Episode 3 – ‘Can I make a living from Football Index?’ – The short term game. Changed?

“I was very much anticipating a big comedown update for this episode…”

Welcome to the third instalment of the ‘Can I make a living from Football Index?’ series.

I left you at the end of September last time out and let’s just say October has been…interesting. The big news last month was the Birthday Bonus and this month was even bigger news, as FI unexpectedly announced a Dividend Review from absolutely nowhere. Scenes!

They called it a ‘review’ but traders quickly took that as ‘increase’ and rightfully so. Not only did this announcement come from nowhere, but it didn’t take long for Adam Cole to get bored of waiting and decided to bring the full announcement forward from the end of his month to the 18th October.

So, within 10 days we had an announcement of a review to the detailed announcement that dividends were going to be increased by 57% across the board. They say a week is a long time in football but in the Football Index world, things move very big, very quickly!

Div policy

 

So what did I do?

“It was straight forward in my head…”

I mentioned in the FI Newsletters that I was fortunate to have my phone to hand when the message came through from FI that they were going to ‘review’ dividends. After a minute or so of trying to formulate what this meant in my head and some ticker watching, it clicked that I should be getting into Dividend earners. So I did.

I couldn’t buy them all but chose the first ones that came to mind in the likes of Neymar, Alexander-Arnold, Messi and Kroos to name a few. I wasn’t as quick as some but managed to get on at a decent time, which brought instant profits that gained more slowly over time.

The plan was simple, to keep until the announcement came when we found out what was actually going to happen. It was straight forward in my head that whatever they were going to announce was going to benefit these div merchants and was a safe bet.

During this time I made a few sales and topped up on a few others and without boring you with detail, by the time FI opened up the market with the 57% announcement my profits soared. I could have made more but could have made less, so not gonna hang on to any of that. No complaints 😀

57 decrease increase

Much needed

This random dividend announcement was much needed as it goes for me, as at the start of October my profits had flatlined. I was very much anticipating a big comedown update for this episode but this has practically saved it.

This was due to a mixture of a drop on some of my players from the birthday bonus ending on 30th Sep, being unavailable to trade on some decent match days and the International break coming in which was a bit of a dead dud.

Luckily for me, it’s very rare a period of time goes on the index without some event happening and this month has been no exception. Big time. Not to mention the actual birthday bonus landing in our accounts the next day after the dividend details came out. You beauty!

The ins and outs

I am typing this up on the 28th Oct, so just over a month since the last update. 33 days to be precise. I am gonna time a 28 days later update at some point just for the sake of it. Balls, it’s Halloween now would have been good. Oh well, chance lost, move on.

I will say straight away that I have made some withdrawals this month. I have taken out £1100 in total over this time period of 33 days. After the last update I did put back in the £800 I had previously taken out to take advantage of the 10% bonus, but that is back out again with another £300 on top.

Speaking of which, my bonus came to £652.30 which was a combination of money I had to spend in my account and some I was able to stick in afterwards.

So, some numbers:

Last month I had £12,752 in the index. This month I have £17,473. Which is an increase of £4,721 over the course of 33 days. This is an increase of 37%.

This maintains my ongoing average of making around £1000 a week. Was actually £1001.36 in this time period to be precise. I never thought I was going to be writing this after the first week of October let me tell you.

Since I started this blog series on 11th August the total amount made has gone up to £11,873.

I started this series off with £6,700 so this has seen a return of 177% over those 11 weeks. This is up from 102% last time out.

Just as a marker to show the more you have in the index, the more you can make. Last months update was a total of £6,852 made, so you can see how it can snowball, fast!

Below is a screenshot of my home screen as we speak.

Port Oct

My all-time profit now stands at £23,372. I joined the index at the start of September 2018 so about 14 months worth.

For those that ask, the amount of money I put in was around the £2.5k mark over a period of my first couple of months but my net deposits are now (minus) -£5,899. I have been free rolling with nothing but my own profit for a while now.

We received our all-time profit emails a few days ago, so I shall stick mine up below. Note the money made since the 24th Oct to 28th Oct is £672 and this is after a very average weekend of trading, to say the least. Trust me, so boring. One of the worst I can remember.

Oct profit

The short term game. Changed?

“…you have to take this into consideration, it’s just silly not to.”

So, with me buying into “Dividend players” this month, does this mean my strategy has changed? Well no, I will never change my in-play and fixture buying (as well as other strategies shown on the intro article) ways but I have added a “string to my bow” if you like.

I mean, it would be pretty sh*t bat mental for me to ignore dividend players when the index announce dividend increases which result in these players going through the roof, right? I’m on the index to make money, so did I buy Neymar for the first time in my FI life, you damn right I did.

In fact, after I initially bought him on the day of the original random announcement on the 8th October. I doubled my holding in him a day before the actual announcement on the 18th October, as I couldn’t understand why he was flatlining at the £7.40 mark.

Neymar

My experiences up to this point on these types of announcements are that the premium players who benefit most skyrocket. This announcement was no different. The lad broke the £8 barrier when the flood gates opened, reaching £8.22 before settling just below that marker.

I did sell the original shares I had in the boom time and kept the other half. I can see him going past this £8 barrier again once we tiptoe into November when the Gold days officially arrive.

When he eventually makes his return to the PSG team, I don’t think traders will be able to resist what he has to offer in this new matrix. 16p for star man, oof!

I have mentioned in the first few articles to the series that I have never been one to “chase PB”. That is still the case in general terms but this was down to a couple of things.

One being I have never had enough in the platform to hold a significant amount of shares in PB players to make it worthwhile. Not in my eyes anyway. I could make more doing my own thing.

Second, it was always difficult to actually win them, as even the best PB players in the world could be done by a journeyman defender scoring a GWG complete with a clean sheet or a hat-trick produced by some random French farmer.

Matrix

We now have a new matrix and we are seeing more of the better players being rewarded. We will always have an unexpected winner here and there, it’s inevitable, but I think we are genuinely seeing a more predictable setup. Although I don’t want it too predictable. Bit boring.

Now with a big increase in payouts gained for these winners, you have to take this into consideration, it’s just silly not to. Plus logic tells you these players will gain more and more investors and go up in price.

No matter the situation, I am always interested in players going up in price or bringing me decent money in some capacity. Aren’t you?

 

The 200 club

“I have my eye on some others”

With all this being said, my dream on FI has always been to have enough money in the thing to hold these dividend contenders, as well as having enough left to get on with what I do.

My first 6 months in the platform was a hard slog, scalping rises where I could and slowly building profit up. It was hard work but it was worth it and also necessary. If I had taken the traditional “sit on and wait” approach, I don’t believe I could have made as much.

I am not allergic to premium players, I just could never afford to have a significant amount of shares in them to make it worthwhile. However, I think I am starting to reach that moment.

So, literally last night after watching TAA smash up the PB screen, I have come up with a concept of a “200 club” where I am planning on holding 200 shares in players I think will regularly compete for these steroid injected divs on this jacked-up new scoring matrix.

TAA

These are to remain untouched and just left to do their thing. Barring any significant news such as an ACL injury or another Ronaldo “rapegate” (port crash flashbacks!!! Aaagghh!) they are to live and dine in the 200 club and left well alone.

I have a tendency to overtrade but I am making this “club” to stop myself from doing so. These players should bring home bacon and rise in value as the product does. Some will rise more and bring in tastier bacon than others but that doesn’t matter. Just leave ’em alone lad.

Why 200 shares? Well, I don’t think 100 or even 150 is really worth it but gaining a couple of quid per penny rise and “doubling” the div payouts (sort of speak) from 8p to £16 hard cash, if you see what I mean, sounds ok to me. I would like 300 but it’s just too much to have locked in.

The early entries are:

Neymar – The King. I had 600 shares in him for the 18th Oct and have 300 as we speak. I will trim this to the 200 share marker eventually but we should all have high hopes for Ney’s price, as he is basically the glass ceiling to the market prices overall. The higher he goes, he brings everybody else with him.

Messi – The Goat. I mentioned that I bought him when FI landed that bomb of a message saying divs were being reviewed (jacked up!) but Messi hardly moved. An example of my overtrading is thus, I bottled it and sold them after a few days of no movement. He obviously went up 60p and won PB since then! He may be getting on but he is set to extend his contract to 2021 so plenty of life in the old goat yet.

TAA – The Kid. Alexander-Arnold was hot on my list of buys on the day FI filled our souls full of hope again. He went up accordingly. So much so, in fact, my old habits of “take the profit” overcame me and I sold up the morning of the Spurs game. Yep, that’s right. I won’t mull on that decision but let’s just say that has inspired me to create the “200 club”. And yes, I am a monumental dickhead.

Kroos – The Boss. There are many midfielders who have benefitted hugely from the new scoring matrix. You know the ones people like. Pjanic, Parejo, Sensi etc. I like ’em too but in a market that is so competitive like the midfielder one is now, I believe Toni is the one. His base is just awesome. You can argue either way about his lack of goals that will cost him, or actually making him better as he doesn’t rely on them, but he is my man.

kroos

Those are the “four horsemen” as we speak and I have my eye on some others who may join the club like Depay, Kimmich, the group of midfielders everyone talks about, and others. I shall play it by ear for now, as these lot are expensive and the plan is once they are in, they are there to stay, so I am not gonna rush it.

 

How was the “normal” trading this month?

In a couple of words, not great. Well, that may be too harsh, as I did have a decent time of it over the European games period that just went by with the Champions League and Europa League.

£500 was made on the likes of Sabitzer, our mate Kroos, Oxlade-Chamberlain and Pepe so it wasn’t all bad. This weekend that just went by though was just poor. I did flip Ayoze Perez, twice, on the Friday night but of all the weekends I could have had free to trade uninterrupted, this was not what I had in mind. Snooze fest.

An average end after an awful start to the month with people selling whatever they could after the Birthday bonus and the International break being so boring I hardly paid any attention to it. The interest in these new International IPDs is already wearing off.

However, FI saved the day with a glorious and memorable middle that has changed the platform for a while yet. For the better, I might add.

 

Conclusion

“If you haven’t looked into it yet, no time like the present.”

There are a few days until the new Dividend structure comes in where Gold, Silver and Bronze take over our lives with 8p, 4p and 2p (oh, that’s the same) being the talk of the town and it could be an amazing time to be on FI.

They have also extended the div deadline to 3pm instead of 2pm which opens up even more opportunities for fast in and out trading. I will try and go into this in a bit more detail in the next update after a few weeks trial.

deadline 3pm

I am already seeing people getting excited and buying some premium players on the ticker and I think once we get into November officially, traders will be yearning to empty their wallets to get on players fighting it out for these jacked-up giveaways.

8p star man for Gold is outrageous and so expect people to lump on the first few winners of these, whoever they are.

4p star man Silver days have also given a specific market an almighty boost. I was already a keen trader on those 5/6 game double days, but now you can win 8p for holding someone coming out on top of a very small field of players. This is huge.

The first one of these is on 8th November and I have been holding Berardi (what feels like forever) as well as Odegaard and some others for this day. If you haven’t looked into it yet, no time like the present.

I shall see you next month and I am already looking forward to seeing how the Index looks after a few weeks of new div action!

Peace out!

Follow me on Twitter @GingerPirlo_FI

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Episode 2 – ‘Can I make a living from Football Index?’ series – Will the good start keep going…?

“The index can offer you many ways to make money it’s just a case of taking advantage.”

Welcome to the second update to my ‘Can I make a living from Football Index’ series.

I’m very pleased with the positive response to my first episode, on top of the intro, with lots of messages coming in, as well as many questions. This is all good and keep ’em coming!

Let’s get straight into episode two, the dreaded sequel! 😀

The last episode left you on the 30th of August, so I thought it would be good to leave it a month and see what progress was made up until the end of September. Seemed all very neat and tidy to me.

However, I have cut that short slightly by a few days after hitting a milestone on the 25th of September. I was planning on leaving the ongoing profit numbers until later on but I shall just get stuck into them right from the off!

Remember in the intro article where I started this series with £6,700? I used some of that to buy into fixture holds and kept the rest in my account for as and when I needed it. Well as approaching midnight on 25th September I have broken the 100% ROI return.

So to be clear, I have taken £6,700 as of 11th August and made another £6,700 as of 25th September. That’s a 100% profit return in just over 6 weeks. To be specific it’s actually £6,852.40 and 102% but you get the picture.

These are crazy returns and something I did not expect to get so soon.  As I was tracking my progress, I saw my profit continuing to rise its way to potentially getting to this 100% ROI marker by the end of the month.

It seemed more like a possibility as the days ticked by and then the 10% net spend Birthday Bonus landed on the 24th September and gave it a big boost over the line. Boom! Happy f**king Birthday! 😀

4th birthday

Before I lay out the numbers I would like to mention that I took some money out last week. £800 to be exact as August was one hell of an expensive month and I needed a boost. What’s making money if you can’t use it eh?

 

The numbers

So with that in mind, the actual numbers are as follows:

I have £12,752.40 in the index. If you include the £800 that would be £13,552.40.

This is a total of £6,852.40 made since I started this series on 11th August.

This is a 102% return made over the course of just over 6 weeks. 45 days to be exact.

This works out at a running profit of just over £1000 a week and £150 a day.

(The below is what my “Port” and account balance looks like as of 27th Sep.)

Port 27 Sep

Looking at the last episode I was going at a similar rate of around £1000 a week and I was fully expecting this to slow down but it’s just ploughed on. The birthday bonus has helped no doubt over the past 24 hours or so but it was still chugging along at a very healthy rate regardless.

I will say I don’t expect it to continue but I said that last time! Plus I still have the actual 10% to land in my account in a few weeks which will be a nice thing to receive. For the record on that, I had just over £6k in my account balance when it was announced and I will spend all of that come 30th Sep so I expect it to be receiving around £610. Lovely.

My all-time profit now stands at £18,352 which is just crazy when you consider a year ago I was testing the waters after just joining with £50, then a few hundred, before committing a couple grand more. I never expected these returns. Never.

 

What I did this month

“Not all flips make money and go to plan.”

Well, some of the first things I did this month were sales. I still had on my hands the Bundesliga front line trio of Mr Weghorst, Waldschmidt and Petersen and after a quiet weekend they had come to their expiry life in my port and I instant sold the lot.

I also decided to get rid of Sven Bender who I had invested a fair share in and had high hopes but even though his PB did outscore Tah, he just hadn’t quite hit the heights and I sensed a sell-off coming, so cut the rope myself.

I had made very good profits on all of these players but given I instant sold them, I took a little hit with the spreads and commission paid but I did the right thing, as they all had a little dip with other traders following suit and selling themselves.

As far as buys go, I make so many trades when it comes to writing it up it’s a difficult task. So, what I will do is follow on from something I did last time and make a list of some Hits, Flips and Misses to show some of the action that went down over the month of September.

Hits

Domenico Berardi – bought 600 for £99p – Sits now at £1.69

I have a new man crush. What a lad he is. He is involved in everything Sassuolo do going forward, he takes free-kicks and corners and if he isn’t scoring himself he is setting someone else up.

I bought him on 6th Sep for the single-game day against Brescia on the 4th Oct in mind. I knew he had performance in him so decided to get in on him nice and early within the 30 days for IPDs.

domenico-berardi

From that time he has bagged two goals away at Roma and grabbed two assists in the next match against Spal. I am currently 70% up on him and feeling pretty sweet.

I had already flipped him when he got his hat trick on the 1st September before buying him again, so he has returned a very healthy amount already…and he hasn’t even got to the game I bought him for yet!

Also wanna quick shout out for his mate Alfred Duncan who I also got 600 at just 39p. I have sold him now when he reached 59p but he is never too far away from setting up Berardi and are a great double act.

Javairo Dilrosun – 900 for 86p – Sits now at £1.25 

Hertha Berlin had/have some decent fixtures in the month of Sep/Oct and there was a bit of talk on one of their exciting players Dilrosun coming back into the team, so I kept my eye on him.

He went and obliged immediately by taking on 3 or 4 defenders against Paderborn before slotting one in the net, so I went in. He later picked up an assist so grabbed me 2p of IPDs and some very sweet CA was to follow.

Dilrosun

He has gone up and up since I bought him and is currently at a 40% rise and with some single games to come, I won’t be moving him on anytime soon. Cracking little player.

Martin Odegaard – 300 for £2.16 – Sits now at £3.25

Most traders know about or have at least heard of Odegaard and his move to Sociedad was an interesting one to keep an eye on. As soon as he scored and also put in some decent PB scores I went in.

Ode

He has gone up way more than I anticipated and wish I had invested more than 300 shares. He broke the £3 mark with birthday bonus money piling into him and with a fantastic performance with an outrageous assist vs Alaves I am now sat at over a £1 rise.

Robert Lewandowski – 300 for £1.58 – Sits now at £1.84

This wasn’t my usual type of player to buy. Lewa is the type of player on the Index that can score in a game but his price goes down afterwards. However, when Bayern went to Leipzig they had some cracking fixtures afterwards.

So, I made a pact with myself that whoever scored in the game I would buy for the IPD discount and keep for these games. Within a couple of minutes, old Lewa bagged one and I was in.

Lewa & Cout

I only went for 300 given my reservations with him but after a few more goals in games after bringing more IPDs and the birthday bonus giving him a very healthy price injection he is sat on £1.85 as I type. Decent trade if I can get out at a good price. We shall see.

Philippe Coutinho – 300 for £2.15 – Sits now at £2.66 (over 5 days)

I couldn’t ignore Coutinho’s PB winning score the last week of 298. He also took a pen when Lewandowski was on a hat-trick which tells me he could be the designated taker.

Cout

I grabbed 300 as I felt a score like that won’t go ignored and within an hour he was up 15 to 20p. He has had an extra injection with the bonus money piling in, like many have, and I will keep him to see how he gets on.

Casimir Ninga – 600 for 47p – Sits at 67p

I flipped this lad when he bagged a hat trick off the bench for around 1200 shares. I wish I had just kept him and took the IPDs on top as in the next game he put in a quality PB score and grabbed an assist.

I decided to go in on him and I am glad I did as he has gone up 20p in a matter of days. Hopefully, he will not only keep his price but continue his form, helping Angers sit joint top with PSG. Crazy

Flips

I make a lot of trades including flips so I will do my best to list some below. I’ll do it in most recent first as I can remember those easier when I trawl through my transaction history.

When the Beta site is up and running I will start downloading my transaction history. Its too complex to go through how much paid and sold for atm so I will list names below and how many flipped.

The following are just from the past week alone since Tuesday’s Champion League night:

Oyarzabal 600, Ocampos 300, Oliver Torres 300, D’Ambrosio 900, Yacine Adli 600, Golovin 600, Arthur 900, Ninga 1200, Benes 300, Thuram 600, Cresswell 300, Budimir 300, Nyom 600, Caputo 600, Saracchi 600, Sabitzer 300, Orban 600, Chris Wood 900, Alario 600, Cazorla 600, Stengs 600, Saka 600, Di Maria 300, Valbuena 600, Tagliafico 900, Edson Alvarez 900, Szoboszlai 300, Haaland 900 on 1st goal 600 on 2nd goal.

 

Oyar

As you can see I make a lot of trades in-play. Whenever a goal goes in, I always check who it is and his price with his spread. If it seems viable I will jump on. If not but I think another goal or assist would be, I may buy 1 share to have him there ready.

Not all flips make money and go to plan. Some I get on too late or don’t rise as much as anticipated. It isn’t as easy or straight forward as it may seem. Some people will not go anywhere near in-play action due to its nature.

I have had a lot of practice which has brought its fair share of burns but its all experience. Like anything, the more you do it the better you get. That will do, not listing anymore, be here all day! 😀

Misses

Erling Braut Haaland

You may have caught that I flipped him in-play when he went on a scoring spree on his Champions League debut, but my profits on him could have been so much more.

I bought him a few days earlier when he put in another performance for Salzburg but sold him not long after to free up some money, completely forgetting he was due to finally play a PB game.

During that time he rocketed up an eye-watering amount by the time that game kicked off. D’oh!

erling_braut_haaland

Donyell Malen

This one is a bit hit and miss, as I had bought 600 Malen at a similar time as Haaland on that weekend, as he scored 5 goals for PSV in one game. Unlike Haaland. I kept hold of Donyell for a few days and made good money as he went up about 30p or so.

Problem is after Haaland went crazy on Tuesday night, the market decided that Malen may do the same so he had another injection of money piled into him and went up a further 40p. Very annoying.

Michy Batshuayi

Now this one really p*ssed me off 😀 I sat and watched the likes of Dries Mertens and Romelu Lukaku rise for a course of a couple of weeks or so, as traders were looking forward to Belgium hammering San Marino.

That’s fine, except in the back of my head I had a feeling they weren’t gonna play and Martinez would give Batshuayi a run out instead. The day before the game I had notifications on IndexGain set up on Michy’s name and it was now a simple case of waiting for the team news.

Bats

When the team news came out, where was I? Sneaking off for a quick piss and left my phone to charge so completely missed it and the 13p rise that came. Blew my top on that one!

IPOs

If Batshuayi blew my top, waking up to all those IPO’s already out and pumped as they were released in the middle of the night was nothing short of devastating. Could have cried 😀

What makes it worse, is I was on IndexGain at half-past midnight cracking jokes as to whether they will release some soon. I quote, “If I worked there I would release one now for a laugh”

If I had taken my own wild sense of humour more seriously and stayed up just 40 mins longer I would have cashed in. I reckon I missed out on a couple of grand there at least. But I am over it now…honest.

ihattern

 

Main strategy on the index

“I couldn’t recommend this type of in-play/fixture buy strategy enough”

The above were some picked out Hits, Flips and Misses but if you ask me what my main strategy is at the minute it’s fixture buying. I can buy a player looking ahead of anywhere up to a month. I don’t really go too far beyond that.

Fixtures I look out for are any regular single game days in a short period of time or literally just decent fixtures back to back in the 30 days window for IPDs. It really isn’t rocket science, you just have to think about the timing of trades to make the most out of it.

Another aspect of this I have been actively doing lately is merging my in-play stuff with future fixture buying. My Lewandowski and Coutinho trades are an example of that. I knew Bayern’s games coming up so grabbed a discount.

I couldn’t recommend this type of in-play/fixture buy strategy enough. It doesn’t even need to be a long list of upcoming fixtures. It can literally just be the next game.

If there is a single game coming up for a team and their relatively cheap striker bags one or even two IPDs, get on him and just wait. Traders will always look for players in form and buy accordingly in the days leading up to the next match.

Real Betis Balompie v Girona FC - La Liga

I did this with Loren Moron a couple of weeks back and he went up sh*t loads by the time the next game had come along. Traders see his goals and assists and decide he is a good buy. The trick is getting in early before these trades commence.

Another example is Amine Harit. I saw that Schalke had a nice looking single game on a Friday night, so kept my eye on their match before this vs Paderborn. They smashed them 5-1 with Harit scoring twice.

He was the best player on this pitch so I invested heavily in him. I took the IPDs and kept for the next fixture as other traders were bound to catch on to his skills. Sure enough, he went up gradually during the week and sat 30p higher than what I paid for him.

Amine Harit

Now, the problem for me is that as I was working that Friday night I couldn’t keep track of him so I sold him the day before the match. He went on to be star man and I missed out on some serious profit but that’s for me to chew over. Point is, the theory works.

So if you want my advice, look at the fixture lists. Keep an eye on Twitter for accounts showing single game days or 5 game double days and make a note. Even just a mental note. It can be a very solid and consistent way of making money on the Index.

 

Signing off

I’m gonna wrap this episode up here as I don’t want them to be essays. I am looking forward to the next one and seeing if this rate of income can continue. If I had to make a bet on it I would say it will dip but you never know.

When I look at some of the opportunities that I missed over the past month it shows what can be achieved if you are on it and sharp on a regular basis. The index can offer you many ways to make money it’s just a case of taking advantage.

The IPOs happening in the middle of the night is an example. The Birthday Bonus is another. The international games offering PB and IPDs is another. Next month could see something else come up. FI can be the gift that keeps on giving if you are set to take it.

I mean, I’ve made 100% ROI in 6 weeks of starting this blog series. That is crazy.

Thanks for reading and see you on the next one. Don’t forget you can find me on Twitter @GingerPirlo_FI and I’m always on IndexGain. I am also now apart of an FI Newsletter with FIG and co so keep a lookout for that. It comes out every fortnight.

Peace out.

To sign up to Football Index click this link and give it a go. You won’t regret it!