks previous.

Now if Matic had handed in an official transfer request, would Chelsea be receiving any criticism? Doubtful. Would Conte be needing to defend his clubs actions in selling Matic to a rival? No. With all this in mind, it makes you actually wonder why the club didn’t go down the tactical transfer route to save them the trouble. Perhaps they did but the player refused.

Gary Neville has questioned Chelsea’s decision to allow midfielder Nemanja Matic to join title rivals Manchester United this summer.

The Premier League champions sanctioned the Serbia international’s departure to Old Trafford in July for a fee of £40m.

However, the Sky Sports pundit has labelled the sale “strange”, especially given the role Matic played in helping the Blues win the Premier League last season.

Football is a dirty business at times. We all know that player power rules football. But the factor of an official transfer request before any deals go through actually puts the club in a very controlling position.

They can sell a player, potentially destroy his reputation (at least with its own fans) and keep their own reputation intact by avoiding any potential criticism for lack of ambition or being a sell-out. The player issuing a transfer request gives them ‘no choice’ at the end of the day. No responsibility.

In some instances, like the Andy Carroll £35million transfer from Newcastle to Liverpool in 2011, the club rang Carroll up as he was already on his way to sign for Liverpool (in Mike Ashley’s private helicopter!) requesting that he handed in a transfer request otherwise the deal was off!

Carroll didn’t have much choice and did as he was asked which saved Newcastle a couple of million quid by avoiding paying his loyalty bonus but at the same time destroyed the local lad’s reputation with some Geordies that will never be fixed.

So the next time you see a player hand in a transfer request ask yourself why? Is it him throwing his toys out the pram and demanding a move or is the club forcing it upon him?

Follow The Ginger Pirlo on Twitter @ToonBano

Claude Puel has taken Southampton backwards this season

Claude Puel has taken Southampton backwards this season and wasted any feel good factor the club had over the past couple of years.

Many were surprised to see Puel chosen as the man to replace Ronald Koeman after the Dutchman walked out to join Everton. A relatively unknown coach over here and not the big name many Southampton fans were hoping for to build on their impressive 6th place finish in 2015/16. Not many managers inherit a football club on such a high, given that most walk into a dressing room void of any confidence, half way through a season, as the club has just sacked the previous man in charge.

The Frenchman had a whole pre-season to bring in the players he wanted, to either develop a new style of play or to continue playing in the successful continental manner Southampton have enjoyed since Mauricio Pochettino replaced Nigel Adkins in 2013.

Looking at the performances so far this season he hasn’t really done one or the other. Any changes he has made have been small and detrimental to the team and players. For e.g. the first month or so he insisted on playing a natural wide player, like Nathan Redmond or Dusan Tadic, as the central striker of a front three with natural centre-forwards mainly played in the wide positions. It just didn’t make sense and now the players are suffering from it.