Episode 9 – ‘Can I make a living from Football Index?’ – Life in lockdown

“Football will come back. We just don’t know when. So, hang tight and carry on”

Welcome to the ninth instalment of the ‘Can I make a living from Football Index?’ series.

This month the net spend bonus came to an end, FI made an announcement (literally their favourite thing in the world) and 2019/20 football seasons have been cancelled in some big leagues around Europe. So, another quiet one…

(If you somehow haven’t signed up to Football Index yet, you can do so by clicking this link you won’t regret it!)

The Dutch league was the first decent-sized league to say ‘that’s it’ as they ended the 2019/20 season and they also null and voided the whole thing. So, no title for Ajax who were top and no relegation for Alan Pardew and ADO Den Haag, the lucky bast*rd. Although he still got sacked. 😀

This week France declared that there will be no sporting events until September and the media are reporting this means the French 2019/20 season has been cancelled, although I don’t think that decision has actually been officially made. More details may come out soon.

ajax
No title? Noooooo

What is does mean though is that the finest players from everyone’s favourite ‘farmer’s league’ will be out of action for a significant amount of time. Plus it gives the impression other nations could be taking the same route soon despite some leagues allowing players to start training.

Bundesliga even came out with a statement saying football will be back in May played behind closed doors and the Premier League have rumours of football potentially being back soon under the same restrictions.

All we can do is sit and wait and see how this plays out. One of the things that is vastly undersold around the Index chat is how out of control we are regarding the players we invest our money into.

It is something I personally have a very strong recognition for, if that is the right word to use, and do mention it here and there. I am very conscious of the fact we have zero say on the players we bet on and take a leap of faith, on a varied scale of risk, with each buy we make. You barely see anyone mention this when they offer you their words of wisdom.

sensi
Hmm, my valued asset seems to be down injured, again

Whether it be an injury, being dropped, a sudden change in position, tactics or manager. We expose our money to all kinds of situations that may occur for which we can do nothing about. Never mind a pandemic which halts football matches in its tracks indefinitely.

We have absolutely no control over this situation and all we can do is work within the product and act sensibly and make sure it’s as solid as it can be for when football comes back. And Football will come back. We just don’t know when. So, hang tight and carry on 😀

 

Striking Oil!

“I think next month FI need to try and do something that will genuinely get people talking”

Amazingly, many traders have experienced the best month/time they have ever had profit wise on the Index. You see people posting their returns everywhere and their utter joy. It says a lot about the platform that it can still thrive in times this like this.

Someone said, “Index historically proven to do better with no football on…” and you can’t say that isn’t true. It does depend on your strategy, however, and what kind of players you have money invested in. There will be some traders that have had a stinker.

High profile players have seen some big rises over the past few weeks and those traders with lots of shares in them have really felt like they have struck oil. If that is even worth anything these days… 😀

Rashford
Media love charity. It’s good to give.

The Sanchos, Rashfords, Haalands, Mbappes of this world have all had their fair share of investment as people put their money into what they know. Young, famous, quality players. PB ability, or perceived lack of, doesn’t seem to really matter in times like this.

Media is still playing its part on a daily basis but it doesn’t quite have the same bait as those double dividends did. 5 places are nice but given its only a 1p payout for 3rd, 4th and 5th this isn’t something traders will specifically invest heavily for. You would think people already have their money set going forward for media takings.

The announcement was tagged as “huge” but I didn’t expect anything special. They extended the 5 places and late deadline as well as bringing back the lowering of matches needed for Gold and Silver days but no one got excited over it.

I think next month FI need to try and do something that will genuinely get people talking and pressing the deposit and/or buy button, as I foresee a very flat month of May coming up.

Since the net spend bonus ending we have already seen the Index flat line. My all-time profit has took a hit over the past week, although this usually happens immediately after one of these offers to be fair.

 

So, how did I do?

“These numbers are not what I was expecting when I started out on this thing several months ago.”

I finished off the last episode by looking into what I was going to do going forward. I said the following, “In the short term, my focus will be on those media dividend rankings and seeing which players are looking like dominating at any given moment in time.”

I was true to my word and kept most of the players I had bought for the media rankings and added one or two that I felt could also bring in some media dividends, even if for that day or two.

Sancho Man U
Nice shirt, Jadon. Suits you.

Last month I went through the players I had money in for the foreseeable which were;

Sancho, Pogba*, Gnabry, Coutinho, Bellingham, Havertz, Foden, Depay, Alphonso & Bruno.

I still have all of these players apart from Pogba. I had him on the sale queue as I wasn’t sure what to do with him as his price was going down and down but he could still pick up media divs to cover it.

To my surprise, he sold quite quickly so the deed was done. Pogba was gone. I thought my place in the queue would have been way down the list but never mind. Decision made.

I topped up my total shares in Sancho and Alphonso to 1000 as well as doubling my shares in Depay. I cud sense a bit of a boom happening near the end of last month and at the start of this so took the opportunity.

Alphonso 2025
New contract for the boy.

Some other players I put my money into were;

Rashford, Mbappe, Ferran Torres, Alan Saint-Maximin, Leroy Sane, Ziyech, Azmoun, Onana, van de Beek, Rooney and Dries Mertens. All of these sit at a profit, some more than others.

Other more short term buys were;

Maguire, Ozil, Wan Bissaka, Fred, Partey. Koulibaly, Saul, Telles and Ajer.

All bought, and now sold, for reasons that they were either doing well in the media rankings early doors, so I jumped on for seemingly guaranteed divs, or they had some decent transfer rumours that looked a goer. None of the above short-termers lost money, some made a nice little profit.

All purchases over this past month have been made with the net spend bonus in mind, as mine was reset on the 25th March. I wasn’t planning on actually doing it but I had a decent amount in my account so, in the end, I spent the lot!

Numbers

Speaking of money, I may as well get into how I did over the past month since the last episode. The below is taken from the period between 27th March and 29th April. We haven’t received our all-time profit emails yet but not to worry.

This month profit is up £6,017 from last time out going up to £65,829 in total from £59,812. This is an increase of just over 10%.

ATP April

This was aided by the net deposit bonus which I took home £1,150. I didn’t max it out but I shall take it. My ATP was actually £66,500 on the day the bonus ended so it has seen a drop during this time.

Being specific to this blog, my ROI from starting out with £6,700 back in August is now at 810%I have taken out £8,740 over the course of this period and have £52,389 left in the Index.

These numbers are not what I was expecting when I started out on this thing several months ago. 😀

However, I shall make a very strong prediction that next month’s May episode 10 will easily be my least fruitful. I can not see how I will continue these returns given what this past week has been like.

 

So, what’s next?

I’ve got to be honest, I think it’s gonna be quiet. The German league said it was going to recommence in May but that may now be scrapped. The PL are whispering that they may look to play games behind closed doors but this may come to nothing.

Who knows what is gonna come in the next four months, never mind four weeks. If there are no games to speak of I can’t see me investing much money from my account into players. All I will be doing is holding the ones I want and waiting to strike at the right time.

Behind closed doors
No fans, no football?

Listing players is inevitable on the platform but whether they sell or not is another story. FI love an announcement so they may make one in a few weeks to attempt to get things moving if it becomes a tumbleweed town.

One thing I will say is don’t panic and can we refrain from going a bit mental on FI Twitter. I only pop on now and again, as I have the Newcastle potential takeover at the forefront of my attention (please God let this go through) but I have seen a bit of nonsense.

Let’s not lower the tone because you’re bored with lectures or scaremongering. No need. Play the game. Football will be back before you know it…maybe.

(If you somehow haven’t signed up to Football Index yet, you can do so by clicking this link you won’t regret it!)

Follow me on Twitter @GingerPirlo_FI

Episode 8 – ‘Can I make a living from Football Index?’ – So…anything dramatic happened?

“Weeks are dragging already and this thing has only just started.”

Welcome to the eighth instalment of the ‘Can I make a living from Football Index?’ series.

First off, I hope you and your families are all well and are coping with what the world is going through at the minute. Football doesn’t seem that important atm but naturally, we will all miss it and hope it comes back as soon as it’s deemed safe to do so.

(If you somehow haven’t signed up to Football Index yet, you can do so by clicking this link you won’t regret it!)

Index wise, talk about drama. I had a quick look at last months episode and it feels like it was written months ago. I was talking about heading into the business end of the season and having a little moment to talk about the irrational instant selling we were seeing.

Now, the business end has been put on ice and maybe even cancelled off completely at some point. I don’t think that will happen if you asked me now, however, seeing the FA cancel the non-league spectrum there is a chance this drastic action could creep its way up the footballing pyramid.

The Premier League hold the cards over the FA of course so like I say, I don’t personally think they will cancel the league and start fresh with unfinished business to attend to as it won’t sit well with millions of people and will never ever be forgotten. Do we really want an asterisk against season 2019-20*?

Even if it means sandwiching in next season to a tight schedule or moving consecutive seasons slowly until it reaches the normal schedule again, leagues around the world must look at every option to get this one done. Football will be a lot better for it.

March-ing on

March 2019 was the time of the share-split which changed the Index and was huge news for us all to get used to and to work with going forward. March 2020 will also live long in the memory as the time of the Coronavirus, or Covid-19 to be more specific which put football on hold.

Seeing football just stop with games to play is bizarre. Seeing the world around you go into lockdown can also be scary. Uncertainty occurs and people start to panic. The stock market crashed and given our platform, some traders reacted in a similar fashion and we witnessed an instant sell fest.

FI reacted by sticking on monumental spreads and having rolling blackouts for the IS button to try and stem the tide. Some can argue this was the right thing to do, others will say it was sh*thousery.

Corona

I personally can’t see how they should have just left spreads as they were given the panic. Not just to protect FI but traders as well by basically putting people well and truly off even thinking of dumping players at that massive cost and forcing them to take time to settle down and think.

That being said, I can also see the argument of sticking them up as much as 40% may have been a step too far for those that were hell-bent that they needed their money out immediately. As we don’t know everyone’s individual circumstances. So I am somewhere in the middle on that issue.

What is truly amazing about March 2020 is literally days previous to this mass panic and football being postponed until further notice, is that Football Index announced a huge offer of double dividends and a £1500 trading bonus.

This offer resulted in huge amounts of money being ploughed into the platform, particularly in Bruno, and seeing people’s all-time profits sore (if you owned the right players). It must be said that this offer was created amongst the early days of the coronavirus so FI did have this Footie boost in mind when offering it.

1500

Looking back at my February update just four weeks ago, the header of that episode said this, “I have to say the end of February has been a testing few days…”. I seriously feel like I was writing that episode in a different time zone. 😀

Weeks are dragging already and this thing has only just started. I wrote a tweet saying “I wish I had tracked my media wins since the last game of football was played”. It’s only been over a week! If someone told me it was a few weeks ago I would have believed them.

So…how we gonna make money now?

“I have repeated a phrase consistently in my time on the Index which is “when a door closes, it opens a window”

A short answer is media dividends. No football matches remove one element of Football Index in the shape of Match Days divs along with IPDs as a side dish but it leaves Media as the forefront of the platform.

In a time long long ago, before I had even heard of the Index, the platform used to only be only about media anyway. Winning Match Day dividends and trading around performance was just an idea that hadn’t come into practice yet and the platform grew from there.

So, as painful as it is to have PB taken away, the beauty of the Index is that it is still open for business. I saw a tweet the other day of William Hill promoting offers on a game in Belarus or something on Twitter which is hilarious to look at compared to FI.

When the season ends normally in May what do we do as traders and what happens to the platform? It focusses on media days and traders work around that. This moment in time isn’t quite the same as that as it’s unprecedented and completely unique, however, one thing that is the same is Treble media days.

dd

No football matches equal Treble media days on the Index and that will never change. Whether its an International Break, summer transfer window or the postponement of football matches around Europes top 5 leagues. Journalists will still write about players and the most written about will win Media Dividends.

We have had a lovely bonus at the moment of Double Dividends which has turned the winning player payout 10p of divs for gathering the most article points which have been brilliant. I myself have picked up winners in the top two almost every day as well the odd full house.

One of the themes I have around the winners since the pandemic is certain players have seen lots of attention for a couple of days and then that wave moves onto another player and then moves on again.

For e.g. Bruno was still in the medias mind last week, then Pogba got his fill and most recently Jadon Sancho’s potential transfer (as well as how good he is) articles have taken over. For holders of those players, in particular, it has been a solid period of picking up some money in spite of the huge drops overall on the market most of us have suffered from.

sancho transfer

The other way of making money atm is good old fashioned capital appreciation. I mentioned the suffering overall in the market after the mass sell-offs and listing of players, but some players have been strong amongst this period of uncertainty and that’s players who could potentially feature heavily in the media.

So, as well as picking up your 10p per share of media dividends on Sancho lately, if you have held throughout the past week or so, or even if you have only just bought in recently, you have seen your shares rocket in price and seen you all-time profit figure go up.

I have repeated a phrase consistently in my time on the Index which is “when a door closes, it opens a window”. If performance-based players look to be out of action for Lord knows how long for, don’t ignore the potential of players that may feature heavily in the media.

The Index has a remarkable ability to show traders both sides of the story and it’s just a case of seeing it. For e.g. if a player goes down with an ACL he will get sold off/listed, however, his replacement(s) may get bought up so if you are quick to recognise this you can make money from it.

Now, the money you make may only be enough to cover the losses you are receiving from the “bad news” but that’s a lot better than only taking the loss. There are moments where if your all-time profit is still at a similar figure you have done well.

 

What about me?

“…I expect them all to have their fair share of battles for those media spots and could be a nice regular income via media wins.”

For myself across the past month, I have had a mixture of instant selling, listing and buying before, during and after this ‘crisis’ as it were. When the announcement of Double Divs happened, for example, I ploughed into Bruno and grabbed some Kimmich and Neymar.

Since then I have reduced my Bruno holding, sold Neymar on without any damage but have Kimmich on the sell queue at a loss. I actually had Kimmich at a 30p profit for a few days, as I was one of the first people to recognise buying him with Double Divs on offer and Bayern having a couple of easy looking matches.

Kimmich

Typically he has now changed to a Midfielder so I may have him on the queue for a long time,  I don’t have any plans to take him off and keep him. I feel my money is better off elsewhere, even if it’s just sat in my account ready to go or even to be withdrawn.

My all-time profit has been a bit of see-saw. I made a couple of grand from the big announcement. That went down a grand on ‘Black Thursday’ where people seemed to be listing or instant selling on mass. It went up and down a bit consistently since but I am now, thanks to some of my buys, sat at an all-time high.

Trading

When the coronavirus situation was building my initial reaction was to not really do anything. I wanted to take stock and think about the situation and what might happen. Once I had a think, I did instant sell some players but only those of smaller spreads who I couldn’t see being bought anytime soon.

I felt the money was best out of those and in my control and didn’t mind the smallish hit given I was up a couple of grand from the big announcement. I also listed a lot of players who did have a larger spread who I was not prepared to take the larger hit.

Some of those in hindsight may have been worth just dumping before the HUGE spread came on but some of those players have sold at a loss (some big losses) and some are still in the queue.

You could argue that I should have just kept the players for when/if the market fully recovers but tbh we may be facing 6 months of no football and I don’t like such large amounts of money being tied up like that. My own choice. That’s if they even sell anyway.

Another reason I am willing to take the losses on those is I can use the money elsewhere if needed. Some buys I have made over the past couple of weeks are Sancho, Pogba, Coutinho, Bellingham and Gnabry.

Bellingham

Most of those are because I expect them all to have their fair share of battles for those media spots and could be a nice regular income via media wins. I also could smell the market looking to buy into them at different times and got in early.

The exception to a media buy is Gnabry who had a positional change to a forward which makes him a lot more worthwhile in holding a slightly more ‘valuable’ to hold. I can see the market placing him as a £5 player (or near enough) once football comes back so I took the opportunity to buy in now for fear of missing a big rise.

This means that as far as ‘holds’ are concerned, these are the following players I consider to be ‘in my portfolio’ although I don’t actually believe in such behaviour but that issue is for another time:

Bruno Fernandes – the all-rounder. His price will go up and down but I can’t be bothered trying to time exits and re-entries. I have kept a certain amount through the odd buy and sell and that will stick now.

Alphonso Davies – held for a while and defender change will defo help his appeal. I love this kid.

Memphis Depay – I may top him up at some point as the Euro delay helps him a lot.

Phil Foden – I sold half my stake to the market but he has recovered a bit lately. Could have a huge year next season.

Foden

Kai Havertz – He was my rock-solid hold before the corona stuff which proves anything can happen that we have zero control over. I can’t see any huge return coming up in the short term and he may be blunt in the long term given the crisis but I don’t wanna get rid of him completely. Currently have half my stake on the market but I may unlist if he starts getting real media attention.

Jude Bellingham – I could smell the market wanting to get on him so did so myself. He is getting some media without actually winning any. He has been rising slowly though, so see how this transfer pans out.

Philippe Coutinho – Very similar to Jude I could sense he was going to get some action as he was hanging around the media spots without really smashing them and times my entry pretty well as he was 23p the next time I opened the app. A move back to the Prem would be sweet. My tip has always been Leicester given he worked with Brendan Rodgers but see what happens.

Serge Gnabry – Positional change is key. He is a peak performance player rather than high averages but peaks win you divs. If he can win as a midfielder he has lots of potential as a forward. Happy to pick up at around £4 in the current market.

serge-gnabry

Paul Pogba* – I have had my moments with PP, hence the asterisk. I had bought very well for under £7 with a decent top up later on with a decent sale of some shares (price-wise) at one stage. However, I also got over-excited and bought in further near his peak which he may never reach again.

I’m not sure what I want to do with my remaining shares at the moment and given his up and down price, I can see I am not the only one. Double divs for media are nice but they are ending soon and he has to maintain his relevance to prevent further listing. Given I bought the ones I have at near his peak price it’s a tricky one.

Jadon Sancho – If I have had my slight moments with Pogba over the past couple of weeks, that’s nothing compared to my history with Sancho. If ever there was a player I royally screwed up on a consistent basis he is the one. The Golden Boy of the index is my dark stain.

I have owned Sancho before but through a loss of belief, misguided opportunity cost or just sheer stupidity I have sold them way too early and not got back on the horse anywhere near quickly enough. Looking back at his graph and my lack of ownership for the majority of that time is just embarrassing tbh 😀

Sancho inv

Even now I bought a decent chunk of him but then watched him drop to below £10. Part of me was cursing my actions once again and almost declared ‘you know what, he and I are just never gonna work’ but I avoided the temptation to market sell.

Reason being there was no way I was a) taking a loss but more importantly b) selling him at this moment in time. Use your brain Pirlo and forget the past. He could take over the summer media-wise all being well and I can see him pushing £13+ if not reaching £15 if all the dots line up.

I must admit to the following, even though I didn’t make another total f*ck up on the boy I still made a mistake. I didn’t buy more when he dipped under £10 which is fine. But I also didn’t buy more when he was around £10.60ish whilst winning media with my finger hovering over the buy button.

sancho

I managed to sleep through (physically and mentally) a good 80p rise before finally going bigger on him which can be added to the highlight reel of Sancho moments of brain farts but at least I did it eventually eh?

Now, even saying that we still don’t know what will happen in the future but fingers crossed he gets all the media he deserves and this transfer stuff drags on for months on end.

 

Numbers

“The aim of this blog was to show the potential of the Index…”

Strange month ongoing profits wise but only going to get tougher to maintain given my trading style is mainly around matches and matchdays. In fact, I can’t see how they will stay at a similar level for the foreseeable in the current climate.

However, I have already made steps towards potential media solid players and as quickly as you can’t see something one week on the Index, something else happens the week after to guide you in another direction. Who knows where we will be in a months time.

As I speak we are already seeing a bit of money being put into the Index again which is really positive but I am cautious that this could be just temporary, given the current net spend trading bonus being reset for those with negative spends, we shall have to wait and see.

I am going to take this month’s profits up to the all-time profit email we received on the 27th March:

For this season specifically, when I started this blog, the total profit now sits at £49,480. The blog had a start date of 11th Aug with £6,700 in the Index with no further investment during this process.

So, over the course of those seven and a half months or 33 weeks, if you prefer, the rate of return is now at 738.51%. For some perspective. without any withdrawals, the amount I would have in the Index today would be £56,180.

The aim of this blog was to show the potential of the Index and I hope the above goes some way of showing that. I started with a moderate amount, no further investments, just compounding the profits made over and over again to keep the rate going up. Profits making profits. 😀

ATP March

As you can see. the all-time profit is now just shy of £60k at £59,812 which means this month’s ongoing profits have gone up £5,845. That is an increase of 9.23%.

It was a day shy of 4 weeks since the last episode so taking in £1,461.25 a week in the month we have just had, I shall take that. That figure was pretty close to my average weekly “income” for this season.

My all-time dividends have gone up over a thousand pounds and beats last months haul. This was helped by the media based players I invested in for when the football matches came to a stop winning regularly.

Interestingly (as far as I am aware) the double dividend “extra” payments don’t actually count towards the dividends figure on the app so my dividend based payouts have been a bit more than what that is showing me. Not that I am complaining.

Going forward

In the short term, my focus will be on those media dividend rankings and seeing which players are looking like dominating at any given moment in time. I have had regular winners over the double dividend period which obviously has been satisfying.

All we can do overall is keep monitoring the situation of when football may be back. My own view it will be several months so I will be relying on those media players for the foreseeable. With an eye on adding some to my ‘port’ if they look to be a potential consistent presence.

Some traders are already looking into buying players for when football does come back, basically “PB players”, so monitoring the market is also worth keeping an eye on, even if its just a casual one.

Personally, I am not looking that far ahead yet as we have no idea how long this virus will keep football players off the pitch. It could be three months, six months or even a year. Just imagine that scenario. It may seem way off the mark but we just don’t know.

I heard Mike Bohan dropping a hint that we may see some old fashioned IPOs drop soon so I shall be keeping an eye out for those…as always!

Happy trading and take care.

You can find me on Twitter @GingerPirlo_FI

(If you somehow haven’t signed up to Football Index yet, you can do so by clicking this link you won’t regret it!)

 

Episode 7 – ‘Can I make a living from Football Index?’ – are the Index fundamentals changing?

“I have to say the end of February has been a testing few days…”

Welcome to the seventh instalment of the ‘Can I make a living from Football Index’ series.

We are moving into the business end of the season now as the UEFA Champions League and Europa League knockout stages begin and we start to take stock of which players can go all the way and maximise their playing time as well as bring in healthy returns.

(If you somehow haven’t signed up to Football Index yet, you can do so by clicking this link you won’t regret it!)

First off I am pleased to announce I have teamed up with FreeSuperTips.com to spread the good word of the Index to create a weekly journal type feature of some buys and sales I have made as well as a few potential tips.

This is in addition to the good lads at FootballCritic.com who I have been creating content for several weeks now. Check out their sites and my latest articles on the above links and keep an eye out for more on your Twitter timeline and spread the good word.

February has been a tricky period for traders from what I am picking up on around chat channels and Twitter. Some may not have felt the pinch that much but others may be feeling like Deontay Wilder after going a few rounds of getting beat to **** by Tyson Fury. It all depends on who you hold and what strategy you have.

The Footie itself is up over 4,500 I have been informed since the end of January so the market as a whole hasn’t had any official dip. What we are seeing is more volatility as players are, at times, brutally sold off for small reasons like short suspensions, slight injuries or even for just being substituted.

Short-termism is an expression that gets banded around and you could say this is a solid way of describing it. As a fella who is well known to be short-term with players in my time, I wouldn’t fully describe it as just this, although it is a factor. I would be more inclined to call it irrational.

 

Emotional or Merciless?

“In-play trading takes a certain level of skill. It took a lot of hard work and experience from myself to make it viable…”

When I have been on a player for a short amount of time there was a method behind it and risk evaluated. Always. I don’t like to part with my money easily.

Not including in-play flips, the only time I buy a player and instant sell them off within several days or hours is a cheeky low share amount, low cost, low-risk punt on a cheap player with a small spread. My general trading on the Index is always to market sell.

Yet we are seeing this type of “dumping” behaviour with more expensive players with wide spreads and it’s a bit frightening tbh. The cost of these trades must be a killer. We have all been there feeling we need to IS off a player for whatever reason and it’s painful, yet these lot are seemingly doing it at will.

The instinct is to call it emotional and irrational behaviour. Some of what we are seeing in terms of dismissing a player so willfully and quickly is beyond any logic. But that is with the thought process of a trader. Maybe this behaviour isn’t completely irrational, maybe it’s just blatant high-risk gambling.

We have seen people out there put a £20k bet on Arsenal to win a one-off game. High risk, high reward. So maybe the Index has attracted these types of gamblers who think they can make decent money with a similar attitude here?

If that is true, it would be interesting to see how well (or poorly) they are doing. Maybe one of these high-risk gamblers will share their profit and losses from this type of behaviour one day. That is assuming they actually exist, I am still just speculating at this stage in an attempt to explain what we are seeing.

There is nothing wrong with short-term trading. It has been around before I joined the platform. I was inspired by certain parts of it like fixture trading by experienced traders and I still do this today.

In-play trading takes a certain level of skill. It took a lot of hard work and experience from myself to make it viable and isn’t for the faint-hearted based on testimonies from those who tried and will never try again.

It can be a bit bizarre to see players rise 10-15p in a short space of time and then crash back down again if they didn’t actually do a lot wrong. Small rises and/or falls around game days are natural but these seem to be getting bigger. This may purely be down to more traders equals more volatility and just something we all need to get used to.

Or like I have gone into, it could be due to your typically instant high risk, high reward gamblers who may get bored after a while and go back to regular bookmakers or exchanges if they decide it isn’t working on the Index. Who knows really? Let’s see how this behaviour pans out.

 

How’s the 200 club?

If you have read earlier episodes you will know that early in the season I started a ‘200 club’ which was made up of quality PB performers who should be fighting it out for those star man divs on any given day.

I made this club as the new dividend structure that was announced was generous and I felt I had enough money in the Index to add some high-end players into my port, as well as carry out my active trading.

As of today, I can say that this has pretty much been disbanded. Reason being the drop in the value of these PB monsters we all know and love was just too annoying to bear. I didn’t mind at first but after a while my thoughts of the opportunity cost got the better of me.

Messi
still got it

I loved holding Messi and seeing him bend one in the top corner to take star man, it was a brilliant feeling but the financials just weren’t stacking up. I held him throughout his massive drop and it was sad to see him leave.

I have no idea if he will continue to drop or will stay around the price he is now for another season or two but I decided I just don’t need the hassle of it. It was the same with Toni Kroos. I love Toni, many do, but his price has gone from over £5 to less than £4 in a short period of time.

I sold him to the market for £4.70 even though I didn’t really want to but I could see his drop coming. He is now £3.82 and if I had held on, then all of the divs he has won me would have been wiped out, as well as the cap app. It’s sad but I felt it was necessary.

Neymar was one I should have sold when he had that big rise lately to £8.83 but with his star-man power, I held onto him. I sold him recently for £8.20ish and he is now dipped back under £8. Brutal.

Neymar
via IndexGain

I only held 200 shares of these players but there are others with thousands who are feeling the dip right now. Financially that is. They may still very much enjoy holding them and believe they will rise again so don’t stress about it, but for me, I have sold them and will only get back on if the Index presents another opportunity I think is worth it.

Only one man has remained and that is Trent Alexander-Arnold. Reason being he is a lot younger than the others and with his powers getting stronger rather than weaker, I see no real reason to get rid of him just yet.

 

Hits and misses

“…I had too much faith in them to repeat their impressive performances”

I haven’t done a Hits and Misses segment for a while so let’s do one, shall we? The following were some trades that went well and some not so well for one reason or another. Enjoy.

Hits

Alphonso Davies (Bayern Munich)

I love this kid. I have owned him for a while (in my world) and I am not planning on letting him go anytime soon. His performance against Chelsea in the Champions League was of no surprise to me. I am surprised, however, in how well he is turning himself into a left-back, as I only really judged him on going forward. This kid is a real talent.

Alph

I first saw him when he was 16 playing for Vancouver Whitecaps when I was given one of their games to randomly analyse in my football performance role I used to have and he stood out to me. He was head and shoulders above the rest.

It was only after I did the game and looked him up that I saw his age. It blew my mind. I knew right there and then he would be at a big club soon. Bayern were the smart ones and took him. I have heard Man Utd had the chance and turned it down, what has been going on over there?!

He is up almost 90p per share for the month and my only gripe is I didn’t top up even more on him!

Bukayo Saka (Arsenal)

Forward players slotting in at left-back is a bit of a theme it seems, as another young player I have liked for a while is doing a similar job at Arsenal, albeit more temporary. Saka came to my attention in the Europa League last season and stood out to me as the best of the Arsenal youngsters.

He has been tasked with slotting in at left-back this season and he has took advantage to show off his attacking skills and grabbed plenty of assists. His defensive skills are obviously in need of improvement but he has done a cracking job and the market has noticed.

I got on a bit late in terms of this month’s whopping 50% rise but when a player rises over a £1 per share in value, you have some room to still make a decent amount whenever you got on. Let’s hope he keeps on smashing it.

Bruno Fernandes (Man Utd)

We all saw it right? A Gold day Star Man win and then boom! So I couldn’t do this episode without mentioning him. I grabbed a cheeky 300 when he slotted in his penalty vs Watford, as it was pre-deadline and he had a shout at some divs if he held onto GWG, and it worked out well.

Plus, I had a very strong feeling he would win media for the day no matter what else went on, so was a pretty safe bet. With some luck from other games, he managed to hold onto his Golden Shower of maximum divs for the day and the next day the market reacted.

Bruno Fern
That escalated quickly

From when I bought him, he is up well over a £1 per share in price and I actually missed the initial FOMO buying of him the day after the night before. I shall keep my 300 for a while though and see how it goes.

*Update – he got another GWG pen last night and rocketed again! I just sat and watched without topping up, d’oh!

Misses

Erling Braut Haaland (Dortmund)

Here is one I have missed out on a lot. When he scored that hat trick on his debut I was working so didn’t make a single penny from a monumental rise. Since then he has had an up and down month.

His graph for February is some rollercoaster. It’s perfect symmetry. £5.50 to £6.24 back down to £5.50 and now he is up to £6.13. Throughout all of this, I have pretty much been on the sidelines. I attempted some in-play action in THAT Champions League brace vs PSG but I only made a small amount after commission.

Haaland
Haaland 1 month graph

Jude Bellingham (Birmingham City)

The most anticipated IPO went without a hitch (unbelievably) and I made some money on him. I ironically had my own technical issues that went tits up, so I didn’t make a killing like I hoped. I sold him near £3 and moved on.

So, when he had his near 90p per share rise recently I was nowhere to be seen. I actually saw some buys going into him the night before this epic pump but I left it. You can imagine my reaction to seeing him jacked up to his eyeballs the next morning. Such joy when this happens without you! Grrr

Hits then misses

There were a few players I did well to get on early and with a decent amount of shares invested, but I didn’t take full advantage of it by selling near their peak.

I nailed Musa Barrow & Adam Ounas early into a big PB performance that got attention from the market and I went relatively big. I sold some shares at a decent amount but with minor injuries, suspensions or poor follow up PB scores, they were sold off by traders for fun.

Barrow

I had too much faith in them to repeat their impressive performances with the favourable fixtures they had to come and should have hedged my bets more by taking the profit and keeping a smaller amount.

I touched on it early in this episode, but I underestimated how much of a tanking they could get so quickly with the extreme trading we are seeing…or gambling. They aren’t the only ones who have received this treatment this month.

These two are good players and I don’t see the need to be sold off so badly in mass and they may have their day in the sun again soon. But being on players that receive this kind of up and down extremes isn’t really for me.

 

Some numbers

“I certainly didn’t maximise potential profits this month…”

After the madness of January, this month has been a bit flat for most traders and I was no different. However, as long as the all-time profit keeps ticking up at a reasonable rate I am relatively satisfied.

Feb ATP

My all-time profit currently sits at £53,967 which is up £8,711 from last months figure of £45,256. This is an increase of 19.25% over the course of 30 days.

The average taking of over £2k a week this time around is above the average for the season so far, which is now up to £1,464 a week since August.

As for this season specifically since starting the blog, the original £6.7k I started with is now up to £49,167 which is an ROI of 633% over the course of almost 29 weeks (six and a half months or so).

My all-time dividends total has gone above the £7k mark which was helped by over £1k gathered this month. For someone who wasn’t even that bothered about dividends for most of my time on the Index, that isn’t bad. They count for around 13% of my all-time profit.

Feb divsdivs feb

I will give a shout out to the Super Match Day points as well, however, in order for me to get the final figure of the below, I will need to make my net shares bought or net buys a positive figure. I have more chance of doing so via the positive net shares angle so I will try and sort this out come the deadline.

smdp feb

In summary, I certainly didn’t maximise potential profits this month. Some players I did get on early before a solid rise, saw a sharp drop afterwards before I had sold. Plus add in those players I completely missed out on (as per usual) it’s another example of what can really be done on this platform.

This month could have been an absolute stonker with a few minor moments going differently.

 

Testing few days

“I want the platfrom to grow from strength to strength, we all do”

I have to say the end of February has been a testing few days for the platform.

Firstly, a few players positions changed which caused some to be sold off and some to get pumped. It was quickly speculated that these changes were a glitch in the Opta feed, which caused a dip on those players that had a rise.

A couple of days have past now and they have all reverted back to their original positions! This is beyond annoying. If you IS’d the players who’s positionnal changes didn’t seem to favour them and jumped on the players that were seemingly beneficial, you needed have bothered.

Worse yet, you are very likely to be out of pocket now and may own players you don’t want. Not to mention getting rid of players you do actually like. Shambles. This isn’t the first time it’s happened and it can’t go on like this.

FI need to take ownership of the positions of players within their own platform. It has a major impact on prices and can’t be left in third party hands who may suffer glitches. I don’t know the ins and outs of how this can be achieved but this has to be sorted out.

The issues didn’t stop there.

Thursday night saw an unprecedented event that I didn’t think was even possible, market sell wasn’t working. No, they didn’t turn off Instant sell, traders with shares on the market were not being sold to traders that were buying! Crazy.

I can speak first hand and say this kicked me square in the bollocks. In-play trading is a key part of my life on the Index and for my shares to not sell, only to later go down in value and be less appealing in the market, is unacceptable.

I mean, what the hell?? Being unable to sell shares on a stock market platform, despite them being bought? Ridiculous. Talk about amateur hour but this is arguably the worst thing I have ever seen.

I have no idea how it happened and I have no idea if it can happen again. I can’t lie and say my confidence in the platform isn’t at the same levels as it was before this. Even if it’s down only 1% lower, it’s still a gremlin I could really do without. All of us could, including FI.

I want the platfrom to grow from strength to strength, we all do, so I hope they learn the lessons needed very quickly.

 

That’ll do for this month. I hope February was decent for you and that March is even better. You can find me on Twitter @GingerPirlo_FI

(If you somehow haven’t signed up to Football Index yet, you can do so by clicking this link you won’t regret it!)

Episode 6 – ‘Can I make a living from Football Index?’ – Good start to the year?

“Weighing up risk can go against you on the Index when sometimes its best to just not think and keep it simple.”

Welcome to the sixth instalment of the ‘Can I make a living from Football Index’ series.

The last episode was a bit of a reflection from when I started back in September 2018 but we are now in 2020 (already!) so let’s look to plough on as much as possible and get the most out of this Football Index we all know and love.

Onwards and upwards as some bald bloke who sends out rockets on Twitter now and then once said. 😀

(If you somehow haven’t signed up to Football Index yet, you can do by clicking this link You won’t regret it!)

This January has seen not one offer come about, but two. They do love to give do FI, you can’t really knock it, can you? The first was a ‘£500 risk-free’ offer for all traders which is basically what they offer to all new customers for a week. The difference in this one is it is open for the whole of January.

When this first came out it seemed great. Risk-free trading? I’m in. But when you look through the T&C’s it shouldn’t really apply to traders of any experience, as it’s a payback of any losses over the month. I mean, if I am down come the end of January, this month’s episode will be diabolical reading!

What this did offer though was giving newer customers the freedom to go big. Ploughing everything into a potential transfer for e.g could be a nice way to go. With this in mind, when this offer came from nowhere my instincts were on one man and one man only. Bruno Fernandes.

Bruno

The Bruno saga

“…those who have sat on him this whole time have seen a great return.”

If you could trade on someone this month “risk-free” who would it be? This was the question I asked as a trader and that very morning there were very early whispers that Man Utd were looking into Bruno Fernandes again.

So, without really reading the new offer T&Cs I bought some. My average was £2.85 and just left it. Then others did the same. Then the rumours started to build and the lad took off.

In hindsight, I should have really ploughed him, like empty the bank stuff, but was a bit late and he was up to £3.50 before I could blink. I wasn’t complaining but you always want more in this game. 😀

Seeing as there wasn’t that much meat on the bone I sold a few off. But then he took off again. I bought and sold a few more during these waves but I kept 300 the whole time. Not a huge return as it stands but nothing to moan over.

bruno graph
Bruno’s graph for January – Boom time

This January offer came out on the 10th Jan, so this Bruno saga has been going on for three weeks now and looks to go on until the end of Jan as he flies in for his medical as I write, which has brought media dividends on almost a daily basis.

The only time he hasn’t won any media is when Rashford fractured his back and won two media divs back to back (pardon the pun). Bruno has brought in over 50p so far in media wins from the 11th Jan which isn’t gonna stop soon.

That’s incredible dominance. Shows what pull he may have as a Man Utd player. He still has the aftermath of the transfer, his debut and then stories on whether he was brilliant or awful.

So even throughout the dips and rises of his price, those who have sat on him this whole time have seen a great return. This is one of the beauties of the index, there are different ways to make your coin.

 

Transfer divs pointless?

The other offer FI introduced, bizarrely halfway through the transfer window, was pay-outs on completed transfers. These players must be worth over £1 and for perm transfers you get 10p and loans you get 5p. You must have owned at least the day before to get them.

At first, I liked this as it seemed to add another dimension to the usual pump a rumour and sell on the flip. However, in practice, I don’t think it has really worked. People don’t seem bothered about holding for transfers and those that do can be at the mercy of those selling by holding on to a player for the divs but has dropped in value.

Trans Div

Not so bad for anyone that would hold a new signing regardless but all this has done, for me, has added another dimension to flipping rather than substance to transfers. We have all seen those pumped to within an inch of £1 and then listed or dumped for fun.

Adding more madness to January has been an interesting move. I don’t think these will stick for future transfer windows. Not without slight changes anyway.

 

IPOs

“Can it be tedious? Hell yea”

January hasn’t just been about transfers but FI have gone IPO crazy and been pushing these out on a regular basis this month. For someone that loves IPO’s, I have been well happy with this. Nothing gets the heart racing like a player dropping and trying to maximise your potential profit. Whether you wanna flip or hold.

Some don’t like them, which is fair enough. I can see why as I have had my fair share of burns in my time playing with these fireworks. I have been left with players at a loss for ages that I don’t even want plenty of times and I will do again I’m sure. However, when it comes off its a brilliant way to make instant profits.

ipos jan

In my mind IPO stands for Instant Profit Opportunity so why wouldn’t I want to get involved in that? Can it be tedious? Hell yea. Can you question your life choices as you sit staring at a screen? Many times. Do you care about any of that once it lands and you get on at a good price? Hell no.

If you think IPOs can be rollercoaster rides than this month has been something else. On Xmas eve there was a technical issue which meant Rayan Cherki price stuff and was given away at a rock bottom price for people to hoover up in the thousands of shares. So, when the next batch came out it couldn’t happen again, could it?

 

IP-Oh what the fu….?

Remember the name, Japhet Tanganga. Not because he has done a Wayne Rooney and stuck one in the top corner but because he has done a ‘Rayan Cherki’ and got “stuck” on his IPO day. Some of us were waiting on him just in case it happened and my God it only went and did.

His price got stuck on and around the 85p mark and ppl ploughed in. You then had no access to the system but if you waited around and kept trying, it opened up again and had a free hit at him without his price moving an inch. I myself managed to get 5700 before he started to rise and then tried to breathe slowly to lower my heart rate! 😀

Then the question was when to list. I had scars from the Cherki situation where I gave away 80% of my shares bought for free as I didn’t realise what was going on quickly enough, so I was hesitant on listing too early amongst the frenzy.

To cut a long story short of a week’s worth of my all-time profit making jumps and falls like never before, I sit here with 3000 sold one way or another at all kinds of different prices with 2700 left in the sale queue.

Tang
How’s about that for a graph?

Who knows when these will go but if they do sell anywhere near his current price of £1.30 I will have made about £3k from all of this carry-on. This is one player I will never forget for a long time.

Today is the IPO of Jude Bellingham…well it was supposed to be. FI at this stage of writing have delayed/cancelled it for further notice given they didn’t think the system could handle it.

So, we could have had another Cherki/Tanganga situation and yet still get one if they release him and despite all their tests the system still can’t handle it and he gets stuck. I can only imagine the peak price of him if this were to happen. My God almighty.

People have asked why have they delayed it today and not made it clear they were going to do so last night or earlier this morning. I can’t say but they must have felt confident otherwise they wouldn’t be attempting it at all. Will watch this space on this one…

*Update: Bellingham is being released tomorrow! Hold on to your balls!*

 

The younger the better?

“…his 35-minute cameo was something to behold…”

With Cherki coming on the platform it has seemed to reignite people’s desire to get on youth holds, as the 16-year old had a barnstorming ’10 out of 10′ performance in the French Cup where he scored twice and grabbed two assists against decent opposition. Outrageous.

Cherki
10 out of 10

I myself was monitoring this game and grabbed 600 at £2.75 average and he reached £4 before Lyon’s league game in anticipation that he might have got a start. He didn’t and has dipped since but this kid could be an FI monster. Fingers crossed.

With the rise of Cherki, we have seen other youth players get some action like Ryan Gravenberch of Ajax. Harvey Elliot went up a bit. Barrenextea had some buys into him. It was basically anyone without a picture, fill your boots!

I made a bit of money on Gravenberch but Ander Barrenextea was one that intrigued me the most given his low price in comparison to the others and the fact he was in and around the first team at Real Sociedad already.

He grabbed a goal and an assist in the Spanish Cup so I grabbed 300. I wish I had grabbed more as others seemed to buy in dribs and drabs and before I knew it he had a decent rise.

After another goal in the cup, the recently turned 18-year old came on as a sub in the league and scored within a minute. It took a little delay for people to realise if he even was given the goal or not but when his PB score came in after his 35-minute cameo was something to behold…

Barren PB
Not bad for 35 mins!!

Once word got out he had thousands of buys and went up around 40p from his goal and settled around the £2.30 mark. I am on him after topping up at different times and a few sales at peak for 1000 and will continue to monitor closely. If he shows he has a strong PB base he could be special. A youth player with FI substance is what we all want. Right?

Another young player without a picture has been IPO’s this week in Sebastiano Esposito, so it would have been foolish of me not to get involved in this right? With Lautaro Martinez facing a 2-game ban after getting sent off for going mental last week, Esposito has a chance of some minutes. If he can do a Barrenextea I will be extremely happy!

 

Pick that out!

“Outrageous how the Matrix was seemingly built just for him.”

Apart from IPOs and transfers, I have made some normal trades as always with some cracking suggestions put out as well. I don’t give out “tips” that much these days but when I see a potential fixture buy I may ‘let the people know’.

The three I have put out lately were Riyad Mahrez, Jordan Henderson and Virgil Van Dijk:

Mahrez has won star man on a Silver Day and top forward on a Bronze night with some quality capital appreciation.

Henderson bagged a goal to help him win top Midfielder on a Bronze night and has gone up 25% in value.

Virgil went and won top Defender on a Gold day before he had even played the games I bought him for. Those “easy” games are yet to come after his rise in price and divs already won.

Lovely jubbly!

Some other players I am into at the minute that I have mentioned here and there on Indexgain mainly but maybe the odd excited tweet are:

Samu Castillejo who is showing some really strong stats that suit the PB matrix. He was under a £1 but has gone up a lot over past 24 hours after another impressive performance in the Italian Cup.

Maxwell Cornet was one I got on as soon as he grabbed an assist the other week as his PB was extremely strong. He put in another high-class FI performance past weekend so is one to watch if he can sustain it in Depay’s absence.

One to watch atm is Adam Ounas who put in a very impressive PB score for Nice in his last game and could be due a nice rise if he repeats it anytime soon. His age is still decent at 23 so could have all the cards in his favour.

All of the above sit within the £1 – £1.30 range so sit nicely in terms of value in the market if they prove to be solid PB players and are all 25 or under, so consistent scores will only bring good things.

alphonso
Topped him up!

I also wanna mention Alphonso Davies who is my muse right now. 19 years old and is absolutely smashing it for Bayern which is bringing consistent rock-solid PB scores without any bonuses in assists or goals.

The hope is he will be switched to a defender soon by Opta and that’s when he will really rocket! You can fully expect him to be £3+ with the chance of a clean sheet bonus to add to his PB game. Just wait til he grabs assists and the odd goal. Boom time baby!

Also want to mention the great man. The King. The cheat code. Neymar strolling his way to more Gold star man wins. Outrageous how the Matrix was seemingly built just for him. How many more star man’s will he win this season?

 

Numbers

FI have just released our all-time profit email which is nicely timed, so will work to that figure. January has been a unique month with transfers, IPOs and offers being released. However, I have missed out on lots of profit in some areas and gained in others like any other month.

Last time out I had an all-time profit of £35,930 and a month later this has moved onto £45,256. This means an increase of £9,326 for the past 30 days. An increase of around 26%.

jan ATP

My all-time dividends have gone up to £5,962.88 so slightly annoying as an update not quite getting over the £6k mark. 😀

This month has also seen me tick over a landmark of an ROI of 503% since the start of this season and when I started this blog.

I had £6,700 in the index on August 11th and turned it into £40,456 over the course of just over 24 weeks with no deposits. I have actually made £3,500 in withdrawals over this time.

For a broader outlook, I went back over my initial time on the index and have worked out that I committed £2,700 of my own money into FI over my first few weeks before any withdrawals and one-off temporary deposits for Deposit Bonuses etc.

So, based on this my overall ROI is 1574% as of the start of September 2018 to now.

 

Signing off

This month started extremely slow in terms of the all-time profit figure rising, as all profitable trades were offsetting drops on the players I was holding. It was only until this new “risk-free” offer kicking in on the 10th Jan where profits started to really kick on.

The Bruno trade was a good one, although I did not take advantage of it by any means. If I had to just left my 600 shares I bought I would have made a lot more money as of today. I just can’t help myself with these types of trades.

Weighing up risk can go against you on the Index when sometimes its best to just not think and keep it simple. Did I think Bruno was going? Yes. Would have I put money on it? Yes. So that’s all I needed to know.

Bruno Man U

Although I will say, this move looked very dodgy at one stage and the spread was eye-watering. If it had fallen through I wouldn’t want to be ISing on that!

IPOs have been decent and look like to be a regular thing given how many there have been lately. I welcome this with open arms. Others won’t for various reasons but we are all different with different lives on the Index.

It will be interesting to see the youth players and how much investment they will receive from now on. They have always been popular on some level but they could really get some serious money pumped into them.

PB players seem to have lost their appeal but like all trends, this may come back around at some point. Keep your eyes on that one.

Thanks for reading and follow me on Twitter @GingerPirlo_FI

Peace out!

(If you somehow haven’t signed up to Football Index yet, you can do by clicking this link You won’t regret it!)

Episode 5 – ‘Can I make a living from Football Index’ – what a year!

“I am going to change my trading habits slightly come the new year…”

Welcome to the fifth instalment of the ‘Can I make a living from Football Index’ series and the last one of 2019!

What a year it has been. My first (crazy) January window, the share split, the new scoring matrix, the dividend increase and one or two deposit bonuses. Plus all the other bits here and there we get thrown from the FI headquarters.

(If you somehow haven’t signed up to Football Index yet, you can do here clicking this link You won’t regret it!)

I joined the index in Sep 2018 and regretted not finding this thing earlier. Over a year later, I am glad I found it to begin with. There are still so many people who haven’t even heard of it, never mind refuse to acknowledge it and call it a scam. They are all missing out!

Scoring Matrix
Keep this safe to hand

If you had told me a year ago the amount of money I would have in the index I wouldn’t have believed you. I am a man who bets cautiously. I may stick a tenner on something now and then, £50 if I am ultra-confident (very rare) but more often stick a couple of quid on an accumulator. That’s about it.

The numbers I am “playing with” are eye-watering on this kind of scale. I don’t have an exact clear number but looking back I committed somewhere between £2.5 and £3k of my own money, which was a big commitment. Trust me. Most of us had our own doubts over this product when we first joined up but I got over them and went for it.

 

Finish the year on a high?

“If he does, he could really rocket.”

December was a slow start and this new app update that shows you your all-time trading profit every time you log in is really annoying me. 😀

I have always kept a spreadsheet of my ongoing all-time profit which I would update pretty regular and it was a nice surprise to see where I was at and how much I made since the last update.

Now, it’s in my face all the time and it’s like watching a kettle that never boils. If it’s going down it’s pretty annoying. This little function seemed like a nice addition at first, but you only want to see it if it’s going up! If you can turn it off someone let me know.

Some December trades

I made some trades that look to be decent this month. First up is Alphonso Davies. This 19-year-old kid has put in some decent PB scores and if he continues to make the left-back spot his own at Bayern he may well be switched to a defender.

If he does, he could really rocket. Not that Bayern like to keep too many clean sheets these days!

Alphonso

I have noticed the impressive performances of Emiliano Buendia, PB wise as well as on the real-life pitch. He looked like a decent player to get involved in, so put a decent amount of shares into him given PL was the only league going over the Xmas period. I’m currently up 20p.

Someone else I have put a decent amount of faith into lately is Marcel Halstenberg. I stuck in a fair amount when he was sticking in that impressive PB score not too long back and sold most of them.

Once he had a dip I ploughed back in and have high hopes for him once the Bundesliga is back. Surely a £2 player in the making very soon.

Halstenberg

Some other lads I got into more than my usual amount were Hamed Junior Traore and Julian Brandt. Both stuck in a fine PB performance with a goal to their name, so were guaranteed to receive action.

I sold both of these prematurely. You can’t always predict the future but a little more patience regarding the significance of the Xmas break situation was needed.  T

Now, the number of shares I stuck into them is something I would like to go into a bot more below.

New Year’s Resolution?

I am going to change my trading habits slightly come the new year and be more aggressive with the number of shares bought and (try to be) more patient with the time I think of selling.

Using the above trades as examples. Davies was a good trade but I should have bought more. Brandt and Traore were 1200 and 900 share size trades but sold too soon. It basically comes down to thinking more like a trader rather than profiter.

Brandt

Not all trades are perfect and things happen you don’t always count on but if I think someone will get a nice solid rise over a period of time I shud commit to it more in shares bought and time given for it to happen.

Let’s see how that goes.

 

What about the 200 club?

Some additions this month were Jadon Sancho and Paulo Dybala for varied reasons. I couldn’t ignore the PB victory Sancho stuck in and with the inevitable transfer spec in January around the corner, I grabbed 200 just before he went over £7 and he has had a lovely rise since.

Dybala hasn’t moved but he has grabbed a PB win after I bought in and I have high hopes for him if Sarri gets his head out of his rear end and play him for 90 mins week in week out. He is the best player he has at his disposal and it doesn’t take a PhD to work that out.

paulo_dybala

There have been some big dips in the 200 club which has been a hole in my all-time profit figure. It has been a non-stop battle between me and my all-time profit figure staring back at me!

Messi has fallen off a cliff and I am only just in profit with him Cap App wise. He has dropped 56p this month and is a £1 off-peak. His dividends accumulated thus far is his saving grace.

Kroos and TAA also had significant falls with the latter only recovering this past few days with a big PB score to remind people of his quality. Kroos is down 30p and him breaking £5 wasn’t that long ago.

Then there is Memphis Depay. His ACL injury clearly devastated his price but I can report I saw the news pretty quickly and instant sold him before his epic drop and massive opening up of his spread.

So, I can’t complain about that one. What I did do was buy him back once I thought he had bottomed out and I plan to keep him for when he returns at the start of next season.

Depay injury

There is no reason why he won’t return to at least the price he was before the injury and if the prices at the top end increase significantly, on the platform as a whole, he could be worth even more than what he was

The club has the following active members: Sancho, Dybala, Neymar, Trent, Messi and Kroos. Although this may have changed come the next episode.

 

Gimme some numbers

I finish the calendar year with the following:

Let’s get straight down to the overall picture and I have an all-time profit of £35,930. I am writing this on 30th Dec so there is another day left to get to that £36k mark, fingers crossed I can do it. Nice little target.

Dec ATPDec Divs

The Dividends finish off at £5,248 which is up considerably from where I started the year and around has increased by £1k from last month. A thousand pound of divs is not bad at all for a trader like myself.

IPDs have played a huge part in this over my time. They have been a steady earner for me over the year and will continue to be so in 2020. The addition of Match Day divs has been very welcome and I have hit these at a regular rate this season.

For some overall perspective of 2019, I tracked down my all-time profit email from last November and the difference from then to now is there to be seen.

Remember, I haven’t deposited anything that remained in the Index, I have actually increased my withdrawals over this time period. The activity on the Index is profit feeding profit, over and over again.

Comparison

I mean, that it is just a bit ridiculous. 😀

The overall average profit per week since I started this blog series is now at £1,219.65. This has been over a period of 20 weeks.

Quick maths will tell you the total profit have made since starting this on 11th Aug is £24,393.07. This is an increase of 364% in 20 weeks. Lovely.

As for December specifically, the all-time profit is up £5,218 from the last episode which isn’t bad. It is over the £1k a week pattern that started to establish from the opening months of the season, which is kind of a benchmark I use each week as I go.

If you can be bothered, have a quick look back at the previous episodes as a nice outlook on the progress each month. I did not expect these numbers when I started. 😀

 

Here’s to a cracking 2020

As we toast a fond farewell to 2019, let’s hope 2020 is even bigger!

FI are pushing again this January with their marketing campaign to bring in new users and new money which can only be a good thing. Hopefully, prices at the top really start to get charging as it brings the rest of the market with it.

Another thing I would like to touch on is the #FICommunity. We are seeing more and more sad little morons creating all kinds of crap on the #footballindex hashtag to either rip people off with fake transfer stories or fake accusations trying to make names for themselves.

These people are a plague and need to be stopped. The next time you see something on Twitter claiming to either be a transfer source or saying this user has done this, that or the other, look at what you are actually seeing.

Look at the “evidence” provided in isolation and make your own minds up. These ppl need banishing and having zero credibility given to them whatsoever. I get my fair share but so do others.

Lots of us know who the fake story pumpers are, so blacklist them. Next time you see someone trying to discredit another user’s good name with no actual evidence whatsoever, blacklist them as well.

I am not talking about other users you just happen to disagree with on something and are looking for revenge, I am talking about the clear agenda riddled cowboys out for a quick buck or quick 5 mins of attention. These people are either scum or moronic, perhaps both. We don’t them.

We can all block and mute but a quick word to others as to what they are won’t hurt.

Here’s to 2020. I wish you good luck!

Follow me on Twitter @GingerPirlo_FI

To sign up to Football Index click this link and give it a go. You won’t regret it!

 

 

Episode 4 – ‘Can I make a living from Football Index?’ – Black November?

“If people take my blog for inspiration for this behaviour I don’t think they are reading it very well.”

Welcome to the fourth instalment of the ‘Can I make a living from Football Index’ series. 

The first three months have gone well but what would November bring? The new boosted dividend payouts started on November 1st and we also had a couple of batches of IPO’s. Question is, have I took advantage?

I left you last time out excited about the soon to be increased dividends payouts and looking forward to the added boost this would give dividend winning players.

How’s the ‘200 club’ going?

You may remember in anticipation for this I started a “200 club” which was made up of (what I believed to be) the best players on the platform capable of competing for dividends on a regular basis at 200 shares each.

The initial inductees were Neymar, Messi, Kroos and Alexander-Arnold. This covered all three positions of defender, midfielder and forward as well as a bit of media from three of them in particular.

Looking at these four players in terms of dividends earned since forming this new little club, they have brought back the following from its inception. Bear in mind they also brought in some divs before the November increase even kicked in:

type name quantity total date
Match Day Dividends Lionel Messi 200 £8 28/11/2019 00:13
Match Day Dividends Lionel Messi 200 £8 28/11/2019 00:11
Match Day Dividends Toni Kroos 200 £8 17/11/2019 00:13
Match Day Dividends Toni Kroos 200 £8 17/11/2019 00:10
Media Dividends Trent Alexander-Arnold 200 £6 11/11/2019 00:12
Match Day Dividends Lionel Messi 200 £16 10/11/2019 00:13
Match Day Dividends Lionel Messi 200 £16 10/11/2019 00:11
Match Day Dividends Trent Alexander-Arnold 200 £16 03/11/2019 00:12
Match Day Dividends Toni Kroos 200 £6 31/10/2019 00:12
Match Day Dividends Toni Kroos 200 £4 31/10/2019 00:10
Match Day Dividends Lionel Messi 200 £4 30/10/2019 00:14
Match Day Dividends Lionel Messi 200 £2 30/10/2019 00:12

Not a bad little return on just Match Day and Media dividends alone. They also brought in IPDs for goals and assists seeing as I was in the first 30 days. The real money made was in Capital Appreciation. TAA and Kroos, in particular, have skyrocketed over the past month.

So much in fact that I have actually bought more of these two at given points and sold on to take the profit, leaving 200 left in my port going forward. This has ruined any average price or percentages but there was money to be made so I took it. 😀

Image

It’s difficult to say the exact amount of profit these four lads have brought me in this “200 club” period, as I don’t even remember what day I started it and I have owned some of these players beforehand.

However, since the start of 1st October, these four players alone have made me £2110 looking at buys/sales/divs/commission from my downloaded transaction history on the Beta site and what they are worth now sat in my port. I am not gonna complain at that return.

I have also added Memphis Depay into the club on the 29th October. I could see him getting lots of action and I didn’t want to wait too long so jumped in before he broke the £4 barrier. He has brought me a few goals and an assist with a rise of 46p so not bad. He is injured atm so will see what he can do when fully fit and raring to go. 😀

depay

 

What’s the next trend?

“…he has the skills to suit the new matrix”

A few people have asked me directly what I think the next trend is gonna be and I have heard it/seen it being discussed on podcasts, Twitter and Indexgain. It’s always hard to say with complete 100% certainty but one thing that does stand out to me is “PB youth”.

Or to be more specific, younger players that look to have a big PB game for the future. The nearer the future the better. I don’t even know if this can be seen as “a trend” per se but if you can invest in a younger player who can challenge for PB, you are on to a winner right?

Some players I have put into this bracket are James Maddison, Rodrygo and Reece James to name a few. All three of these players are at different stages in their careers and also FI journeys but one thing they all have in common is their age. They are all 23 or under.

Maddison is a few years older than the others and has a full season in the Premier League under his belt, Rodrygo is a just few months into his new (massive) club and Reece James has literally just got his first couple of starts.

Maddison

Maddison showed last season that he has the skills to suit the new matrix as his key passes and chances created stats are right up there with any player in Europe. He is also on set pieces so his PB score can fly on any given Match Day, which we have already seen this season. Add in the England factor he has it all going for him.

Rodrygo has already won PB divs twice this season within a week of each other, and for an 18-year old, he looks to be a potential world-beater. What has impressed me most of all is he can show to have a decent PB base for a forward so he isn’t completely reliant on hat-tricks to win dividends. Imagine where he can be price-wise in a few years?

Reece James is completely raw as an FI player as we only have a few appearances right now to judge him on. His 45-minute cameo in the Champions League against Ajax was impressive. Not only did he score but he provided 7 crosses in that 2nd half which as we all know can bring big PB scores to flying full-backs. At 19 years old, he is one to watch.

He followed this up with a very impressive first-half away to Valencia where he was smashing PB and playing his way into the first team. The below are his stats:

Reece James

So, with the above being said, it would be foolish of me to ignore the potential of players like this. So as well as the ‘200 club’ being opened up for the established PB Gods and Kings, I have also invested in some PB Princes that could go on to rule the Index in the future.

No surprises that Maddison, Rodrygo and James are in there seeing as I just bigged them up and I have also added Benjamin Pavard who amazingly is still only 23. He has been putting in some quality performances and showing what Kimmich would be doing if he wasn’t now (seemingly) first choice midfielder.

I got on him when he scored last weekend (yes, it was his goal) and he has put in another decent UCL PB score and has broken through the £2 barrier. I got on him at £1.38 and has already given me a Gold Match Day div win, a goal and an assist. He could be up near £3 come the Euros.  Happy days. 

Pav Divs

I also added Leipzig 20-year-old centre back Dayot Upamecano, his PB threat has always been there and with a recent PB win and his last two performance getting a PB score of just under 200 without a clean sheet bonus, I couldn’t wait any longer. He also has transfer links and could be a future FI monster.

A couple of other players I have added are Christopher Nkunku and Panagiotis Retsos. Nkunku was more of a fixture buy given Leipzig had a tasty 30-day period and he showed he could put in a good PB score with a threat of a GWG but if he does the business he could be a keeper.

Retsos got his first start in a year for Leverkusen and given their strategy of knocking it around at the back, I grabbed some and see if he can put in some PB scores like his teammate Sven Bender. At 20-years old and 46p, there wasn’t much risk there.

Are these players all 200 share purchases a piece you may ask? No, given their lower price (Maddison and Rodrygo aside) and huge potential to grow I have 300 shares (give or take) in these lot.

How can you suddenly afford this lot on top of your 200 shares in elite players you may also ask? Well, let’s answer that by swiftly going onto this months numbers.

 

November numbers

I am taking these numbers as of 28th November, exactly a month after the previous episode on 28th Oct. I will point out immediately that I have taken out £900 this month but will also show stats as if I hadn’t for a clearer outlook on the progress made.

Last month I had £17,473 in the Index, this month I now have £23,933. Which is an increase of £6,460. If you add the £900 taken out it works out at £7,360 increase over the month.

This sits at £1,666 a week which has been above my ongoing average of around £1,000 a week so far this season. So, November has been a cracker!

The total profit made since starting this blog a week into the season is now £19,233. Starting with a “budget” of £6,700 this is an ROI return of 287% over a period of just under 16 weeks.

My all-time profit has now ticked over the £30k mark and stands at £30,730. My divs have had a nice boost also and ticked over the £4k mark to £4,228.

Nov All-time ProfitNov Divs

Looking back at Episode 3 it has been some jump in numbers this time around. My profits are up 31.5% and dividends have gone up 23.7% since then which is huge considering the size of the payouts and difficulty in winning them.

IPOs

This month also had two batches of IPO’s which I painstakingly tried to take advantage of as best I could. That first week of 24 hours a day for 5 days was tough. I couldn’t stay away for that fear of missing a big one so stuck it out for pretty much the entire process.

After a few close shaves, tech issues and overcoming just sheer boredom I came away with £1,700 on the first batch. The second batch was a much better process with actual time slots and I made £800 on these bringing my takings to £2.5k. I will take that.

Below is the first batch.

IPOs

 

A day in the life

“I was too stubborn in my ways… “

I have been asked a few times if I could show what a day in-play trading is like. I don’t have any videos or anything fancy to show but I can briefly go through some moments from the last one yesterday, which was 1st December.

Sundays are usually the best day for in-play trading as games are spread out nicely due to TV coverage and can have a few on before the dividend deadline. With the deadline now being extended to 3pm, this can create even more opportunity.

There were two tasty looking early games on with Sevilla and Juve at home as heavy favourites.

Bonucci opened the scoring for Juve to kick things off, which actually caught me off guard slightly, so just managed to get 300 at 53p. Juve went and conceded minutes later so I install sold him at 60p at a 2p spread, so a little bit of money made there.

Bonucci

A defender opening the scoring for the home team that are heavy favourites will always bring action and rises. Especially if he is the main defender with some decent PB. As chances are with a clean sheet you could be talking about the day’s top-scoring defender.

It happened on Saturday morning also when Ramos scored first for Madrid. I flipped 300 to the market nicely but gambled by keeping another 300 for possible divs. That didn’t make as much, as had to IS them when he gave away a penalty. Stupid Sergio.

In the Sevilla game Sunday morning, another defender (who had decent PB already in the match) broke the deadlock in the second half. Diego Carlos smashed one in which took him straight to the top of the PB rankings.

Diego Carlos

I bought him as quickly as I could when he hit the net and sure enough he got a massive rise. As he only had a 2p spread I kept all 600 gambling Sevilla would see the game out, which they did.

With 600 shares locked in, it was just a case of monitoring the day’s action to see if another defender could beat his score. With 8p top defender divs, it was a nice payout on top of the capital appreciation.

My average buy was 45p and he settled at 62pish so a possible 8p match divs and the 2p IPD on top was on the cards. Lovely.

He seemed to have it in the bag until Theo Hernandez scored a late winner in the AC Milan game which looked to have done him, so I instant sold Carlos at a 2p spread at an average of around 56p. Could have been more if I had cut loose quicker but take it and move on.

But that wasn’t all bad news.

I caught the Milan goal go in, so as I knew Theo has his admirers on the index I grabbed 600 of him once I knew he had scored and no VAR funny business was gonna rule it out. His spread was 3p but I didn’t let it put me off as if he won top defender or even star man, I thought this would bring action on him throughout the rest of the day.

Theo

He initially went up to 84p but with him being sat as star man, and winning it in the end, he did indeed get some investment and settled at 88p after all the matches were finished.

Now, I was unsure whether he would be sold off at midnight so I decided to list 300, which sold to the market, and I kept 300. Once midnight ticked by I took the IPDs and I listed the other 300 and they have sold at 88p so overall a decent trade.

If that was decent, I can’t say the next one was. Going into the day I had 600 Ciro Immobile. I actually had them listed for a day or two as I was lowish on funds and wasn’t 100% sure I wanted to keep him for the foreseeable.

Up against Udinese, the first half was before the 3pm deadline and he went and opened the scoring. I quickly delisted them and he had a nice rise. He went and scored again via a penalty, happy days, big rise.

Ciro graph.jpg

Now, here is where I should have perhaps thought about my holding. He had risen 32p at a peak from kick-off. If I had sold him to the market anywhere near this point I would have banked a huge profit. I didn’t.  I was too love-drunk on the potential for someone I had held for a few games potentially winning Gold divs.

I will say though that at this point he could have gone on to win Star Man the way he was playing and if he hadn’t have given a second penalty to Luis Alberto to bury, he would have done with a first-half hat trick. So it could have been a different story. Hindsight is always a genius.

In the end, he held on to top forward so I was well happy. He had dipped 5p from his peak rise but he was gonna return me 10p of matchday and in-play divs, so I was loving it. But I was loving it too much.

It never entered my mind that he may be dumped off after midnight like an unwanted Christmas present, as I still have the mentality that an 8p spread (or whatever it was) is pretty brutal.

I had a blind spot in my thinking. Maybe I need to get with the times as we are seeing some crazy ISing all over the shop these days. If I hadn’t had preowned him and bought him in-play, I very likely would have sold half and kept half like my Ramos trade on Saturday morning. I don’t get misty-eyed in flip mode. 😀

Ciro profit

What I did do was I listed them at midnight at £2.13 but I should have instant sold them, as others did in their droves and he went down around 6p in minutes. Then a few pennies more. Now this morning, he has dipped below £2. Unbelievable. Safe to say, I never saw that coming.

The right call would have been to just sell them in-play on the huge rise, but to be honest this was risking missing out on a potential huge div pay-out. The better call was to ignore spreads and think about what could happen to him in these modern times.

I could have IS’d him for £2.05ish but now I am left with him on the market at less than £2. You can’t always predict what’s gonna happen on the market as for all I know, I could have sold these at a decent price today or tomorrow and maximised profits.

The lesson to be learnt here is to not always have the “maximise profits” mentality but to always be open to a small loss to prevent a bigger one. I was too stubborn in my ways regarding his spread when others weren’t. Each trade is different but I will defo remember this one going forward.

I also bought some Jack Grealish when he scored against Man Utd, as he is getting people talking about him in regards to England and also as a decent FI player. But when he looked to have settled for the night, I stupidly listed and sold way too early despite me thinking he could reach £3 the next day as he was rising.

Going against your own judgement is the sharpest kick in the balls of all and I am trying not to look at his current price. Yikes 😀

Grealish listed

I also flipped some other players yesterday for small profits here and there and at the end made over £200 but as you can see it isn’t all plain sailing doing this in-play stuff. There are burns and missed opportunities everywhere as well as the smooth waves of profit. It’s constantly up and down just got ride it out and keep making money.

 

What will December bring?

“There is some responsibility with FI to make sure all news users know how to use the product but people also have to think for themselves.”

FI is giving away Xmas presents every single day for December with a nice Audi at the end of it. If I win any of these prizes then have a look out your window for some pigs flying pulling a sleigh with a half-naked Santa Adam Cole in it. It ain’t gonna happen. 😀

Market wise they are pushing out some heavy advertising which could see even more people join up and invest their gambling money. This may bring some rises but it may also bring some sharp drops at any given time, given the seeming extremely short-lived life span of some trades.

FI Xmas

What we are seeing at the moment sometimes makes me look like a lifetime investor. I have seen people buy very expensive players and be dumping them a day later, sometime just hours later. It’s a crazy and sure-fire way to piss money down the toilet. I wouldn’t advise it.

If people take my blog for inspiration for this behaviour I don’t think they are reading it very well. I am relatively short term, I am not instant. I have some method to what I do, even if it isn’t always spot on.

You may as well stick money on a player being the first goalscorer with a normal bookie and take the win or lose odds than buying him on the index to just dump soon after. The spread plus commission is killing you.

I am not talking about cheap players with small 2p or 3p spreads here obviously. I often take punts on these players time to time and there’s nothing wrong with that whatsoever. I am talking about decently priced players with wider spreads.

I ran a poll recently on whether people who signed up were aware of the market sell option. Around 16% said no. There is some responsibility with FI to make sure all news users know how to use the product but people also have to think for themselves.

When I joined up I didn’t use twitter for info. The first thing I did was join up to IndexGain as a quick google search sent me in that direction. Traders on there answered my questions.

I also experimented and explored what I was using before going in balls deep. If you click sell, there are two options. If you haven’t looked into what market sell might be or mean, then why not? Apologies but that’s just lazy. It isn’t like it’s hidden from you.

Have you used eBay before? What do you think selling to a market where people buy things at the price shown might mean? Try it. List 1 share and see what happens. I 100% understand FI don’t make it foolproof but the levels of what we are seeing are way too high IMO.

Anyway, I hope December is a fruitful month for you, there are plenty of games to get your teeth into even with the upcoming winter breaks in Europe, so I hope it goes well overall. Not sure when I will update the next episode, maybe in the early new year.

All the best!

Follow me on Twitter @GingerPirlo_FI

To sign up to Football Index click this link and give it a go. You won’t regret it!

Episode 3 – ‘Can I make a living from Football Index?’ – The short term game. Changed?

“I was very much anticipating a big comedown update for this episode…”

Welcome to the third instalment of the ‘Can I make a living from Football Index?’ series.

I left you at the end of September last time out and let’s just say October has been…interesting. The big news last month was the Birthday Bonus and this month was even bigger news, as FI unexpectedly announced a Dividend Review from absolutely nowhere. Scenes!

They called it a ‘review’ but traders quickly took that as ‘increase’ and rightfully so. Not only did this announcement come from nowhere, but it didn’t take long for Adam Cole to get bored of waiting and decided to bring the full announcement forward from the end of his month to the 18th October.

So, within 10 days we had an announcement of a review to the detailed announcement that dividends were going to be increased by 57% across the board. They say a week is a long time in football but in the Football Index world, things move very big, very quickly!

Div policy

 

So what did I do?

“It was straight forward in my head…”

I mentioned in the FI Newsletters that I was fortunate to have my phone to hand when the message came through from FI that they were going to ‘review’ dividends. After a minute or so of trying to formulate what this meant in my head and some ticker watching, it clicked that I should be getting into Dividend earners. So I did.

I couldn’t buy them all but chose the first ones that came to mind in the likes of Neymar, Alexander-Arnold, Messi and Kroos to name a few. I wasn’t as quick as some but managed to get on at a decent time, which brought instant profits that gained more slowly over time.

The plan was simple, to keep until the announcement came when we found out what was actually going to happen. It was straight forward in my head that whatever they were going to announce was going to benefit these div merchants and was a safe bet.

During this time I made a few sales and topped up on a few others and without boring you with detail, by the time FI opened up the market with the 57% announcement my profits soared. I could have made more but could have made less, so not gonna hang on to any of that. No complaints 😀

57 decrease increase

Much needed

This random dividend announcement was much needed as it goes for me, as at the start of October my profits had flatlined. I was very much anticipating a big comedown update for this episode but this has practically saved it.

This was due to a mixture of a drop on some of my players from the birthday bonus ending on 30th Sep, being unavailable to trade on some decent match days and the International break coming in which was a bit of a dead dud.

Luckily for me, it’s very rare a period of time goes on the index without some event happening and this month has been no exception. Big time. Not to mention the actual birthday bonus landing in our accounts the next day after the dividend details came out. You beauty!

The ins and outs

I am typing this up on the 28th Oct, so just over a month since the last update. 33 days to be precise. I am gonna time a 28 days later update at some point just for the sake of it. Balls, it’s Halloween now would have been good. Oh well, chance lost, move on.

I will say straight away that I have made some withdrawals this month. I have taken out £1100 in total over this time period of 33 days. After the last update I did put back in the £800 I had previously taken out to take advantage of the 10% bonus, but that is back out again with another £300 on top.

Speaking of which, my bonus came to £652.30 which was a combination of money I had to spend in my account and some I was able to stick in afterwards.

So, some numbers:

Last month I had £12,752 in the index. This month I have £17,473. Which is an increase of £4,721 over the course of 33 days. This is an increase of 37%.

This maintains my ongoing average of making around £1000 a week. Was actually £1001.36 in this time period to be precise. I never thought I was going to be writing this after the first week of October let me tell you.

Since I started this blog series on 11th August the total amount made has gone up to £11,873.

I started this series off with £6,700 so this has seen a return of 177% over those 11 weeks. This is up from 102% last time out.

Just as a marker to show the more you have in the index, the more you can make. Last months update was a total of £6,852 made, so you can see how it can snowball, fast!

Below is a screenshot of my home screen as we speak.

Port Oct

My all-time profit now stands at £23,372. I joined the index at the start of September 2018 so about 14 months worth.

For those that ask, the amount of money I put in was around the £2.5k mark over a period of my first couple of months but my net deposits are now (minus) -£5,899. I have been free rolling with nothing but my own profit for a while now.

We received our all-time profit emails a few days ago, so I shall stick mine up below. Note the money made since the 24th Oct to 28th Oct is £672 and this is after a very average weekend of trading, to say the least. Trust me, so boring. One of the worst I can remember.

Oct profit

The short term game. Changed?

“…you have to take this into consideration, it’s just silly not to.”

So, with me buying into “Dividend players” this month, does this mean my strategy has changed? Well no, I will never change my in-play and fixture buying (as well as other strategies shown on the intro article) ways but I have added a “string to my bow” if you like.

I mean, it would be pretty sh*t bat mental for me to ignore dividend players when the index announce dividend increases which result in these players going through the roof, right? I’m on the index to make money, so did I buy Neymar for the first time in my FI life, you damn right I did.

In fact, after I initially bought him on the day of the original random announcement on the 8th October. I doubled my holding in him a day before the actual announcement on the 18th October, as I couldn’t understand why he was flatlining at the £7.40 mark.

Neymar

My experiences up to this point on these types of announcements are that the premium players who benefit most skyrocket. This announcement was no different. The lad broke the £8 barrier when the flood gates opened, reaching £8.22 before settling just below that marker.

I did sell the original shares I had in the boom time and kept the other half. I can see him going past this £8 barrier again once we tiptoe into November when the Gold days officially arrive.

When he eventually makes his return to the PSG team, I don’t think traders will be able to resist what he has to offer in this new matrix. 16p for star man, oof!

I have mentioned in the first few articles to the series that I have never been one to “chase PB”. That is still the case in general terms but this was down to a couple of things.

One being I have never had enough in the platform to hold a significant amount of shares in PB players to make it worthwhile. Not in my eyes anyway. I could make more doing my own thing.

Second, it was always difficult to actually win them, as even the best PB players in the world could be done by a journeyman defender scoring a GWG complete with a clean sheet or a hat-trick produced by some random French farmer.

Matrix

We now have a new matrix and we are seeing more of the better players being rewarded. We will always have an unexpected winner here and there, it’s inevitable, but I think we are genuinely seeing a more predictable setup. Although I don’t want it too predictable. Bit boring.

Now with a big increase in payouts gained for these winners, you have to take this into consideration, it’s just silly not to. Plus logic tells you these players will gain more and more investors and go up in price.

No matter the situation, I am always interested in players going up in price or bringing me decent money in some capacity. Aren’t you?

 

The 200 club

“I have my eye on some others”

With all this being said, my dream on FI has always been to have enough money in the thing to hold these dividend contenders, as well as having enough left to get on with what I do.

My first 6 months in the platform was a hard slog, scalping rises where I could and slowly building profit up. It was hard work but it was worth it and also necessary. If I had taken the traditional “sit on and wait” approach, I don’t believe I could have made as much.

I am not allergic to premium players, I just could never afford to have a significant amount of shares in them to make it worthwhile. However, I think I am starting to reach that moment.

So, literally last night after watching TAA smash up the PB screen, I have come up with a concept of a “200 club” where I am planning on holding 200 shares in players I think will regularly compete for these steroid injected divs on this jacked-up new scoring matrix.

TAA

These are to remain untouched and just left to do their thing. Barring any significant news such as an ACL injury or another Ronaldo “rapegate” (port crash flashbacks!!! Aaagghh!) they are to live and dine in the 200 club and left well alone.

I have a tendency to overtrade but I am making this “club” to stop myself from doing so. These players should bring home bacon and rise in value as the product does. Some will rise more and bring in tastier bacon than others but that doesn’t matter. Just leave ’em alone lad.

Why 200 shares? Well, I don’t think 100 or even 150 is really worth it but gaining a couple of quid per penny rise and “doubling” the div payouts (sort of speak) from 8p to £16 hard cash, if you see what I mean, sounds ok to me. I would like 300 but it’s just too much to have locked in.

The early entries are:

Neymar – The King. I had 600 shares in him for the 18th Oct and have 300 as we speak. I will trim this to the 200 share marker eventually but we should all have high hopes for Ney’s price, as he is basically the glass ceiling to the market prices overall. The higher he goes, he brings everybody else with him.

Messi – The Goat. I mentioned that I bought him when FI landed that bomb of a message saying divs were being reviewed (jacked up!) but Messi hardly moved. An example of my overtrading is thus, I bottled it and sold them after a few days of no movement. He obviously went up 60p and won PB since then! He may be getting on but he is set to extend his contract to 2021 so plenty of life in the old goat yet.

TAA – The Kid. Alexander-Arnold was hot on my list of buys on the day FI filled our souls full of hope again. He went up accordingly. So much so, in fact, my old habits of “take the profit” overcame me and I sold up the morning of the Spurs game. Yep, that’s right. I won’t mull on that decision but let’s just say that has inspired me to create the “200 club”. And yes, I am a monumental dickhead.

Kroos – The Boss. There are many midfielders who have benefitted hugely from the new scoring matrix. You know the ones people like. Pjanic, Parejo, Sensi etc. I like ’em too but in a market that is so competitive like the midfielder one is now, I believe Toni is the one. His base is just awesome. You can argue either way about his lack of goals that will cost him, or actually making him better as he doesn’t rely on them, but he is my man.

kroos

Those are the “four horsemen” as we speak and I have my eye on some others who may join the club like Depay, Kimmich, the group of midfielders everyone talks about, and others. I shall play it by ear for now, as these lot are expensive and the plan is once they are in, they are there to stay, so I am not gonna rush it.

 

How was the “normal” trading this month?

In a couple of words, not great. Well, that may be too harsh, as I did have a decent time of it over the European games period that just went by with the Champions League and Europa League.

£500 was made on the likes of Sabitzer, our mate Kroos, Oxlade-Chamberlain and Pepe so it wasn’t all bad. This weekend that just went by though was just poor. I did flip Ayoze Perez, twice, on the Friday night but of all the weekends I could have had free to trade uninterrupted, this was not what I had in mind. Snooze fest.

An average end after an awful start to the month with people selling whatever they could after the Birthday bonus and the International break being so boring I hardly paid any attention to it. The interest in these new International IPDs is already wearing off.

However, FI saved the day with a glorious and memorable middle that has changed the platform for a while yet. For the better, I might add.

 

Conclusion

“If you haven’t looked into it yet, no time like the present.”

There are a few days until the new Dividend structure comes in where Gold, Silver and Bronze take over our lives with 8p, 4p and 2p (oh, that’s the same) being the talk of the town and it could be an amazing time to be on FI.

They have also extended the div deadline to 3pm instead of 2pm which opens up even more opportunities for fast in and out trading. I will try and go into this in a bit more detail in the next update after a few weeks trial.

deadline 3pm

I am already seeing people getting excited and buying some premium players on the ticker and I think once we get into November officially, traders will be yearning to empty their wallets to get on players fighting it out for these jacked-up giveaways.

8p star man for Gold is outrageous and so expect people to lump on the first few winners of these, whoever they are.

4p star man Silver days have also given a specific market an almighty boost. I was already a keen trader on those 5/6 game double days, but now you can win 8p for holding someone coming out on top of a very small field of players. This is huge.

The first one of these is on 8th November and I have been holding Berardi (what feels like forever) as well as Odegaard and some others for this day. If you haven’t looked into it yet, no time like the present.

I shall see you next month and I am already looking forward to seeing how the Index looks after a few weeks of new div action!

Peace out!

Follow me on Twitter @GingerPirlo_FI

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