Episode 4 – ‘Can I make a living from Football Index?’ – Black November?

“If people take my blog for inspiration for this behaviour I don’t think they are reading it very well.”

Welcome to the fourth instalment of the ‘Can I make a living from Football Index’ series. 

The first three months have gone well but what would November bring? The new boosted dividend payouts started on November 1st and we also had a couple of batches of IPO’s. Question is, have I took advantage?

I left you last time out excited about the soon to be increased dividends payouts and looking forward to the added boost this would give dividend winning players.

How’s the ‘200 club’ going?

You may remember in anticipation for this I started a “200 club” which was made up of (what I believed to be) the best players on the platform capable of competing for dividends on a regular basis at 200 shares each.

The initial inductees were Neymar, Messi, Kroos and Alexander-Arnold. This covered all three positions of defender, midfielder and forward as well as a bit of media from three of them in particular.

Looking at these four players in terms of dividends earned since forming this new little club, they have brought back the following from its inception. Bear in mind they also brought in some divs before the November increase even kicked in:

type name quantity total date
Match Day Dividends Lionel Messi 200 £8 28/11/2019 00:13
Match Day Dividends Lionel Messi 200 £8 28/11/2019 00:11
Match Day Dividends Toni Kroos 200 £8 17/11/2019 00:13
Match Day Dividends Toni Kroos 200 £8 17/11/2019 00:10
Media Dividends Trent Alexander-Arnold 200 £6 11/11/2019 00:12
Match Day Dividends Lionel Messi 200 £16 10/11/2019 00:13
Match Day Dividends Lionel Messi 200 £16 10/11/2019 00:11
Match Day Dividends Trent Alexander-Arnold 200 £16 03/11/2019 00:12
Match Day Dividends Toni Kroos 200 £6 31/10/2019 00:12
Match Day Dividends Toni Kroos 200 £4 31/10/2019 00:10
Match Day Dividends Lionel Messi 200 £4 30/10/2019 00:14
Match Day Dividends Lionel Messi 200 £2 30/10/2019 00:12

Not a bad little return on just Match Day and Media dividends alone. They also brought in IPDs for goals and assists seeing as I was in the first 30 days. The real money made was in Capital Appreciation. TAA and Kroos, in particular, have skyrocketed over the past month.

So much in fact that I have actually bought more of these two at given points and sold on to take the profit, leaving 200 left in my port going forward. This has ruined any average price or percentages but there was money to be made so I took it. 😀

Image

It’s difficult to say the exact amount of profit these four lads have brought me in this “200 club” period, as I don’t even remember what day I started it and I have owned some of these players beforehand.

However, since the start of 1st October, these four players alone have made me £2110 looking at buys/sales/divs/commission from my downloaded transaction history on the Beta site and what they are worth now sat in my port. I am not gonna complain at that return.

I have also added Memphis Depay into the club on the 29th October. I could see him getting lots of action and I didn’t want to wait too long so jumped in before he broke the £4 barrier. He has brought me a few goals and an assist with a rise of 46p so not bad. He is injured atm so will see what he can do when fully fit and raring to go. 😀

depay

 

What’s the next trend?

“…he has the skills to suit the new matrix”

A few people have asked me directly what I think the next trend is gonna be and I have heard it/seen it being discussed on podcasts, Twitter and Indexgain. It’s always hard to say with complete 100% certainty but one thing that does stand out to me is “PB youth”.

Or to be more specific, younger players that look to have a big PB game for the future. The nearer the future the better. I don’t even know if this can be seen as “a trend” per se but if you can invest in a younger player who can challenge for PB, you are on to a winner right?

Some players I have put into this bracket are James Maddison, Rodrygo and Reece James to name a few. All three of these players are at different stages in their careers and also FI journeys but one thing they all have in common is their age. They are all 23 or under.

Maddison is a few years older than the others and has a full season in the Premier League under his belt, Rodrygo is a just few months into his new (massive) club and Reece James has literally just got his first couple of starts.

Maddison

Maddison showed last season that he has the skills to suit the new matrix as his key passes and chances created stats are right up there with any player in Europe. He is also on set pieces so his PB score can fly on any given Match Day, which we have already seen this season. Add in the England factor he has it all going for him.

Rodrygo has already won PB divs twice this season within a week of each other, and for an 18-year old, he looks to be a potential world-beater. What has impressed me most of all is he can show to have a decent PB base for a forward so he isn’t completely reliant on hat-tricks to win dividends. Imagine where he can be price-wise in a few years?

Reece James is completely raw as an FI player as we only have a few appearances right now to judge him on. His 45-minute cameo in the Champions League against Ajax was impressive. Not only did he score but he provided 7 crosses in that 2nd half which as we all know can bring big PB scores to flying full-backs. At 19 years old, he is one to watch.

He followed this up with a very impressive first-half away to Valencia where he was smashing PB and playing his way into the first team. The below are his stats:

Reece James

So, with the above being said, it would be foolish of me to ignore the potential of players like this. So as well as the ‘200 club’ being opened up for the established PB Gods and Kings, I have also invested in some PB Princes that could go on to rule the Index in the future.

No surprises that Maddison, Rodrygo and James are in there seeing as I just bigged them up and I have also added Benjamin Pavard who amazingly is still only 23. He has been putting in some quality performances and showing what Kimmich would be doing if he wasn’t now (seemingly) first choice midfielder.

I got on him when he scored last weekend (yes, it was his goal) and he has put in another decent UCL PB score and has broken through the £2 barrier. I got on him at £1.38 and has already given me a Gold Match Day div win, a goal and an assist. He could be up near £3 come the Euros.  Happy days. 

Pav Divs

I also added Leipzig 20-year-old centre back Dayot Upamecano, his PB threat has always been there and with a recent PB win and his last two performance getting a PB score of just under 200 without a clean sheet bonus, I couldn’t wait any longer. He also has transfer links and could be a future FI monster.

A couple of other players I have added are Christopher Nkunku and Panagiotis Retsos. Nkunku was more of a fixture buy given Leipzig had a tasty 30-day period and he showed he could put in a good PB score with a threat of a GWG but if he does the business he could be a keeper.

Retsos got his first start in a year for Leverkusen and given their strategy of knocking it around at the back, I grabbed some and see if he can put in some PB scores like his teammate Sven Bender. At 20-years old and 46p, there wasn’t much risk there.

Are these players all 200 share purchases a piece you may ask? No, given their lower price (Maddison and Rodrygo aside) and huge potential to grow I have 300 shares (give or take) in these lot.

How can you suddenly afford this lot on top of your 200 shares in elite players you may also ask? Well, let’s answer that by swiftly going onto this months numbers.

 

November numbers

I am taking these numbers as of 28th November, exactly a month after the previous episode on 28th Oct. I will point out immediately that I have taken out £900 this month but will also show stats as if I hadn’t for a clearer outlook on the progress made.

Last month I had £17,473 in the Index, this month I now have £23,933. Which is an increase of £6,460. If you add the £900 taken out it works out at £7,360 increase over the month.

This sits at £1,666 a week which has been above my ongoing average of around £1,000 a week so far this season. So, November has been a cracker!

The total profit made since starting this blog a week into the season is now £19,233. Starting with a “budget” of £6,700 this is an ROI return of 287% over a period of just under 16 weeks.

My all-time profit has now ticked over the £30k mark and stands at £30,730. My divs have had a nice boost also and ticked over the £4k mark to £4,228.

Nov All-time ProfitNov Divs

Looking back at Episode 3 it has been some jump in numbers this time around. My profits are up 31.5% and dividends have gone up 23.7% since then which is huge considering the size of the payouts and difficulty in winning them.

IPOs

This month also had two batches of IPO’s which I painstakingly tried to take advantage of as best I could. That first week of 24 hours a day for 5 days was tough. I couldn’t stay away for that fear of missing a big one so stuck it out for pretty much the entire process.

After a few close shaves, tech issues and overcoming just sheer boredom I came away with £1,700 on the first batch. The second batch was a much better process with actual time slots and I made £800 on these bringing my takings to £2.5k. I will take that.

Below is the first batch.

IPOs

 

A day in the life

“I was too stubborn in my ways… “

I have been asked a few times if I could show what a day in-play trading is like. I don’t have any videos or anything fancy to show but I can briefly go through some moments from the last one yesterday, which was 1st December.

Sundays are usually the best day for in-play trading as games are spread out nicely due to TV coverage and can have a few on before the dividend deadline. With the deadline now being extended to 3pm, this can create even more opportunity.

There were two tasty looking early games on with Sevilla and Juve at home as heavy favourites.

Bonucci opened the scoring for Juve to kick things off, which actually caught me off guard slightly, so just managed to get 300 at 53p. Juve went and conceded minutes later so I install sold him at 60p at a 2p spread, so a little bit of money made there.

Bonucci

A defender opening the scoring for the home team that are heavy favourites will always bring action and rises. Especially if he is the main defender with some decent PB. As chances are with a clean sheet you could be talking about the day’s top-scoring defender.

It happened on Saturday morning also when Ramos scored first for Madrid. I flipped 300 to the market nicely but gambled by keeping another 300 for possible divs. That didn’t make as much, as had to IS them when he gave away a penalty. Stupid Sergio.

In the Sevilla game Sunday morning, another defender (who had decent PB already in the match) broke the deadlock in the second half. Diego Carlos smashed one in which took him straight to the top of the PB rankings.

Diego Carlos

I bought him as quickly as I could when he hit the net and sure enough he got a massive rise. As he only had a 2p spread I kept all 600 gambling Sevilla would see the game out, which they did.

With 600 shares locked in, it was just a case of monitoring the day’s action to see if another defender could beat his score. With 8p top defender divs, it was a nice payout on top of the capital appreciation.

My average buy was 45p and he settled at 62pish so a possible 8p match divs and the 2p IPD on top was on the cards. Lovely.

He seemed to have it in the bag until Theo Hernandez scored a late winner in the AC Milan game which looked to have done him, so I instant sold Carlos at a 2p spread at an average of around 56p. Could have been more if I had cut loose quicker but take it and move on.

But that wasn’t all bad news.

I caught the Milan goal go in, so as I knew Theo has his admirers on the index I grabbed 600 of him once I knew he had scored and no VAR funny business was gonna rule it out. His spread was 3p but I didn’t let it put me off as if he won top defender or even star man, I thought this would bring action on him throughout the rest of the day.

Theo

He initially went up to 84p but with him being sat as star man, and winning it in the end, he did indeed get some investment and settled at 88p after all the matches were finished.

Now, I was unsure whether he would be sold off at midnight so I decided to list 300, which sold to the market, and I kept 300. Once midnight ticked by I took the IPDs and I listed the other 300 and they have sold at 88p so overall a decent trade.

If that was decent, I can’t say the next one was. Going into the day I had 600 Ciro Immobile. I actually had them listed for a day or two as I was lowish on funds and wasn’t 100% sure I wanted to keep him for the foreseeable.

Up against Udinese, the first half was before the 3pm deadline and he went and opened the scoring. I quickly delisted them and he had a nice rise. He went and scored again via a penalty, happy days, big rise.

Ciro graph.jpg

Now, here is where I should have perhaps thought about my holding. He had risen 32p at a peak from kick-off. If I had sold him to the market anywhere near this point I would have banked a huge profit. I didn’t.  I was too love-drunk on the potential for someone I had held for a few games potentially winning Gold divs.

I will say though that at this point he could have gone on to win Star Man the way he was playing and if he hadn’t have given a second penalty to Luis Alberto to bury, he would have done with a first-half hat trick. So it could have been a different story. Hindsight is always a genius.

In the end, he held on to top forward so I was well happy. He had dipped 5p from his peak rise but he was gonna return me 10p of matchday and in-play divs, so I was loving it. But I was loving it too much.

It never entered my mind that he may be dumped off after midnight like an unwanted Christmas present, as I still have the mentality that an 8p spread (or whatever it was) is pretty brutal.

I had a blind spot in my thinking. Maybe I need to get with the times as we are seeing some crazy ISing all over the shop these days. If I hadn’t had preowned him and bought him in-play, I very likely would have sold half and kept half like my Ramos trade on Saturday morning. I don’t get misty-eyed in flip mode. 😀

Ciro profit

What I did do was I listed them at midnight at £2.13 but I should have instant sold them, as others did in their droves and he went down around 6p in minutes. Then a few pennies more. Now this morning, he has dipped below £2. Unbelievable. Safe to say, I never saw that coming.

The right call would have been to just sell them in-play on the huge rise, but to be honest this was risking missing out on a potential huge div pay-out. The better call was to ignore spreads and think about what could happen to him in these modern times.

I could have IS’d him for £2.05ish but now I am left with him on the market at less than £2. You can’t always predict what’s gonna happen on the market as for all I know, I could have sold these at a decent price today or tomorrow and maximised profits.

The lesson to be learnt here is to not always have the “maximise profits” mentality but to always be open to a small loss to prevent a bigger one. I was too stubborn in my ways regarding his spread when others weren’t. Each trade is different but I will defo remember this one going forward.

I also bought some Jack Grealish when he scored against Man Utd, as he is getting people talking about him in regards to England and also as a decent FI player. But when he looked to have settled for the night, I stupidly listed and sold way too early despite me thinking he could reach £3 the next day as he was rising.

Going against your own judgement is the sharpest kick in the balls of all and I am trying not to look at his current price. Yikes 😀

Grealish listed

I also flipped some other players yesterday for small profits here and there and at the end made over £200 but as you can see it isn’t all plain sailing doing this in-play stuff. There are burns and missed opportunities everywhere as well as the smooth waves of profit. It’s constantly up and down just got ride it out and keep making money.

 

What will December bring?

“There is some responsibility with FI to make sure all news users know how to use the product but people also have to think for themselves.”

FI is giving away Xmas presents every single day for December with a nice Audi at the end of it. If I win any of these prizes then have a look out your window for some pigs flying pulling a sleigh with a half-naked Santa Adam Cole in it. It ain’t gonna happen. 😀

Market wise they are pushing out some heavy advertising which could see even more people join up and invest their gambling money. This may bring some rises but it may also bring some sharp drops at any given time, given the seeming extremely short-lived life span of some trades.

FI Xmas

What we are seeing at the moment sometimes makes me look like a lifetime investor. I have seen people buy very expensive players and be dumping them a day later, sometime just hours later. It’s a crazy and sure-fire way to piss money down the toilet. I wouldn’t advise it.

If people take my blog for inspiration for this behaviour I don’t think they are reading it very well. I am relatively short term, I am not instant. I have some method to what I do, even if it isn’t always spot on.

You may as well stick money on a player being the first goalscorer with a normal bookie and take the win or lose odds than buying him on the index to just dump soon after. The spread plus commission is killing you.

I am not talking about cheap players with small 2p or 3p spreads here obviously. I often take punts on these players time to time and there’s nothing wrong with that whatsoever. I am talking about decently priced players with wider spreads.

I ran a poll recently on whether people who signed up were aware of the market sell option. Around 16% said no. There is some responsibility with FI to make sure all news users know how to use the product but people also have to think for themselves.

When I joined up I didn’t use twitter for info. The first thing I did was join up to IndexGain as a quick google search sent me in that direction. Traders on there answered my questions.

I also experimented and explored what I was using before going in balls deep. If you click sell, there are two options. If you haven’t looked into what market sell might be or mean, then why not? Apologies but that’s just lazy. It isn’t like it’s hidden from you.

Have you used eBay before? What do you think selling to a market where people buy things at the price shown might mean? Try it. List 1 share and see what happens. I 100% understand FI don’t make it foolproof but the levels of what we are seeing are way too high IMO.

Anyway, I hope December is a fruitful month for you, there are plenty of games to get your teeth into even with the upcoming winter breaks in Europe, so I hope it goes well overall. Not sure when I will update the next episode, maybe in the early new year.

All the best!

Follow me on Twitter @GingerPirlo_FI

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Episode 3 – ‘Can I make a living from Football Index?’ – The short term game. Changed?

“I was very much anticipating a big comedown update for this episode…”

Welcome to the third instalment of the ‘Can I make a living from Football Index?’ series.

I left you at the end of September last time out and let’s just say October has been…interesting. The big news last month was the Birthday Bonus and this month was even bigger news, as FI unexpectedly announced a Dividend Review from absolutely nowhere. Scenes!

They called it a ‘review’ but traders quickly took that as ‘increase’ and rightfully so. Not only did this announcement come from nowhere, but it didn’t take long for Adam Cole to get bored of waiting and decided to bring the full announcement forward from the end of his month to the 18th October.

So, within 10 days we had an announcement of a review to the detailed announcement that dividends were going to be increased by 57% across the board. They say a week is a long time in football but in the Football Index world, things move very big, very quickly!

Div policy

 

So what did I do?

“It was straight forward in my head…”

I mentioned in the FI Newsletters that I was fortunate to have my phone to hand when the message came through from FI that they were going to ‘review’ dividends. After a minute or so of trying to formulate what this meant in my head and some ticker watching, it clicked that I should be getting into Dividend earners. So I did.

I couldn’t buy them all but chose the first ones that came to mind in the likes of Neymar, Alexander-Arnold, Messi and Kroos to name a few. I wasn’t as quick as some but managed to get on at a decent time, which brought instant profits that gained more slowly over time.

The plan was simple, to keep until the announcement came when we found out what was actually going to happen. It was straight forward in my head that whatever they were going to announce was going to benefit these div merchants and was a safe bet.

During this time I made a few sales and topped up on a few others and without boring you with detail, by the time FI opened up the market with the 57% announcement my profits soared. I could have made more but could have made less, so not gonna hang on to any of that. No complaints 😀

57 decrease increase

Much needed

This random dividend announcement was much needed as it goes for me, as at the start of October my profits had flatlined. I was very much anticipating a big comedown update for this episode but this has practically saved it.

This was due to a mixture of a drop on some of my players from the birthday bonus ending on 30th Sep, being unavailable to trade on some decent match days and the International break coming in which was a bit of a dead dud.

Luckily for me, it’s very rare a period of time goes on the index without some event happening and this month has been no exception. Big time. Not to mention the actual birthday bonus landing in our accounts the next day after the dividend details came out. You beauty!

The ins and outs

I am typing this up on the 28th Oct, so just over a month since the last update. 33 days to be precise. I am gonna time a 28 days later update at some point just for the sake of it. Balls, it’s Halloween now would have been good. Oh well, chance lost, move on.

I will say straight away that I have made some withdrawals this month. I have taken out £1100 in total over this time period of 33 days. After the last update I did put back in the £800 I had previously taken out to take advantage of the 10% bonus, but that is back out again with another £300 on top.

Speaking of which, my bonus came to £652.30 which was a combination of money I had to spend in my account and some I was able to stick in afterwards.

So, some numbers:

Last month I had £12,752 in the index. This month I have £17,473. Which is an increase of £4,721 over the course of 33 days. This is an increase of 37%.

This maintains my ongoing average of making around £1000 a week. Was actually £1001.36 in this time period to be precise. I never thought I was going to be writing this after the first week of October let me tell you.

Since I started this blog series on 11th August the total amount made has gone up to £11,873.

I started this series off with £6,700 so this has seen a return of 177% over those 11 weeks. This is up from 102% last time out.

Just as a marker to show the more you have in the index, the more you can make. Last months update was a total of £6,852 made, so you can see how it can snowball, fast!

Below is a screenshot of my home screen as we speak.

Port Oct

My all-time profit now stands at £23,372. I joined the index at the start of September 2018 so about 14 months worth.

For those that ask, the amount of money I put in was around the £2.5k mark over a period of my first couple of months but my net deposits are now (minus) -£5,899. I have been free rolling with nothing but my own profit for a while now.

We received our all-time profit emails a few days ago, so I shall stick mine up below. Note the money made since the 24th Oct to 28th Oct is £672 and this is after a very average weekend of trading, to say the least. Trust me, so boring. One of the worst I can remember.

Oct profit

The short term game. Changed?

“…you have to take this into consideration, it’s just silly not to.”

So, with me buying into “Dividend players” this month, does this mean my strategy has changed? Well no, I will never change my in-play and fixture buying (as well as other strategies shown on the intro article) ways but I have added a “string to my bow” if you like.

I mean, it would be pretty sh*t bat mental for me to ignore dividend players when the index announce dividend increases which result in these players going through the roof, right? I’m on the index to make money, so did I buy Neymar for the first time in my FI life, you damn right I did.

In fact, after I initially bought him on the day of the original random announcement on the 8th October. I doubled my holding in him a day before the actual announcement on the 18th October, as I couldn’t understand why he was flatlining at the £7.40 mark.

Neymar

My experiences up to this point on these types of announcements are that the premium players who benefit most skyrocket. This announcement was no different. The lad broke the £8 barrier when the flood gates opened, reaching £8.22 before settling just below that marker.

I did sell the original shares I had in the boom time and kept the other half. I can see him going past this £8 barrier again once we tiptoe into November when the Gold days officially arrive.

When he eventually makes his return to the PSG team, I don’t think traders will be able to resist what he has to offer in this new matrix. 16p for star man, oof!

I have mentioned in the first few articles to the series that I have never been one to “chase PB”. That is still the case in general terms but this was down to a couple of things.

One being I have never had enough in the platform to hold a significant amount of shares in PB players to make it worthwhile. Not in my eyes anyway. I could make more doing my own thing.

Second, it was always difficult to actually win them, as even the best PB players in the world could be done by a journeyman defender scoring a GWG complete with a clean sheet or a hat-trick produced by some random French farmer.

Matrix

We now have a new matrix and we are seeing more of the better players being rewarded. We will always have an unexpected winner here and there, it’s inevitable, but I think we are genuinely seeing a more predictable setup. Although I don’t want it too predictable. Bit boring.

Now with a big increase in payouts gained for these winners, you have to take this into consideration, it’s just silly not to. Plus logic tells you these players will gain more and more investors and go up in price.

No matter the situation, I am always interested in players going up in price or bringing me decent money in some capacity. Aren’t you?

 

The 200 club

“I have my eye on some others”

With all this being said, my dream on FI has always been to have enough money in the thing to hold these dividend contenders, as well as having enough left to get on with what I do.

My first 6 months in the platform was a hard slog, scalping rises where I could and slowly building profit up. It was hard work but it was worth it and also necessary. If I had taken the traditional “sit on and wait” approach, I don’t believe I could have made as much.

I am not allergic to premium players, I just could never afford to have a significant amount of shares in them to make it worthwhile. However, I think I am starting to reach that moment.

So, literally last night after watching TAA smash up the PB screen, I have come up with a concept of a “200 club” where I am planning on holding 200 shares in players I think will regularly compete for these steroid injected divs on this jacked-up new scoring matrix.

TAA

These are to remain untouched and just left to do their thing. Barring any significant news such as an ACL injury or another Ronaldo “rapegate” (port crash flashbacks!!! Aaagghh!) they are to live and dine in the 200 club and left well alone.

I have a tendency to overtrade but I am making this “club” to stop myself from doing so. These players should bring home bacon and rise in value as the product does. Some will rise more and bring in tastier bacon than others but that doesn’t matter. Just leave ’em alone lad.

Why 200 shares? Well, I don’t think 100 or even 150 is really worth it but gaining a couple of quid per penny rise and “doubling” the div payouts (sort of speak) from 8p to £16 hard cash, if you see what I mean, sounds ok to me. I would like 300 but it’s just too much to have locked in.

The early entries are:

Neymar – The King. I had 600 shares in him for the 18th Oct and have 300 as we speak. I will trim this to the 200 share marker eventually but we should all have high hopes for Ney’s price, as he is basically the glass ceiling to the market prices overall. The higher he goes, he brings everybody else with him.

Messi – The Goat. I mentioned that I bought him when FI landed that bomb of a message saying divs were being reviewed (jacked up!) but Messi hardly moved. An example of my overtrading is thus, I bottled it and sold them after a few days of no movement. He obviously went up 60p and won PB since then! He may be getting on but he is set to extend his contract to 2021 so plenty of life in the old goat yet.

TAA – The Kid. Alexander-Arnold was hot on my list of buys on the day FI filled our souls full of hope again. He went up accordingly. So much so, in fact, my old habits of “take the profit” overcame me and I sold up the morning of the Spurs game. Yep, that’s right. I won’t mull on that decision but let’s just say that has inspired me to create the “200 club”. And yes, I am a monumental dickhead.

Kroos – The Boss. There are many midfielders who have benefitted hugely from the new scoring matrix. You know the ones people like. Pjanic, Parejo, Sensi etc. I like ’em too but in a market that is so competitive like the midfielder one is now, I believe Toni is the one. His base is just awesome. You can argue either way about his lack of goals that will cost him, or actually making him better as he doesn’t rely on them, but he is my man.

kroos

Those are the “four horsemen” as we speak and I have my eye on some others who may join the club like Depay, Kimmich, the group of midfielders everyone talks about, and others. I shall play it by ear for now, as these lot are expensive and the plan is once they are in, they are there to stay, so I am not gonna rush it.

 

How was the “normal” trading this month?

In a couple of words, not great. Well, that may be too harsh, as I did have a decent time of it over the European games period that just went by with the Champions League and Europa League.

£500 was made on the likes of Sabitzer, our mate Kroos, Oxlade-Chamberlain and Pepe so it wasn’t all bad. This weekend that just went by though was just poor. I did flip Ayoze Perez, twice, on the Friday night but of all the weekends I could have had free to trade uninterrupted, this was not what I had in mind. Snooze fest.

An average end after an awful start to the month with people selling whatever they could after the Birthday bonus and the International break being so boring I hardly paid any attention to it. The interest in these new International IPDs is already wearing off.

However, FI saved the day with a glorious and memorable middle that has changed the platform for a while yet. For the better, I might add.

 

Conclusion

“If you haven’t looked into it yet, no time like the present.”

There are a few days until the new Dividend structure comes in where Gold, Silver and Bronze take over our lives with 8p, 4p and 2p (oh, that’s the same) being the talk of the town and it could be an amazing time to be on FI.

They have also extended the div deadline to 3pm instead of 2pm which opens up even more opportunities for fast in and out trading. I will try and go into this in a bit more detail in the next update after a few weeks trial.

deadline 3pm

I am already seeing people getting excited and buying some premium players on the ticker and I think once we get into November officially, traders will be yearning to empty their wallets to get on players fighting it out for these jacked-up giveaways.

8p star man for Gold is outrageous and so expect people to lump on the first few winners of these, whoever they are.

4p star man Silver days have also given a specific market an almighty boost. I was already a keen trader on those 5/6 game double days, but now you can win 8p for holding someone coming out on top of a very small field of players. This is huge.

The first one of these is on 8th November and I have been holding Berardi (what feels like forever) as well as Odegaard and some others for this day. If you haven’t looked into it yet, no time like the present.

I shall see you next month and I am already looking forward to seeing how the Index looks after a few weeks of new div action!

Peace out!

Follow me on Twitter @GingerPirlo_FI

To sign up to Football Index click this link and give it a go. You won’t regret it!

Episode 2 – ‘Can I make a living from Football Index?’ series – Will the good start keep going…?

“The index can offer you many ways to make money it’s just a case of taking advantage.”

Welcome to the second update to my ‘Can I make a living from Football Index’ series.

I’m very pleased with the positive response to my first episode, on top of the intro, with lots of messages coming in, as well as many questions. This is all good and keep ’em coming!

Let’s get straight into episode two, the dreaded sequel! 😀

The last episode left you on the 30th of August, so I thought it would be good to leave it a month and see what progress was made up until the end of September. Seemed all very neat and tidy to me.

However, I have cut that short slightly by a few days after hitting a milestone on the 25th of September. I was planning on leaving the ongoing profit numbers until later on but I shall just get stuck into them right from the off!

Remember in the intro article where I started this series with £6,700? I used some of that to buy into fixture holds and kept the rest in my account for as and when I needed it. Well as approaching midnight on 25th September I have broken the 100% ROI return.

So to be clear, I have taken £6,700 as of 11th August and made another £6,700 as of 25th September. That’s a 100% profit return in just over 6 weeks. To be specific it’s actually £6,852.40 and 102% but you get the picture.

These are crazy returns and something I did not expect to get so soon.  As I was tracking my progress, I saw my profit continuing to rise its way to potentially getting to this 100% ROI marker by the end of the month.

It seemed more like a possibility as the days ticked by and then the 10% net spend Birthday Bonus landed on the 24th September and gave it a big boost over the line. Boom! Happy f**king Birthday! 😀

4th birthday

Before I lay out the numbers I would like to mention that I took some money out last week. £800 to be exact as August was one hell of an expensive month and I needed a boost. What’s making money if you can’t use it eh?

 

The numbers

So with that in mind, the actual numbers are as follows:

I have £12,752.40 in the index. If you include the £800 that would be £13,552.40.

This is a total of £6,852.40 made since I started this series on 11th August.

This is a 102% return made over the course of just over 6 weeks. 45 days to be exact.

This works out at a running profit of just over £1000 a week and £150 a day.

(The below is what my “Port” and account balance looks like as of 27th Sep.)

Port 27 Sep

Looking at the last episode I was going at a similar rate of around £1000 a week and I was fully expecting this to slow down but it’s just ploughed on. The birthday bonus has helped no doubt over the past 24 hours or so but it was still chugging along at a very healthy rate regardless.

I will say I don’t expect it to continue but I said that last time! Plus I still have the actual 10% to land in my account in a few weeks which will be a nice thing to receive. For the record on that, I had just over £6k in my account balance when it was announced and I will spend all of that come 30th Sep so I expect it to be receiving around £610. Lovely.

My all-time profit now stands at £18,352 which is just crazy when you consider a year ago I was testing the waters after just joining with £50, then a few hundred, before committing a couple grand more. I never expected these returns. Never.

 

What I did this month

“Not all flips make money and go to plan.”

Well, some of the first things I did this month were sales. I still had on my hands the Bundesliga front line trio of Mr Weghorst, Waldschmidt and Petersen and after a quiet weekend they had come to their expiry life in my port and I instant sold the lot.

I also decided to get rid of Sven Bender who I had invested a fair share in and had high hopes but even though his PB did outscore Tah, he just hadn’t quite hit the heights and I sensed a sell-off coming, so cut the rope myself.

I had made very good profits on all of these players but given I instant sold them, I took a little hit with the spreads and commission paid but I did the right thing, as they all had a little dip with other traders following suit and selling themselves.

As far as buys go, I make so many trades when it comes to writing it up it’s a difficult task. So, what I will do is follow on from something I did last time and make a list of some Hits, Flips and Misses to show some of the action that went down over the month of September.

Hits

Domenico Berardi – bought 600 for £99p – Sits now at £1.69

I have a new man crush. What a lad he is. He is involved in everything Sassuolo do going forward, he takes free-kicks and corners and if he isn’t scoring himself he is setting someone else up.

I bought him on 6th Sep for the single-game day against Brescia on the 4th Oct in mind. I knew he had performance in him so decided to get in on him nice and early within the 30 days for IPDs.

domenico-berardi

From that time he has bagged two goals away at Roma and grabbed two assists in the next match against Spal. I am currently 70% up on him and feeling pretty sweet.

I had already flipped him when he got his hat trick on the 1st September before buying him again, so he has returned a very healthy amount already…and he hasn’t even got to the game I bought him for yet!

Also wanna quick shout out for his mate Alfred Duncan who I also got 600 at just 39p. I have sold him now when he reached 59p but he is never too far away from setting up Berardi and are a great double act.

Javairo Dilrosun – 900 for 86p – Sits now at £1.25 

Hertha Berlin had/have some decent fixtures in the month of Sep/Oct and there was a bit of talk on one of their exciting players Dilrosun coming back into the team, so I kept my eye on him.

He went and obliged immediately by taking on 3 or 4 defenders against Paderborn before slotting one in the net, so I went in. He later picked up an assist so grabbed me 2p of IPDs and some very sweet CA was to follow.

Dilrosun

He has gone up and up since I bought him and is currently at a 40% rise and with some single games to come, I won’t be moving him on anytime soon. Cracking little player.

Martin Odegaard – 300 for £2.16 – Sits now at £3.25

Most traders know about or have at least heard of Odegaard and his move to Sociedad was an interesting one to keep an eye on. As soon as he scored and also put in some decent PB scores I went in.

Ode

He has gone up way more than I anticipated and wish I had invested more than 300 shares. He broke the £3 mark with birthday bonus money piling into him and with a fantastic performance with an outrageous assist vs Alaves I am now sat at over a £1 rise.

Robert Lewandowski – 300 for £1.58 – Sits now at £1.84

This wasn’t my usual type of player to buy. Lewa is the type of player on the Index that can score in a game but his price goes down afterwards. However, when Bayern went to Leipzig they had some cracking fixtures afterwards.

So, I made a pact with myself that whoever scored in the game I would buy for the IPD discount and keep for these games. Within a couple of minutes, old Lewa bagged one and I was in.

Lewa & Cout

I only went for 300 given my reservations with him but after a few more goals in games after bringing more IPDs and the birthday bonus giving him a very healthy price injection he is sat on £1.85 as I type. Decent trade if I can get out at a good price. We shall see.

Philippe Coutinho – 300 for £2.15 – Sits now at £2.66 (over 5 days)

I couldn’t ignore Coutinho’s PB winning score the last week of 298. He also took a pen when Lewandowski was on a hat-trick which tells me he could be the designated taker.

Cout

I grabbed 300 as I felt a score like that won’t go ignored and within an hour he was up 15 to 20p. He has had an extra injection with the bonus money piling in, like many have, and I will keep him to see how he gets on.

Casimir Ninga – 600 for 47p – Sits at 67p

I flipped this lad when he bagged a hat trick off the bench for around 1200 shares. I wish I had just kept him and took the IPDs on top as in the next game he put in a quality PB score and grabbed an assist.

I decided to go in on him and I am glad I did as he has gone up 20p in a matter of days. Hopefully, he will not only keep his price but continue his form, helping Angers sit joint top with PSG. Crazy

Flips

I make a lot of trades including flips so I will do my best to list some below. I’ll do it in most recent first as I can remember those easier when I trawl through my transaction history.

When the Beta site is up and running I will start downloading my transaction history. Its too complex to go through how much paid and sold for atm so I will list names below and how many flipped.

The following are just from the past week alone since Tuesday’s Champion League night:

Oyarzabal 600, Ocampos 300, Oliver Torres 300, D’Ambrosio 900, Yacine Adli 600, Golovin 600, Arthur 900, Ninga 1200, Benes 300, Thuram 600, Cresswell 300, Budimir 300, Nyom 600, Caputo 600, Saracchi 600, Sabitzer 300, Orban 600, Chris Wood 900, Alario 600, Cazorla 600, Stengs 600, Saka 600, Di Maria 300, Valbuena 600, Tagliafico 900, Edson Alvarez 900, Szoboszlai 300, Haaland 900 on 1st goal 600 on 2nd goal.

 

Oyar

As you can see I make a lot of trades in-play. Whenever a goal goes in, I always check who it is and his price with his spread. If it seems viable I will jump on. If not but I think another goal or assist would be, I may buy 1 share to have him there ready.

Not all flips make money and go to plan. Some I get on too late or don’t rise as much as anticipated. It isn’t as easy or straight forward as it may seem. Some people will not go anywhere near in-play action due to its nature.

I have had a lot of practice which has brought its fair share of burns but its all experience. Like anything, the more you do it the better you get. That will do, not listing anymore, be here all day! 😀

Misses

Erling Braut Haaland

You may have caught that I flipped him in-play when he went on a scoring spree on his Champions League debut, but my profits on him could have been so much more.

I bought him a few days earlier when he put in another performance for Salzburg but sold him not long after to free up some money, completely forgetting he was due to finally play a PB game.

During that time he rocketed up an eye-watering amount by the time that game kicked off. D’oh!

erling_braut_haaland

Donyell Malen

This one is a bit hit and miss, as I had bought 600 Malen at a similar time as Haaland on that weekend, as he scored 5 goals for PSV in one game. Unlike Haaland. I kept hold of Donyell for a few days and made good money as he went up about 30p or so.

Problem is after Haaland went crazy on Tuesday night, the market decided that Malen may do the same so he had another injection of money piled into him and went up a further 40p. Very annoying.

Michy Batshuayi

Now this one really p*ssed me off 😀 I sat and watched the likes of Dries Mertens and Romelu Lukaku rise for a course of a couple of weeks or so, as traders were looking forward to Belgium hammering San Marino.

That’s fine, except in the back of my head I had a feeling they weren’t gonna play and Martinez would give Batshuayi a run out instead. The day before the game I had notifications on IndexGain set up on Michy’s name and it was now a simple case of waiting for the team news.

Bats

When the team news came out, where was I? Sneaking off for a quick piss and left my phone to charge so completely missed it and the 13p rise that came. Blew my top on that one!

IPOs

If Batshuayi blew my top, waking up to all those IPO’s already out and pumped as they were released in the middle of the night was nothing short of devastating. Could have cried 😀

What makes it worse, is I was on IndexGain at half-past midnight cracking jokes as to whether they will release some soon. I quote, “If I worked there I would release one now for a laugh”

If I had taken my own wild sense of humour more seriously and stayed up just 40 mins longer I would have cashed in. I reckon I missed out on a couple of grand there at least. But I am over it now…honest.

ihattern

 

Main strategy on the index

“I couldn’t recommend this type of in-play/fixture buy strategy enough”

The above were some picked out Hits, Flips and Misses but if you ask me what my main strategy is at the minute it’s fixture buying. I can buy a player looking ahead of anywhere up to a month. I don’t really go too far beyond that.

Fixtures I look out for are any regular single game days in a short period of time or literally just decent fixtures back to back in the 30 days window for IPDs. It really isn’t rocket science, you just have to think about the timing of trades to make the most out of it.

Another aspect of this I have been actively doing lately is merging my in-play stuff with future fixture buying. My Lewandowski and Coutinho trades are an example of that. I knew Bayern’s games coming up so grabbed a discount.

I couldn’t recommend this type of in-play/fixture buy strategy enough. It doesn’t even need to be a long list of upcoming fixtures. It can literally just be the next game.

If there is a single game coming up for a team and their relatively cheap striker bags one or even two IPDs, get on him and just wait. Traders will always look for players in form and buy accordingly in the days leading up to the next match.

Real Betis Balompie v Girona FC - La Liga

I did this with Loren Moron a couple of weeks back and he went up sh*t loads by the time the next game had come along. Traders see his goals and assists and decide he is a good buy. The trick is getting in early before these trades commence.

Another example is Amine Harit. I saw that Schalke had a nice looking single game on a Friday night, so kept my eye on their match before this vs Paderborn. They smashed them 5-1 with Harit scoring twice.

He was the best player on this pitch so I invested heavily in him. I took the IPDs and kept for the next fixture as other traders were bound to catch on to his skills. Sure enough, he went up gradually during the week and sat 30p higher than what I paid for him.

Amine Harit

Now, the problem for me is that as I was working that Friday night I couldn’t keep track of him so I sold him the day before the match. He went on to be star man and I missed out on some serious profit but that’s for me to chew over. Point is, the theory works.

So if you want my advice, look at the fixture lists. Keep an eye on Twitter for accounts showing single game days or 5 game double days and make a note. Even just a mental note. It can be a very solid and consistent way of making money on the Index.

 

Signing off

I’m gonna wrap this episode up here as I don’t want them to be essays. I am looking forward to the next one and seeing if this rate of income can continue. If I had to make a bet on it I would say it will dip but you never know.

When I look at some of the opportunities that I missed over the past month it shows what can be achieved if you are on it and sharp on a regular basis. The index can offer you many ways to make money it’s just a case of taking advantage.

The IPOs happening in the middle of the night is an example. The Birthday Bonus is another. The international games offering PB and IPDs is another. Next month could see something else come up. FI can be the gift that keeps on giving if you are set to take it.

I mean, I’ve made 100% ROI in 6 weeks of starting this blog series. That is crazy.

Thanks for reading and see you on the next one. Don’t forget you can find me on Twitter @GingerPirlo_FI and I’m always on IndexGain. I am also now apart of an FI Newsletter with FIG and co so keep a lookout for that. It comes out every fortnight.

Peace out.

To sign up to Football Index click this link and give it a go. You won’t regret it!

 

 

Episode 1 – Can I make a living from Football Index? – Has it started well…?

“…I am not expecting the same level of results on my next update.”

Welcome to the first update of my ‘Can I make a living from Football Index?’ series.

I just want to say straight off the bat, the positive reaction and messages I received on my Twitter feed and IndexGain for the intro article of the series were amazing. I did not expect it and thanks for all the very kind words, glad you enjoyed it!

If you haven’t read it yet it can be found here and pinned to my FI dedicated Twitter account @GingerPirlo_FI 

I also want to clarify (if that’s the correct and proper word to use) that the title of the series was the question I first asked when I looked into joining the Index. I am not suggesting that I quit all other forms of employment to suddenly become a full-time FI trader.

My working situation is and was slightly unique in that I had different contract type roles in and around football and was always looking out for more opportunities to add to this. The index intrigued me as a possible addition to my income and gave it a go.

I quit
So, with that being said I am not going to go out and say other people should jack in the day job and make your living trading footballers. That isn’t what this blog series is about.

Its purpose is to show what can be achieved with a modest budget in FI terms & whether or not it can be a nice little earner. Or better still, a quality earner!

Now, if someone out there takes this series or anything else they see and says to themselves, “f*ck it, I’m in” and goes full-time trader mode, then that’s their choice. I neither promote it nor disapprove it. Totally up to you.

Please don’t send your wife, husband or oversized child round to give me a slap if you missed a mortgage payment or cancelled the trip to Disneyland if you have a poor month or two.

However, If you end up having an amazing time of it, then I am open to commission or gifts, obviously.

So to be clear. In my opinion, you CAN make a living from Football Index.

We all define what that actually is different, but I would say for your average working-class person living in an affordable place in the country, it’s achievable. Let’s say they are single also with no responsibilities. Bloody kids. Expensive things.

If you already have access to shit loads of money to plough into this platform than chances are you could live off what you get back alone. We regularly see the tweets or screenshots of those making thousands from just dividends alone on a monthly basis, so these folk are loving FI life & very comfortable. Rich bags. : D

Rich Di Caprio

But that’s easy (kind of), what I will (hopefully) show you is what can be achieved with a modest amount of money in the index at any given time. It can be hard work but I am willing to do it. In fact, I love it and I am happy to sit for hours on a matchday to try and maximise returns.

I will also show you how I did it (minus the finer details). I will also tell you about the missed opportunities that would have made profits even higher. Trust me, it happens and I kick myself quite often.

Now, there are many, many other people on the index that will make more hard cash than me. Fact. However, I will show you my percentage returns across a period of time and you can multiply that to whatever budget you have. This is a key point to make.

I speak in this series on behalf of a moderate-sized budget at this moment in time of under £10k. Some would say under £10k is actually ‘small’, but you can make your own definitions. Several grand is still a decent sum of money in anyone’s book.

I started life on the index with £50, a minuscule amount. I added a few hundred, small amount. I never went over investing around £2.5k of my own money into the platform. This was more than enough for me and I will never deposit any more.

So going forward, if you take inspiration from this series (some have said as much to me already!) and you have more available cash, go for it. If you have less than me, it doesn’t matter. What percentage are you getting back and over what time period? That’s the question.

Ok, that’s my disclaimers out the way so let’s crack on. 😀

 

The start

“I felt the new scoring matrix would inject this type of performance with steroids”

A quick reminder of where I started this series.

After a bit of an upheaval in my life and trying to sort that out, resulting in a poor opening weekend which I should have just left well alone, I sold a few players I had in my port on the 11th August, keeping one or two and started fresh.

I said to myself to stop chasing things if I wasn’t in a strong position to take advantage of them properly and efficiently and vowed to “trade smarter”. So what did I do?

Well, I had around £6,700 in the index and I invested in 11-12 players that looked to have good fixtures at the start of the season and/or looked to be in decent enough form leading up to the brand new season.

The first player I bought was Sven Bender. I noticed in Leverkusen’s opening German cup game just before the league campaign kicked off,  he started in the centre of a back three and had stats that were off the scale.

He passed the ball around 150 times, grabbed an assist, managed a few interceptions, aerial duels and attempted a very healthy amount of long balls.

BenderBender2drawing

I felt the new scoring matrix would inject this type of performance with steroids and he seemed to totally outperform his teammate Jonathan Tah (£1.55), who is and rightfully so a bit of an Index darling with his PB scores last season. He is also three times as expensive.

In case you’re not aware, Tah endlessly passed the ball over and over again into people’s ports, racking up the PB scores with Leverkusen’s new manager’s obsession with possession and playing out from the back.

The big centre back also made yours truly some decent money after buying him low and selling high. Buy low, sell high? That might catch on…

But, with Bender, had I stumbled onto a possible PB monster for just 46p? Leverkusen started the season against a newly promoted side as well, so I went for it and invested £500 into him, which was about 1087 shares. (the below includes a few extra shares I bought at a later date)

Bender3

As I am writing this up he is sitting at 69p after a few others saw what I saw and has started the season well, outscoring Tah (PB wise) in both opening fixtures. Will that PB win come? Possibly. He has a chance with the perfect storm of dominance and a clean sheet.

Some of you who read the Intro article may be thinking ‘I thought you don’t chase PB or divs?’

Well, I don’t in general but if Mr Bender puts in big PB scores he will continue to get attention. If he wins, then it’s rocket time. It’s the Capital Appreciation I really want, not the divs. They’re a bonus if they come.

After Bender, I looked into the fixtures and bought players who I believe have good sentiment from last season and a chance of performing in games up until the next month. Or in other words, the next 30-day In-Play Dividend schedule (IPD purchases last for 30 days).

Come Monday night, I had around 11 players in my “port” with some money left in my account and was ready to go.

Who did I get on?

“……. (Big mistake!!!)”

A couple of players I had bought that weekend were Lucas Lima who I grabbed after he started in the front three for Nantes, even though he is a defender. Very cheap with a 1p spread. Lovely.

Plus my old mate Jose Fonte who had got an assist in this game versus Nantes who I bought and kept. He is so cheap and can hit a solid PB score on his day so I decided to keep him.

After looking into Sven Bender, I knew Leverkusen had a half-decent start so got one of my favourite players Kevin Volland who leads their line very well. I also grabbed Bender’s even cheaper defensive partner Dragovic.

Volland

The German league (my favourite league for FI) was just kicking off and Leipzig had a decent looking start against a newly promoted team also, so bought into right wing-back Klostermann. He is capable of getting forward and grabbing a goal or assist.

I would have bought Halstenberg who takes set-pieces and also good for an IPD at left wing-back but he had an injury in pre-season so stayed off of him. In hindsight, I could have gone a bit further with some Leipzig choices.

Sticking with the German theme, Freiburg had a very favourable set of fixtures over the first three games with Mainz at home, followed by two newly promoted teams. Lovely. So, I invested in striker Waldschmidt who had just had a stonking u21 tournament in the summer and his strike partner, the very cheap and good for an IPDs, Nils Petersen.

Next, my attention was drawn to Wolfsburg who opened the season with a similar schedule, as they too had both promoted teams in the first three. So, there was only one thing on my mind and that was to get into one of my favourite players from last season Wout Weghorst.

At this stage of my purchases, I came to realise the Euro qualifiers were in the 30 day IPD period and now count for performance so went back to Leipzig and got striker Poulsen, as he had some easy fixtures for Denmark included in his domestic schedule. Though he had already had a rise at this point.

waldschmidt

I took a step away from the Bundesliga and went a bit French with Bertrand Traore who put in a decent PB score in his first game for an upcoming single game day and did the same with Jeff Reine-Adelaide. With Lyon’s Tousart also getting some love from me after outscoring his more expensive midfield teammates.

Before stepping away from Bundesliga completely, I noticed Dortmund also had some decent fixtures but I had spent a decent amount of money so grabbed just the one share of the following player just to keep track and a reminder to maybe buy later…

Purchased – Axel Witsel – 1 – £0.70 ……… (Big mistake!!!)

To finish off, I grabbed some Jamie Vardy to test whether he would get the same type of weekly build-up to an upcoming fixture like he did last season.

In case you are not aware, Vardy went through this rollercoaster life on the index last season of massive sell-offs after, or even during games, then he would be bought up again gradually for the following week. So, I gave him a go.

Meet the squad.

So who we got? My “squad” as of Monday 12th August looked like the following which was based on upcoming fixtures, those that had shown PB muscle or had their own unique reasons. I came to these choices using my years worth of knowledge and experience on the Index:

Lucas Lima – 300 futures – 53p. Cheap defender looking like he is being used as a winger. Could be another Youcef Atal.

Jose Fonte – 300 futures – 23p. Old but capable of very good PB scores and the odd goal or assist. Poor spread but I am letting it slide as he has got me an IPD already.

Jamie Vardy – 400 futures – 80p. Taking a punt on him to test whether he will get a rise before playing Sunday in a big televised game.

Bertrand Traore – 300 futures – £1.12. Another single game day coming up and got a big rise off the back of his first PB score. Is a forward and taking corners which adds to his PB score.

Jeff Reine-Adelaide – 300 futures – £1.05. Single-game day coming up and he too got a massive pump during his first game with a goal and assist. Had dropped a bit in price since at this point.

Lucas Tousart – 600 futures – 71p. Easily outscored his more expensive and hyped central midfield teammates at Lyon. Cheap and had grabbed a goal so also has a goal threat, even though is a holding midfielder by trade.

Kevin Volland – 600 futures – 87p. Leverkusen have a good fixture to kick off the new season and my old mate Kevin is always good for a goal or assist.

Lukas Klostermann – 300 futures – 95p. Attacking wing-back who loves to get in the box to try and create a goal or score himself. If he gets one and adds a clean sheet, happy days.

Wout Weghorst – 300 futures – 99p. I was a bit slow on getting on him as he had a decent rise that day so just grabbed 300. Has decent looking fixtures to start off the campaign and one of my boys who made a decent amount of money last season.

Weghorst

Sven Bender – 1100 futures – 46p. Chucked in a special performance and could be a steal at his price, was too good to turn down. He has to stay injury-free through which is something he didn’t do last season. Fingers crossed.

Aleksander Dragovic – 900 futures – 32p. He wasn’t far behind Bender with his own stats and is even cheaper. Took a punt in case he starts and does the business also.

Nils Petersen – 600 futures – 51p. He is a very capable goalscorer on his day. I remember him a super sub during my Bundesliga analyst days. Cheap and up against favourable opposition for three games on the trot.

Gian-Luca Waldschmidt – 600 futures – 97p. Young and carrying some quality sentiment from the recent u21 tournament where he finished as top scorer. Has those favourable fixtures and seems to be on penalties. Boom.

Yousef Poulsen – 500 futures – £1.06. Has some good fixtures including Denmark matches against minnows of Europe. Had a 10p rise before I bought after hesitating initially but had to get some.

(I also wanted to get on some Belgian players like Mertens and Lukaku but had spent a large chunk, so just like Axel Witsel I bought one of each. Spoiler alert – these three players skyrocketed and I missed out on huge profits but that’s the index and shows why the more money you have to use, the more money you make)

So that’s a “squad” of 14 players come Monday night at a total cost of £4,850. Leaving around £1850 in my account for if and when I need it.

 

How did you get on?

Let me start off by saying that I was debating whether to actually start this series for a few weeks, so for this time period from 12th August until typing this up now on 30th August, I don’t have a lot of info on most of my trades in terms of screenshots etc.

I am also still up in the air as to how I will show the progress made going forward. For this opening update, I am going to cut straight to the chase and then tell you about some of the trades made after. I can’t show them all as I make LOTS OF TRADES! 😀

The time right now is 4.36pm on Friday 30th August. I am looking forward to the games tonight and as I check my port I can show you what I have in the Index right here, right now:

Aug Screenshot

As you can see, if you add what’s currently in my port with what’s in my account, I have the following amount in the Index: £6033.63 + £3649.44 = £9683.07.

It’s been 19 days since I started with £6700

So that is an increase of £2,983.07. In percentage terms that is a return of 44.52%.

Below is what is in my port as I type right now. Please do take away 11 players from that 23 as those are all players I am tracking with just one share to their name, so it’s really just 12.

Aug Screenshot Green

Results summary

In just under three weeks I have (practically) made £3k. That’s a grand a week. I have a return of 44.52% doing what I do and trading how I have. I am very pleased.

Now, I will say this. The Index has been slightly unique in this period with the excitement that a new season brings. Traders can’t wait to invest in this, that or whoever if he looks like gold, so I will categorically say I am not expecting the same level of results on my next update.

The biggest trend in this period has been around the new PB matrix and people looking for the next big thing, we have seen some huge in-play rockets based on early looking monster PB scores and I managed to catch a few and ride the wave.

Eventually, the market will slow down on these types of in-play rockets and go back to “usual” but when one door closes, a window may open somewhere else so it’s important to always be on the lookout for trends and try to take advantage of them. No matter what it is.

How did the original “squad of 14” get on?

Looking back at my transaction history, I trade a lot. That’s for sure. Out of my 14 “squad members” I bought on the 12th August, I currently still own five.

One of which, Weghorst, I have increased my holding when he bagged another goal last weekend from my initial 300 futures to 900. This obviously changes my average holding cost of him but for this time period he has returned me the following in CA:

WeghorstProfit

He has also brought in some IPDs with two goals in two games and he has decent looking fixures including single-game days, so I am not looking to shift him on just yet.

My Freiburg boys in Waldschmidt and Petersen have brought in the IPDs also, as they have grabbed a goal or an assist in each of their opening two games.

Waldschmidt naturally gets more CA attention but I am keeping them both for this weekend at home to Koln, plus Wald has just been called up to the German senior team for the first time.

Wald & Peter

The old man Jose Fonte has had a nice rise from 23p to 29p with a couple of half-decent PB scores and Lille have a good set of fixtures coming up. Will I keep him for the whole season? That would be a first. I also still have Sven Bender in my port to make up the famous five.

I sold the rest at different stages. Adelaide overnight from buying him got some transfer news to Lyon and I sold off the back of that. However, I sold WAY too early and would have been better off missing that news and finding a nice surprise late in the day. Never mind.

I sold Lima a few days back for a little profit after he started in his usual left-back spot and lost his unique selling point. Luckily for me, he has just transferred to a non-PB league so his hype really was short and sweet.

I sold Poulsen, then bought back and now sold again for very little return tbh. Was better off keeping him throughout. That was poor trading.

Sold Klostermann during opening Leipzig game, as he was totally outperformed by Halstenberg who did play in the end and grabbed a goal and assist! I bought him though in-play so got some IPDs and a little profit in there.

Had to dump Dragovic as he didn’t start the Leverkusen match. I broke even though as he had a rise after I bought him and all commission was covered. He was a punt in any case, just didn’t come off. No harm done.

Kevin Volland was a successful trade. I have sold him now but he grabbed some nice IPDs (like he does) and I sold my 600 futures around the £1.10 mark on average from an 87p trade. Nice. I will own you again Kevin, we both know this.

Bertrand Traore didn’t work out so well. He hardly moved in price all week and didn’t do anything during that single game day so dumped at a loss. Poor trade.

Lucas Tousart was a very good trade in the end, as by the time I sold him he went up to over a £1 after I initially got him for 79p.

The only problem was I sold half my stake well before this and never topped up. It’s painful watching a player grow like that with a small holding. But a profit is a profit.

vardy

Mr Vardy, king of parties, was ok. Nothing special. Sold him for about 84p. I did the Vardy thing again the week after and made a bit more on him. Although I sold before kick-off and he went and scored to reach 89p I think. Still, a profit is a profit.

So a mixed bag from these trades but overall a very healthy profit. I think I was up like 17% in no time at all just on these lot alone and then I had my in-play stuff and other trades flowing afterwards.

Speaking of which…

 

How else did I make my money?

“I had a really good day…”

In-play is a big part of what I do on Football Index.

I mentioned a few strategies in the intro article and I came to realise very early in my time on the Index, that players can have big rises with goals or impressive performances, so it made sense to get involved with this especially considering my lack of huge funds.

To make this part a bit clearer, I will show you some in-play trades from the first few match days at the very start of this series. I’ve picked out a few that spring to mind and also ones that I didn’t get on that would have been very profitable.

The below is a “weekend in the life of an in-play trader” if you like. The very short version : D

Saturday 17th Aug:

Hits

Wylan Cyprien – The Nice midfielder bagged another penalty and an assist which adds huge bonus points onto his already decent PB base. I got him at 99p and kept until I sold when he was £1.47. So almost a 50% rise over a week or so.

Ignatius Ganago – In the same game, young Nice forward Ganago scored the winning goal and won the penalty that Cyprien converted. I checked his price and was 60p so went on him. Held for the next game and sold for around the 78p mark. He went as high as 84p at one stage.

Hugo Diallo – As soon as Hugo Diallo stuck in his second of the game I bought a load. Sold quite quickly to the market once the masses cottoned on. Classic in-play flip.

Misses

Dani Ceballos – The above three trades I picked out were all done at night games as I was working during the day, so I missed out completely on the Ceballos rise. He went up like 60-70p or something stupid. I hope you got on.

Teemu Pukki – Another explosion with his hat-trick. A fine example of what can happen when you are on the ball in-play. His rise was massive so many people had lots of opportunities to get on and off with some profit. Whereas I was totally unaware as was working. Oh well.

pukki

Sunday 18th Aug

Sundays are usually a lot better for me (as long as I am not working at a game) as lots of games are available live somewhere and kick-off times are spread out accordingly across the day. This can help with focussing on specific games.

Hits

Mason Mount – He was playing in a Super Sunday game. He is a young exciting Englishman. He opened the scoring. I bought at £3.05. I sold at £3.32. Bread and butter.

Marcel Sabitzer – I knew of people talking about him earlier in the week so he had some incentive to keep my eye on him. He then goes and bags three assists and a goal for himself. I think I got on when he scored and reaped the rewards, as he continued to smash it afterwards with two more assists.

My only regret is not buying more when he got his second assist, as that was the point he went wild going up around 30p I believe. I kept him for a week or so before selling for a 50% profit.

Marcel Halstenberg – Another player with popularity. The defender opened the scoring so he was guaranteed a nice rise. I bought at 99p. He went on to reach £1.17 when he grabbed another assist. However, I didn’t sell as was too seduced by the 3p IPDs. He then dropped to £1.07 at full time. Hit and miss but I kept for a bit before selling.

(I had a really good day as other highlights were Sergio Reguillon, Martin Hinteregger and some others.)

Misses

Filip Kostic – He grabbed an assist within a minute. His PB score was doing very well. He shot up in price and I kind of just watched it happen. Slow from me but I can be stubborn at times and almost refuse to get on once missing the initial rise.

Monday 20th August

Hits

Anthony Martial – Tony Marshall as he is also known, has a lot of eyes on his potential role this season. If he is the leading striker, the Man Utd fans that are on the Index will be all over it. He bagged a goal in the Chelsea game and another one here would see another spike.

He did and I bought. £3.21 I got on and £3.48 I got off. Lovely jubbly.

I got on Ruben Neves at £1.66 & then at £1,69 when he smashed in the equaliser and sold at around the £1.76 mark so not bad. Nice little bonus.

Anthony-Martial

So there are some picked out trades from that weekend. I make A LOT of trades so to list them all would be silly. I have left out the weekend after this as the article would become too long, but it was also a decent one overall with some steady profit.

Remember, not all trades come off. Some hardly move and I sell at a small loss after commission. Sometimes I am just too late to the party. It happens. Every week. It’s part of the game.

I am gonna mention that I do like IPDs and for this weekend of the 17th and 18th of August, I had a total haul of £133 for Saturday and Sunday. These are a lovely commission-free bonus that tallies up over time.

Aug19th IPDSAug18th IPDS

My current total of £2,356(ish) of dividends is mainly IPDs. I can’t put an exact figure on it but 90% wouldn’t surprise me. This is my buzz that others get from PB and MB wins. Get your buzzes where you can. : D

 

So what do you think?

I haven’t gone into real fine details on this first episode as a lot of time has been put into clarifying a few things and keeping it on a general theme for an opening update. The episodes will be shorter I suspect going forward once it gets going.

It goes without saying I was very happy with the results even with missing out on some HUGE profits and with the odd trading mistake, but let this be a sign of what can really be achieved on this platform.

Reminder:

I now have £9,683 in the Index from starting with £6,700. (as of 30th August – 5pm)

I made £2,983 in 19 days. That is a return of 44.52% in this period.

I can tell you my overall profit now sits at £14,482 as of 30th August 2019. I have put £2.5k of my own money as a true deposit. I started the index on the 5th September 2018, so coming up to a year. I am glad I joined. : D

So, that’s the first episode done and dusted. Let me know what you think by commenting on the article, sending me a message or tweet to @GingerPirlo_FI and you can always find me on IndexGain. If you haven’t signed up yet, what are you waiting for? You can do so on this link.

Just one last thing to finish…

…do you think you can make a living from Football Index? 😀

Peace out. Good luck with your trading!

To sign up to Football Index click this link and give it a go. You won’t regret it!

Survival Sunday prediction

I am gonna look into my crystal ball and make a bold claim.

Now that the likes of Newcastle, Bournemouth are safe and I think Crystal Palace will comfortably stay up. This is what I think will happen in terms of the relegation battle:

Brighton and/or Huddersfield won’t get another point for the rest of the season. Their respected fixtures are quite honestly, rock hard (old term, thought I would use it) so will be stranded on 35 points. (I repeat at least one of them. maybe both)

Southampton will manage to get themselves a couple of wins and a draw in the coming weeks, most likely against Leicester away, Bournemouth at home and Swansea away. This would also put them on 35 points heading into Man City at home on the final day.

Now, Swansea are on 33 at the moment with Man City away, Chelsea at home and Bournemouth away. At best I think they can get a point or two from these games but it’s also likely they won’t get anything.

Then they have that Southampton game and given my prediction above, they will only draw this game at best and will be somewhere around the 35 point mark themselves heading into their final day showdown with Stoke (who I think will be already gone)

So, going into the last game of the season, we could have a situation where all four of these teams are sat on 35 points and we could have a goal difference decider on who gets dumped into the Championship. With all that being said here is who I think it will be:

15th – Swansea
16th – Huddersfield
17th – Southampton
18th – Brighton
19th – Stoke
20th – West Brom

Saints survive an onslaught from Man City and keep the score down to stay up on goal difference.

Sorry Brighton, but just like when you blew the Championship title last season, it could be last day heartbreak for you again from a seemingly comfortable position.

@TheGingerPirlo_

Brighton

Weird transfer XI – Some shockers in here!

There have been some weird transfers over the years. Some that just didn’t make sense at the time and seem even worse when you look back. Here are some that stick in my mind: 

GK: Edwin Van Der Sar – Juve to Fulham.

The whole thing was just weird. Clearly too good for them. Eventually made his move to Man U and won it all. What’s unreal is he was at Fulham for FOUR years. What a total waste of time.

RB: Mat Debuchy – Newcastle to Arsenal.

May not seem that weird but as a Newcastle fan, we couldn’t believe Arsene Wenger paid us twice as much as we did for him, to take him off our hands. He’s done nothing at Arsenal and none of us are surprised. Weird.

(I also have to mention Julian Faubert from West Ham to Real Madrid on loan. Very strange one)

CB: Laurent Blanc – Inter to Man Utd. 

Seriously this one was weird for the entire time he was there. He was clearly too old and contributed to Fergie’s worst ever season in the Premier League. So ridiculous.

CB: David Luiz – PSG to Chelsea.

This one was weird right? No-one could understand it. He then helped them win the league. So weird. He’s now not in the team. Not so weird.

LB: Mikael Silvestre – Man Utd to Arsenal.

I found this one just very strange. I couldn’t get my head around it. Fergie never sells to a rival, so he must have been past it, but he wasn’t that bad, which made it all just weird.

CM: Thomas Gravesen – Everton to Real Madrid.

Has there ever been a weirder permanent transfer? He actually played as well. Twilight zone.

CM: Edgar Davids – rocks up at Barnet.

This wasn’t a transfer and he was player-manager (kind of) but come on. Edgar Davids playing for Barnet? Weirdo.

CM: Ivan Campo – Real Madrid to Bolton.

I could have put Fernando Hierro in this team or even Djorkaeff but Campo was still in his prime and had only recently stopped polishing his Champions League medal. He would spend six years at Bolton. Six.

FW: Nicolas Anelka – Fenerbahce to Bolton.

PSG, Arsenal, Real Madrid, Man City, Fenerbahce, Bolton, Chelsea, wait what? If Anelka were to go for a job interview, he would need to explain the gap in his CV for that 2-year spell at Bolton Wanderers. How? Why?

FW: George Weah – Milan to Chelsea.

This was just weird. It’s like it never happened but it did and I for one can’t forget it. George Weah was a mirage, a mysterious idol to be watched only on Football Italia, winning World player of the year. Not struggling to play up front with Chris Sutton. No. No. No.

FW: Ian Rush & John Barnes – Leeds & Liverpool to Newcastle.

First off, these are two players so technically makes my XI a 12 man team. However, they came at the same time and given their ability at their respective ages, they just about make up one players worth.

As a Toon fan, I watched Kevin Keegan sign Ferdinand & Ginola in 1995 and almost won us the league. I then saw Kenny Dalglish sell them both in 1997 & replace them with over the hill Ian Rush & John Barnes. What? I know they say ‘sign what you know’ but this destroyed our team and put the club back for years. Perhaps forever. Why Kenny? Why? Utter nonsense.

Follow me on Twitter @ToonBano

The shocking truth behind the failed Chelsea’s Kenedy deal. It’s totally unacceptable…

Charnley

As a Newcastle fan it is obvious our window was beyond a joke built up of lies and misery. However, I just want to make clear to everyone how either incompetent our administration is or how scumbaggery they are towards our official ‘UEFA Elite Coach’ Rafa Benitez. Or perhaps they are both.

We had in place a deal for Chelsea left back Kenedy sorted TWO WEEKS AGO but it could only be finalised once Chelsea brought in a first team wing back themselves. Fine.
Oxlade-Chamberlain was their first choice but that fell through on Deadline Day morning as he joined Liverpool. So, my amazing club concluded that the Kenedy deal was off.

Now, this is where some serious explaining needs to happen as at 2.30pm Chelsea agreed a fee for Zappacosta in light of missing out on the Ox. The whole football world knew this as the fact he had Costa in his name brought great attention. So, the Kenedy deal to NUFC is back on right? Apparently no.

Despite there being a good 8 hours or so for Newcastle to get in contact with Chelsea and sort out arrangements for Kenedy making his way to the North East in anticipation of Zappacosta signing, which in turn we could confirm Kenedy…Newcastle Utd announced at 7 pm that they had shut up shop with no more business for the day.

Apparently no. Despite there being a good 8 hours or so for Newcastle to get in contact with Chelsea and sort out arrangements for Kenedy making his way to the North East in anticipation of Zappacosta signing, which in turn we could confirm Kenedy…Newcastle Utd announced at 7 pm that they had shut up shop with no more business for the day.

Are you having a laugh?
Rafa Benitez has woke up this morning to a first team that is minus a left back. A left back that he had lined up a fortnight ago. Chelsea have their new wing back in place to make the deal happen, so why don’t we have it?
This isn’t due to time restraints as Zappacosta was in place many many hours before the window was due to shut. If Zappacosta deal somehow fell through, then Kenedy would too. That’s fine.
But to not have Kenedy at the training ground last night with medical done just waiting for the nod from Chelsea after Zappacosta was confirmed is totally unforgivable for its senseless incompetence.

Newcastle Utd is ran by con men who should be nowhere near the positions they hold. A 15-year-old boy addicted to Football Manager could conduct transfer activity better than them.

Or maybe it’s down to they just don’t want to bring any much needed new players in. That means spending money. Which we all know Premier League clubs don’t have….?

So in which case…what are you doing here? Get out of my club. What possible enjoyment do Ashley and his administration get out of it? Name me one thing? Shambles.

Once Rafa walks, everybody else should too.  Fans first, then Ashley will follow. It’s the only way to get rid of him. He isn’t interested in owning a club with an empty stadium. He will sell and we can finally move on.

The Ginger Pirlo.